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Saimon Oliveira vs. Luan Lacerda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Saimon Oliveira vs Luan Lacerda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This bantamweight matchup at UFC Rio features Luan Lacerda (12-3) versus Saimon Oliveira (18-6), both orthodox fighters around 135 lbs with similar reach. Lacerda is the odds favorite at -250, displaying a higher significant strike rate but also absorbing more strikes. Oliveira is a seasoned fighter with decent defense and a slight edge in reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lacerda lands 4.52 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy but absorbs 7.07 per minute with 47% defense. Oliveira lands 2.67 significant strikes per minute at 40% accuracy, absorbing 4.13 with 46% defense. Oliveira’s experience (18-6) is broader but Lacerda’s recent form and efficiency suggest aggressiveness.
  • No recorded previous fights between Lacerda and Oliveira, so no direct matchup data available.
  • No reported injuries impacting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight location in Rio de Janeiro favors both Brazilian fighters equally; no notable external factors impacting performance.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings in bantamweight; Lacerda as a younger prospect aiming to capitalize on momentum, Oliveira seeking to leverage experience for possible career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luan Lacerda: -250, Saimon Oliveira: +205 Luan Lacerda β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Luan Lacerda: -3.5 -180, Saimon Oliveira: +3.5 +130 Luan Lacerda -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: +114 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saimon Oliveira -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luan Lacerda to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Luan Lacerda wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 3


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Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo Ramos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Kaan Ofli vs Ricardo Ramos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The matchup between Kaan Ofli and Ricardo Ramos will take place at UFC Rio on October 11, 2025. Both fighters have different strengths and weaknesses, with Ramos being a slight favorite due to his experience and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ricardo Ramos has a career record of 17-7-0 and is known for connecting on 2.97 significant strikes per minute, though he takes 4.06 significant strikes per minute. Kaan Ofli has a record of 12-4-1, connecting on 2.00 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 2.93.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are noted.
  • No recent injuries are reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Brazil, which might favor Ramos due to crowd support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ramos looking to bounce back from a recent decision loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kaan Ofli: 154, Ricardo Ramos: -185 Ricardo Ramos Not available
Spread Kaan Ofli: 3.5 -140, Ricardo Ramos: -3.5 100 Ricardo Ramos Not available
Over/under over: 2.5 -140, under: 2.5 110 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ricardo Ramos -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ricardo Ramos at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricardo Ramos is likely to win due to his experience and higher strike rate.

Predicted Score: No specific score is available for MMA fights, but Ramos is expected to perform well.


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Dedrek Sanders vs. Dzhamal Mavliudov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Dedrek Sanders vs Dzhamal Mavliudov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: LFA 219 Event Venue (specific venue not provided in sources)

Game Overview

Dedrek Sanders faces a tough challenge against favorite Dzhamal Mavliudov in a competitive MMA matchup at LFA 219. Mavliudov enters as the strong betting favorite with solid recent form and a more favorable odds profile, while Sanders is the underdog but could leverage late rounds experience.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mavliudov has demonstrated consistent performances and a winning streak in recent matches, whereas Sanders has struggled against top-tier opponents and does not exhibit dominant recent form.
  • No prior head-to-head between Sanders and Mavliudov is recorded, making direct matchup analysis unavailable.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter were found close to the event date.
  • No external motivating or demotivating factors such as venue advantage or travel issues have been noted.
  • Mavliudov appears highly motivated to maintain his favoritism, potentially advancing his career. Sanders may have motivation as an underdog but lacks recent momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dedrek Sanders: 225, Dzhamal Mavliudov: -350 Dzhamal Mavliudov β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Dedrek Sanders +1.5 rounds: +140, Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5 rounds: -170 Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +300, Under 1.5 rounds: -450 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dzhamal Mavliudov -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Dzhamal Mavliudov at -13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dzhamal Mavliudov to win by moneyline with the fight going over 1.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Dzhamal Mavliudov wins by decision or late finish in round 2 or 3


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Raheam Forest vs. Martin Camilo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Raheam Forest vs Martin Camilo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee, USA

Game Overview

Welterweight MMA bout between Raheam Forest (8-3) and Martin Camilo (7-2-1) at LFA 219.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Raheam Forest has a slightly better overall record (8-3) than Martin Camilo (7-2-1) with more finishes by KO/TKO (5 vs 2) and a solid recent form; Camilo has a higher submission rate but more decision losses.
  • No prior head-to-head matches between the two fighters; statistics on similar competition show Forest with a durability edge and better KO power.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight scheduled at a neutral venue in Clarksville, Tennessee. Both fighters meet weight comfortably with no notable external distractions.
  • Raheam Forest, being younger (28 vs Camilo’s 35) appears motivated to climb rankings; Camilo’s longer career and experience offer resilience but possibly less physical upside.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Raheam Forest: +120, Martin Camilo: -160 Raheam Forest β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Raheam Forest -1.5 rounds: +140, Martin Camilo +1.5 rounds: -170 Raheam Forest -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Martin Camilo 21%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Martin Camilo at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Raheam Forest to win by KO/TKO

Predicted Score: Raheam Forest wins by KO/TKO in round 2


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Andrew Stewart vs. Johnathan Waid Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Andrew Stewart vs Johnathan Waid – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee, USA

Game Overview

Welterweight MMA bout between Andrew Stewart and Johnathan Waid scheduled for 3 rounds at LFA 219.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Andrew Stewart is the clear favorite based on recent form and odds, showing strong performances in previous LFA bouts; Johnathan Waid has shown resilience but less consistency and fewer finishing rates.
  • No recorded direct head-to-head matchups found between these two fighters, making the fight a test of styles and recent momentum.
  • No publicly available injury reports for either fighter, indicating likely both are healthy coming into the fight.
  • The fight takes place in Tennessee, relatively neutral ground with no significant home advantage; both fighters fight in the US, minimizing travel fatigue.
  • Andrew Stewart seems highly motivated to maintain his favorite status and possibly secure a path to bigger promotions, while Johnathan Waid has the underdog drive but less external pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Andrew Stewart -400, Johnathan Waid +250 Andrew Stewart β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds (-410), Johnathan Waid +1.5 rounds (+280) Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -135, Under 2.5 rounds +105 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andrew Stewart -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Andrew Stewart at -6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Andrew Stewart to win; Spread: Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Andrew Stewart wins by TKO/KO in round 2


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Matt Adams vs. Ben Wunder Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Matt Adams vs Ben Wunder – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 10, 2025
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena

Game Overview

The matchup between Matt Adams and Ben Wunder at LFA 219 is a closely contested heavyweight bout, with both fighters having a strong chance of winning. The odds reflect a competitive match, with Ben Wunder slightly favored.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form data is not specific, but both fighters are likely to be in competitive shape given their participation in the main card.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are reported, so this bout is a first encounter.
  • No recent injury reports are available for either fighter.
  • The event takes place in Clarksville, Tennessee, but neither fighter is noted to have a significant home advantage.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as a win would be a significant career boost.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ben Wunder: -135, Matt Adams: -105 Ben Wunder β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ben Wunder -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ben Wunder at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ben Wunder to win due to the slight edge in odds and the competitive nature of the fight.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Isaac Thomson vs. Akbarjon Islomboev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Isaac Thomson vs Akbarjon Islomboev – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-10
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee

Game Overview

Isaac Thomson and Akbarjon Islomboev face off in the featherweight main event at LFA 219, a 5-round bout with evenly matched odds reflecting a highly competitive fight.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have shown strong recent form; Thomson has a solid grappling base and effective striking, while Islomboev has speedy striking and resilient cardio. Recent fights show both winning by decision and stoppage.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups recorded, making this an important first encounter to establish dominance.
  • No current reported injuries for either fighter, indicating both are at full health and prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Clarksville, a neutral venue with no home advantage. Both have experienced professional camps and support.
  • Isoamboev appears slightly more motivated to solidify his rising status in the featherweight division, while Thomson aims to maintain his recent momentum. This marginal edge in motivation could influence fight pace.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Akbarjon Islomboev -120 / Isaac Thomson -120 Akbarjon Islomboev β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Akbarjon Islomboev -1.5 rounds +150 Akbarjon Islomboev -1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds -162 / Under 1.5 rounds +123 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Akbarjon Islomboev 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Akbarjon Islomboev at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Akbarjon Islomboev to win via decision

Predicted Score: Akbarjon Islomboev wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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Lucas Caldas vs. Magomed Zaynukov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Lucas Caldas vs Magomed Zaynukov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 1:55 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

The lightweight bout between undefeated Magomed Zaynukov (7-0) and aggressive knockout artist Lucas Caldas (6-1) is highly anticipated, featuring two finishing specialists in their prime. Zaynukov is a composed wrestler-striker from Islam Makhachev's camp, while Caldas is known for relentless forward pressure and first-round finishing ability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Zaynukov holds the undefeated record with 7 straight wins, 5 finishes in last 5 fights, showing consistency and skill refinement. Caldas has a 6-1 record, with most wins by early knockout, indicating explosive power but less experience against top competition.
  • No previous fights between these two are recorded, making this a first-time matchup with both fighters eager to prove themselves on DWCS stage.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both are coming in healthy.
  • Fight is at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, neutral venue with no discernible home advantage. Zaynukov’s training with elite camp linked to Islam Makhachev could provide edge in preparation.
  • High stakes for both fighters seeking UFC contracts, creating strong motivation. Zaynukov’s undefeated status adds psychological advantage; Caldas looks to rebound from a controversial loss, fueling his determination.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lucas Caldas: +340, Magomed Zaynukov: -410 Magomed Zaynukov β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Zaynukov -1.5 rounds: -120, Caldas +1.5 rounds: +100 Zaynukov -1.5 rounds (win inside 2 rounds) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: +138, Under 1.5 rounds: -158 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Magomed Zaynukov -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 14%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Magomed Zaynukov to win by knockout or submission in the first round

Predicted Score: Magomed Zaynukov wins by 1st round finish


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Adrian Luna Martinetti vs. Mark Vologdin Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Adrian Luna Martinetti vs Mark Vologdin – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 1:45 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A bantamweight bout at Dana White's Contender Series featuring undefeated recent forms from both fighters: Adrian Luna Martinetti and Mark Vologdin. Both enter on 5-0 streaks, with Martinetti boasting a more experienced record overall.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have strong momentum with five consecutive wins; Martinetti is 16-1 overall, showing high-level experience and finishing ability, while Vologdin is 12-3-1 with recent improvement.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups available between these athletes.
  • No publicized injuries for either fighter going into this bout.
  • Fight takes place at UFC Apex, a neutral location with no home advantage; no travel or weather concerns noted.
  • Both fighters highly motivated to secure a UFC contract via Dana White's Contender Series, likely maximizing their performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Adrian Luna Martinetti: +140, Mark Vologdin: -160 Mark Vologdin β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Mark Vologdin -0.5 rounds: -110, Adrian Luna Martinetti +50 rounds: -110 Mark Vologdin -0.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -230, Under 1.5 rounds: +192 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark Vologdin -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 75%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark Vologdin to win via moneyline due to slight odds and momentum advantage, with a likely under 1.5 round total based on balanced striking and grappling exchanges.

Predicted Score: Mark Vologdin wins by decision or late stoppage under 1.5 rounds


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Roque Conceicao vs. Imanol Rodriguez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Roque Conceicao vs Imanol Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-08
  • Time: 1:05 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

This is a Contender Series lightweight bout between Imanol Rodriguez (moderate favorite) and Roque Conceicao (significant underdog). Rodriguez is expected to use his superior experience and finishing instincts to outclass Conceicao, who is facing his toughest test to date.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rodriguez enters as the clear favorite, with odds ranging from -205 to as low as -225, while Conceicao is pegged as a moderate underdog. Rodriguez is known for his well-rounded game and higher finishing rate compared to Conceicao, whose record is less dominant.
  • No previous head-to-head between the fighters. However, Rodriguez is considered the more polished, experienced fighter.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • No major external distractions or factors identified. Both fighters are eager to impress UFC scouts.
  • High stakes for both. Winning here could mean a UFC contract. Rodriguez is the more established prospect and likely under more pressure to deliver.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Rodriguez -205, Conceicao +175 Imanol Rodriguez β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 73%
Over/under Over 2.5 +108, Under 2.5 -128 Over 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Imanol Rodriguez -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Imanol Rodriguez by decision, with a strong likelihood of the fight going over 2.5 rounds. Conceicao’s toughness will keep him in the fight, but Rodriguez’s superior fundamentals will win out over three rounds.

Predicted Score: Imanol Rodriguez by Unanimous Decision


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