Site Logo

AI Betting Disclaimer

Our predictions are generated by AI and are for informational purposes only. Please gamble responsibly and verify all information before placing bets.

Site Logo
No upcoming scheduled games.

Kelvin Gastelum vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kelvin Gastelum vs Dustin Stoltzfus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

The middleweight bout between Kelvin Gastelum and Dustin Stoltzfus at UFC Fight Night 259 (Noche UFC 3) features Gastelum as the betting favorite due to his experience and effort to rebound from recent setbacks. Stoltzfus, taking the fight on short notice, seeks to regain momentum after a loss and has demonstrated inconsistency in his UFC career. The fight is scheduled at the Frost Bank Center on September 13, 2025.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kelvin Gastelum boasts a longer UFC tenure with significant victories, though recently has struggled with losses. Dustin Stoltzfus holds a 3-6 UFC record, with flashes of high performance but notable inconsistency. Gastelum's experience and proven striking give him an edge, while Stoltzfus' short camp might benefit his physical freshness but challenge his mental preparation.
  • This will be the first professional fight meeting between Gastelum and Stoltzfus. They reportedly have only exchanged greetings without hostility or familiarity, so no direct in-cage history or rivalry exists.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter ahead of this matchup. Stoltzfus appeared healthy during fight week, signing autographs with no visible signs of impairment. Gastelum is also expected to enter the fight in standard condition.
  • Fight held in San Antonio, Texas, at the Frost Bank Center, giving a regional fan advantage potentially to Gastelum. Stoltzfus’s short-notice acceptance might limit his strategic preparation but provides physical freshness.
  • Gastelum is motivated to return to winning form after recent losses, aiming to establish momentum. Stoltzfus is motivated to steady his UFC career following a recent defeat and capitalizes on an unexpected opportunity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kelvin Gastelum: -250, Dustin Stoltzfus: 205 Kelvin Gastelum β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Kelvin Gastelum: -3.5 (-120), Dustin Stoltzfus: +3.5 (-110) Kelvin Gastelum to win by 4 or more points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -215, Under 2.5 rounds: 165 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Kelvin Gastelum -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 59%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Kelvin Gastelum is favored to win due to his superior experience, skill set, and motivation to rebound, combined with Stoltzfus’s short camp and inconsistency.

Predicted Score: Kelvin Gastelum wins by 3rd round TKO


0 0

Quang Le vs. Santiago Luna Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Quang Le vs Santiago Luna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 10:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas, USA

Game Overview

The UFC Fight Night 259 bantamweight bout between Quang Le and Santiago Luna features Luna making his UFC debut with an undefeated 6-0 record, all wins by finishes (2 KO/TKO, 4 submissions), against Quang Le who has a 9-2 MMA record but an inconsistent UFC record of 1-2. Le is experienced with good takedown defense and striking stats, while Luna brings high finishing potential despite short notice and less experience at the UFC level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Quang Le has a solid MMA background with more fights and UFC experience, averaging 2.7 significant strikes per minute and excellent takedown defense (100%). Santiago Luna is undefeated but has only 6 pro fights, all finishes, showing strong submission and knockout skills but less tested at UFC level.
  • No previous matchup between Quang Le and Santiago Luna; Luna is debuting in UFC, Le has UFC fight history which gives him an experiential edge.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter at this time.
  • Luna accepted the fight on less than two weeks' notice, which may impact his conditioning and game plan. The fight is held in San Antonio, Texas, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage.
  • Luna looks to make a strong UFC debut and establish himself; Le wants to stabilize his UFC career after a mixed start and use his experience to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Quang Le: 114, Santiago Luna: -135 Santiago Luna favored narrowly based on odds, reflecting public optimism and Luna's finishing ability, but the fight is very close. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Spread Quang Le: 3.5 -155, Santiago Luna: -3.5 115 Expect a very close fight possibly decided within a small points margin; Luna likely favored to cover the -3.5 spread due to finishing upside. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -125, Under: 2.5 -105 Moderate expectation for the fight to go over 2.5 rounds because of Luna's finishing ability versus Le's durability and experience potentially extending the match. β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Santiago Luna -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Luna's undefeated record and finishing ability, Quang Le's greater experience, all-around skill set especially in takedown defense, and ability to handle pressure give him the slight edge. Predicted winner is Quang Le by decision or late finish.

Predicted Score: Quang Le 3 rounds, Santiago Luna 2 rounds


0 0

Jose Daniel Medina vs. Dusko Todorovic Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jose Daniel Medina vs Dusko Todorovic – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The MMA middleweight prelims bout between Jose Daniel Medina and Dusko Todorovic at Noche UFC features two fighters with contrasting styles and records. Medina, with an 11-5 record, is a Bolivian fighter known for durability but limited recent finishes. Todorovic, a Serbian fighter standing slightly taller with similar reach, carries recent momentum with striking power as reflected in an August 2024 KO win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dusko Todorovic has demonstrated superior striking volume and power, landing more significant strikes per recent fights and securing a notable TKO knee finish recently. Medina's fights show fewer strikes and primarily decision outcomes, indicating a possibly more tactical but less explosive style.
  • This is a first-time matchup; no direct fights or historical head-to-head data exist between the two competitors.
  • No publicly available recent injury reports or fight withdrawals for either fighter, suggesting both enter the bout healthy.
  • Fighting on prelims at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio at a UFC event provides a neutral venue without significant hometown advantage. Both fighters are motivated to advance their UFC careers with a win on this card.
  • Todorovic may have slightly higher motivation to capitalize on recent finishing momentum. Medina aims to rebound from recent knockout defeats, seeking a tactical victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dusko Todorovic: -340, Jose Daniel Medina: 270 Dusko Todorovic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Dusko Todorovic: -5.5 -120, Jose Daniel Medina: +5.5 -110 Dusko Todorovic -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -250, Under 1.5 rounds: 190 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dusko Todorovic -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dusko Todorovic is favored to win by a decision or late finish based on superior recent striking and finishing ability, with Medina likely to use a tactical approach to survive and potentially drag the fight to decision.

Predicted Score: Dusko Todorovic wins via decision or late round TKO after more than 1.5 rounds


0 0

Claudio Puelles vs. Joaquim Silva Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Claudio Puelles vs Joaquim Silva – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 10:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The Lightweight division fight between Claudio Puelles and Joaquim Silva is part of the UFC Noche 3 prelims. Puelles, known as the 'Prince of Peru', is a 29-year-old southpaw with a 13-4 record, noted for his grappling and submission skills. Silva, nicknamed 'Netto BJJ', is a 36-year-old southpaw striker with a 13-6 record, displaying higher significant strike volume and knockout power. Both fighters bring contrasting stylesβ€”Puelles with takedown and submission threat, Silva with aggressive striking and finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Puelles lands fewer significant strikes per minute (1.56) with higher accuracy (49%) and better takedown and grappling credentials. Silva delivers more significant strikes per minute (3.66) with a 43% connect rate and displays superior striking defense (53%) but absorbs more strikes (4.53 per minute). Puelles tends to absorb fewer strikes (2.78) and has a more patient fighting style with a focus on ground control.
  • This matchup is their first direct meeting in the UFC. Both fighters have comparable overall records and experience at lightweight, but their fighting styles have not clashed before, creating an unpredictable dynamic.
  • No significant injuries or recent layoffs reported for either fighter, indicating both arrive in good physical condition.
  • The fight takes place in San Antonio’s Frost Bank Center, with no clear home advantage. Both fighters have fought internationally but neither is from the US, minimizing crowd influence.
  • Puelles, at 29, is in his physical prime, looking to solidify his UFC contender status after mixed recent results. Silva, at 36, may be motivated to prove his striking prowess and experience can overcome a younger grappler to extend his MMA career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Claudio Puelles: -112, Joaquim Silva: -108 Claudio Puelles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Claudio Puelles -3.5: 140, Joaquim Silva +3.5: -195 Joaquim Silva +3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -140, Under 2.5 rounds: 110 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Claudio Puelles -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A closely contested fight likely decided by ground control and grappling effectiveness. Puelles has the edge in submissions and controlling the pace on the mat, whereas Silva will look to keep it standing and land powerful strikes. Prediction favors Claudio Puelles by decision or submission given his takedown defense and overall striking absorption advantage, but Silva's higher volume striking and finishing ability make an upset possible.

Predicted Score: Claudio Puelles wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


0 0

Tatiana Suarez vs. Amanda Lemos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Tatiana Suarez vs Amanda Lemos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:45 PM UTC
  • Location: San Antonio, Texas, USA

Game Overview

The matchup between Tatiana Suarez and Amanda Lemos is a highly anticipated strawweight bout scheduled as part of the UFC prelims at Noche UFC 3 on September 13, 2025, in San Antonio, Texas. Suarez, ranked #2, is coming off her first career loss in a title fight and looks to rebound to reassert her status in the division, while Amanda Lemos, ranked #4, is seeking a win over a top contender to secure another title shot. The fight features contrasting styles with Suarez's strong wrestling and takedown defense against Lemos' aggressive standup and ground game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tatiana Suarez holds a 10-1 professional MMA record, showing dominance especially with her grappling and takedown accuracy, improved striking defense, and cardio. Amanda Lemos has a solid record and is known for powerful striking combined with competent ground skills, typically pressing forward aggressively. Both have high-level experience but Suarez's wrestling base and strategic evolution post her recent loss position her as the favorite.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups have occurred between Tatiana Suarez and Amanda Lemos, making this their first direct encounter.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
  • Changes in venue from Guadalajara to San Antonio could have slight logistical impacts but are unlikely to affect fighter preparation significantly. Both fighters are motivated and focused on reclaiming or advancing their championship contention status.
  • Suarez is highly motivated to bounce back after her first career loss in a failed title bid. Lemos aims to prove she belongs in the title conversation by defeating a top-ranked opponent, making her equally driven.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Amanda Lemos: 350, Tatiana Suarez: -455 Tatiana Suarez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Amanda Lemos +7.5: 100, Tatiana Suarez -7.5: -140 Tatiana Suarez -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: 100, Under 2.5 rounds: -130 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Tatiana Suarez -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Tatiana Suarez is predicted to win due to her superior wrestling, takedown defense, and ability to control the pace, with a strategic advantage against Lemos' aggressive striking style.

Predicted Score: Tatiana Suarez wins by decision or finish in round 2 or 3


0 0

Jesus Santos Aguilar vs. Luis Gurule Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Jesus Santos Aguilar vs Luis Gurule – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 9:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The match between Jesus Santos Aguilar and Luis Gurule is a highly anticipated flyweight contest at Noche UFC on September 13, 2025. Aguilar (11-3) is known for aggressive striking, leg kicks, and KO power but has some vulnerabilities in takedown defense. Gurule (10-1), regarded as the better wrestler with solid striking skills, is favored to control the fight on the ground while matching Aguilar's stand-up game. Both fighters bring strong finishing abilities and a competitive skill set, promising an intriguing battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jesus Aguilar has an 11-3 record showing power and aggression but some defensive gaps, particularly in grappling. Luis Gurule, with a 10-1 record, has superior wrestling and grappling ability, which analysts believe gives him the edge in controlling the fight and dictating the pace.
  • This is a highly anticipated matchup with no prior bouts between Aguilar and Gurule, making it an unpredictable contest with contrasting stylesβ€”Aguilar’s power and pressure versus Gurule’s wrestling precision.
  • No current injury reports or concerns have been noted for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The venue at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio may present a neutral atmosphere. Both fighters are expected to have strong motivation given their competitive records and the stakes of this Noche UFC event.
  • Both fighters show high motivation; Aguilar aims to prove resilience after a tough previous fight, leveraging power striking, while Gurule seeks to maintain his undefeated momentum and capitalize on his wrestling edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Jesus Santos Aguilar: +170, Luis Gurule: -205 Luis Gurule to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Jesus Santos Aguilar +3.5: -125, Luis Gurule -3.5: -105 Luis Gurule -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -166, Under 2.5 rounds: +130 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luis Gurule -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luis Gurule is favored to win by decision or wrestle-heavy control due to superior grappling and balanced striking, despite Aguilar’s knockout power. The fight is likely to go over the rounds with Gurule maintaining consistent control.

Predicted Score: Luis Gurule wins by decision after 3 rounds


0 0

Zachary Reese vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Zachary Reese vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Zachary Reese and Sedriques Dumas face off in the middleweight division at UFC Noche 3. Reese, standing 6'4" and weighing in at 185 lbs, comes with a 9-2 record and is a switch fighter with a 77" reach. Dumas, 6'2" with a 79" reach and 185 lbs, holds a 10-3 record and fights orthodox. Reese is more aggressive with significant strikes landed per minute (4.28 vs 2.10) and higher accuracy (54% vs 45%), but Dumas demonstrates better defense, blocking 55% of opponent strikes versus Reese's 43% defense rate.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Reese has demonstrated higher striking volume and efficiency, landing significantly more strikes per minute with higher accuracy, though his defense allows more strikes. Dumas offers a solid defense and uses reach advantage despite lower striking volume.
  • No prior head-to-head matches or results between Reese and Dumas, indicating this will be their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries have been indicated for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • The fight takes place at a major UFC event with high stakes; Dumas has publicly discussed financial difficulties which might affect motivation. Venue is neutral ground with no explicit home advantage.
  • Reese rides momentum from recent UFC wins and his aggressive style could be fueled by a strong drive to climb rankings. Dumas appears motivated to rebound and secure financial stability through a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Zachary Reese: -238, Sedriques Dumas: 195 Zachary Reese to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Zachary Reese (-3.5): -230, Sedriques Dumas (+3.5): 165 Zachary Reese to win by more than 3.5 points (dominant performance) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: 124, Under 1.5 rounds: -160 Under 1.5 rounds (early finish likely) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Zachary Reese -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 -11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Zachary Reese at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Zachary Reese is favored to win due to his more effective striking output, reach, and fighting style advantages. Dumas's superior defense and longer reach may pose challenges, but Reese's aggression and accuracy likely give him the edge.

Predicted Score: Zachary Reese wins by 2nd round TKO/KO


0 0

Carlos Diego Ferreira vs. Alex Hernandez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Carlos Diego Ferreira vs Alex Hernandez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

Lightweight MMA bout featured in the undercard of Noche UFC at Frost Bank Center. Alexander Hernandez returns to his hometown of San Antonio on a hot winning streak, having recently knocked out Chase Hooper in the first round. Carlos Diego Ferreira brings a strong grappling skill set and experience in UFC lightweight competition. This fight pits Hernandez's striking and momentum against Ferreira's well-rounded grappling and veteran savvy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Hernandez has been performing impressively with recent finishes including a first-round knockout in his last fight. Ferreira's recent form shows resilience and experience, though without a recent knockout streak. Hernandez's momentum and striking advantage contrast with Ferreira's grappling strengths.
  • There are no records of previous fights between the two, making this encounter a first-time matchup with both fighters bringing unique skill sets and motivations.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this bout, indicating both are in full training and physical condition for fight night.
  • The fight is taking place in Hernandez's hometown, giving him a potential morale boost and crowd support advantage. The event is large with significant UFC attention, increasing fighter motivation.
  • Hernandez motivated by fighting at home and extending his hot streak; Ferreira motivated to prove veteran worth and counter Hernandez's hometown advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alex Hernandez: -105, Carlos Diego Ferreira: -115 Alex Hernandez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Alex Hernandez: 3.5 -195, Carlos Diego Ferreira: -3.5 140 Alex Hernandez +3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -135, Under: 2.5 105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Carlos Diego Ferreira 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alexander Hernandez to win via knockout or decision, leveraging home crowd support and recent knockout momentum to outstrike and avoid grappling troubles. Ferreira’s grappling will test Hernandez but is less likely to impose given Hernandez's improved takedown defense and aggression.

Predicted Score: Hernandez wins by KO or decision within 3 rounds


0 0

Alessandro Costa vs. Alden Coria Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alessandro Costa vs Alden Coria – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:50 PM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The flyweight bout between Alessandro Costa and Alden Coria is part of the Noche UFC event prelims, scheduled for September 13, 2025, at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Costa holds a 14-4 record while Coria has a 10-3 record with one no contest. Both fighters have solid grappling and striking skills, but Costa's greater experience and recent form have made him a clear favorite in betting markets.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alessandro Costa has demonstrated consistent performance with a 14-4 record, showing strong striking and grappling balance. Alden Coria, at 10-3 (1 NC), has been less consistent and faces a step up in competition against Costa's experience.
  • No prior head-to-head fights have been recorded between Alessandro Costa and Alden Coria.
  • No recent or reported injuries have affected either fighter leading into this bout.
  • The fight is part of a Noche UFC event held in San Antonio, which might slightly favor Costa as he is the betting favorite and possibly more acclimated to the event setting. No reported external disruptions or controversies.
  • Costa aims to solidify his position as a top contender in the flyweight division, while Coria is motivated to upset the odds and climb the ranks by defeating a more established opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alessandro Costa: -410, Alden Coria: 320 Alessandro Costa β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Alessandro Costa: -195, Alden Coria: 140, spread_line: 3.5 Alessandro Costa -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: -115, under: -115, line: 2.5 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alessandro Costa -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alessandro Costa is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to his experience edge and higher confidence in technique and conditioning.

Predicted Score: Alessandro Costa wins by decision or late TKO in round 3


0 0

Alice Pereira vs. Montserrat Rendon Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alice Pereira vs Montserrat Rendon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-13
  • Time: 7:30 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event – Noche UFC 3 (venue not explicitly stated in sources)

Game Overview

This UFC prelims Bantamweight bout features Alice Pereira making her UFC promotional debut against Montserrat Rendon. Pereira enters undefeated at 6-0, while Rendon carries a strong 6-1 record. Both fighters are relatively new to the UFC scene, with Pereira being the youngest female fighter in UFC history. The fight poses a competitive matchup between a young rising prospect and an experienced contender.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Alice Pereira is undefeated with 6 wins and no losses, showing strong striking skills and aggressive style. Montserrat Rendon holds a 6-1 record, demonstrating resilience and experience with one loss and several wins against solid competition.
  • No prior head-to-head fights between Alice Pereira and Montserrat Rendon are recorded, making this a fresh matchup without historical overlap.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the match according to available data.
  • As Pereia's UFC debut and being the youngest female in UFC history, external expectations and pressure could affect performance. The fight is part of prelims at the Noche UFC 3 event.
  • Pereira has high motivation to establish herself strongly in UFC with an undefeated record. Rendon motivated to prove experience and secure a win to climb rankings further.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Alice Pereira: -148, Montserrat Rendon: 124 Alice Pereira β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Alice Pereira -3.5: 150, Montserrat Rendon +3.5: -205 Alice Pereira to cover -3.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -280, Under 2.5 rounds: 210 Under 2.5 rounds – likely a shorter fight β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Alice Pereira -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 102%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 102% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 48.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alice Pereira is favored to win based on her undefeated record, younger age, and more aggressive style, with a close but clear edge over Montserrat Rendon in this prelim Bantamweight bout.

Predicted Score: Alice Pereira wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


0 0

Loading AI Picks...

Brought to you by