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Ben Ellis vs. Max Lally Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Ben Ellis vs Max Lally – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RDS, Dublin

Game Overview

The match is a featherweight division bout at Cage Warriors 194 featuring Wales' Ben Ellis facing undefeated prospect Maximus (Max) Lally. This co-main event pits Ellis, an experienced fighter, against the rising prospect Lally, who holds an undefeated record. The fight is scheduled for September 27, 2025, in Dublin at the RDS venue.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ben Ellis has shown solid performances with experience in high-level competitions, while Max Lally enters the fight undefeated, indicating strong recent form and momentum.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters have been recorded between Ellis and Lally, making this an intriguing first matchup.
  • No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The fight taking place in Dublin may slightly favor Max Lally due to local fan support and travel considerations, potentially impacting fighter psychology and performance.
  • Max Lally's undefeated status suggests high motivation to maintain his perfect record and advance his career, whereas Ben Ellis is likely motivated to halt Lally's ascension and secure a significant win on home turf.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ben Ellis: +150, Max Lally: -180, Draw: +3000 Max Lally ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Ben Ellis +1.5 rounds: +120, Max Lally -1.5 rounds: -140 Max Lally -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Max Lally is favored to win due to his undefeated record, momentum, and possible home advantage in Dublin, although Ben Ellis's experience could provide resistance, making the fight competitive.

Predicted Score: Max Lally wins by decision or late stoppage in round 2 or 3


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Hussein Salem vs. Izzeddine Al Derbani Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Hussein Salem vs Izzeddine Al Derbani – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Hussein Salem (12-6) faces Izzeddine Al Derbani (15-5) in a featherweight bout at the PFL MENA 3 Semifinals, part of the Professional Fighters League regional tournament in Riyadh. This fight carries high stakes as winners advance towards the PFL MENA Finals with a chance to compete for a $500,000 prize. Al Derbani replaced an alternate and enters with slightly better recent form and odds favoring him to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both fighters have solid professional records, with Al Derbani holding a 15-5 record versus Salem’s 12-6. Al Derbani’s more consistent winning rate and experience in the regional circuit slightly tilt performance advantage in his favor.
  • No documented previous encounters found between Salem and Al Derbani, indicating no direct head-to-head history to factor into prediction.
  • No reported injuries or medical issues affecting either fighter ahead of the match.
  • The bout occurs at a neutral venue, The Arena in Riyadh with home region advantages shared as both fighters are from the MENA region. No major external disruptions reported.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, competing for a spot in the PFL MENA Finals and a lucrative prize. Al Derbani, as an alternate stepping up, may have extra motivation to prove himself, while Salem looks to capitalize on his established standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hussein Salem: 116, Izzeddine Al Derbani: -138 Izzeddine Al Derbani ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Hussein Salem +1.5: EVEN, Izzeddine Al Derbani -1.5: -110 Izzeddine Al Derbani -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Izzeddine Al Derbani -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Izzeddine Al Derbani at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Izzeddine Al Derbani is predicted to win the bout due to his superior odds, recent form, and slightly better record, with an estimated tighter margin given the competitive nature of both fighters.

Predicted Score: Izzeddine Al Derbani wins by decision or late stoppage in under 3 rounds


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Islam Reda vs. Taha Bendaoud Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Islam Reda vs Taha Bendaoud – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Green Halls, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

The featherweight semifinal between Islam Reda and Taha Bendaoud is a high-stakes PFL MENA 3 tournament match. Islam Reda (31 years, 170 cm tall) holds a professional record of 13-1-0 with a seven-fight winning streak, known for his striking and submission skills. Taha Bendaoud (30 years, 173 cm tall) is undefeated at 5-0-0 and trained internationally in Canada and Mexico. Both fighters made weight with Reda at 145.8 lbs and Bendaoud at 145 lbs. The fight is scheduled at The Green Halls in Riyadh and is part of the main card with significant competitive history and stakes for the PFL MENA featherweight title.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Islam Reda has demonstrated more experience with a 14-fight professional career including 7 submissions and 1 KO victory, boasting a solid winning streak. Taha Bendaoud, although undefeated, has fewer pro fights (5 total, with 3 submissions) but shows strong potential with an undefeated record and diverse international training. Reda's larger number of fights and high finishing rate give him a performance edge.
  • This match appears to be the first professional encounter between Islam Reda and Taha Bendaoud, so no direct head-to-head data exists. Comparative statistics show Reda’s higher experience and more finishes, while Bendaoud remains undefeated, indicating a classic veteran vs. rising star scenario.
  • No public information or reports on injuries for either fighter prior to the match. Both have successfully made weight and appear fit, as per official weigh-in reports.
  • The match takes place in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, potentially favoring regional fighters psychologically. The PFL MENA organizational pressure and live broadcast on DAZN could influence fighter preparation and performance. No reported disruptions or unusual external conditions noted.
  • Islam Reda comes off a notable seven-fight winning streak and is motivated to maintain momentum toward the PFL MENA featherweight title. Taha Bendaoud's undefeated status and international training suggest high motivation to prove himself on regional and global stages.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Islam Reda: -375, Taha Bendaoud: 300 Islam Reda ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Islam Reda: -1.5, Taha Bendaoud: +1.5 Islam Reda to win by more than 1.5 rounds or finishes ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: 1.85, under_2.5_rounds: 1.95 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Islam Reda -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Islam Reda at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Islam Reda is favored to win given his superior experience, recent form, and finishing ability, but the undefeated and well-rounded Taha Bendaoud could challenge strongly, potentially pushing the fight to later rounds or decision.

Predicted Score: Islam Reda wins by decision or submission in round 3


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Conor McCarthy vs. Diego Visanzay Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Conor McCarthy vs Diego Visanzay – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

This Lightweight main card fight between Conor McCarthy and Diego Visanzay is part of Cage Warriors 194. Both fighters enter the cage with solid backgrounds but no fight has started yet. The clash pits McCarthy, a 29-year-old Irish fighter with a height of 170 cm and reach of 1.7 m, against Visanzay, a Spanish fighter standing 181 cm tall with a 1.81 m reach. The fight is anticipated to showcase a range of striking and grappling techniques, typical to the lightweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Conor McCarthy typically displays strong ground game proficiency and effective stand-up striking. Diego Visanzay, with slightly greater height and reach, is known for a technical approach emphasizing distance control and grappling defense. Both fighters have competitive recent performances though no head-to-head encounters exist.
  • No previous fight or direct matchup data is available between Conor McCarthy and Diego Visanzay, resulting in an unknown dynamic for the upcoming fight.
  • No reported injuries for either Conor McCarthy or Diego Visanzay impacting their preparation or expected performance going into this bout.
  • The fight is held at RDS in Dublin, Ireland, which could confer slight home advantage to Conor McCarthy due to local support and familiarity with the venue conditions. Event date timing has no apparent adverse external disruptions.
  • Both fighters are motivated to make a statement on the Cage Warriors main card. McCarthy, fighting on home soil, has the incentive to capitalize on crowd support, while Visanzay aims to leverage his size advantage and claim a significant victory on foreign ground.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Conor McCarthy: -145, Diego Visanzay: +120, Draw: +2000 Conor McCarthy to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Conor McCarthy -1.5: -110, Diego Visanzay +1.5: -110 Conor McCarthy covers -1.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -115, Under 2.5 rounds: -105 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Conor McCarthy is predicted to narrowly win by decision or late-round submission, leveraging home advantage and aggressive grappling. Diego Visanzay's striking and reach advantage make him a credible threat, but the edge goes to McCarthy in a competitive lightweight clash.

Predicted Score: McCarthy wins by unanimous decision or submission in round 3 or 4


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Mohsen Mohammadseifi vs. Mohammad Fahmi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Mohsen Mohammadseifi vs Mohammad Fahmi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

The match is a Lightweight division semifinal fight in the 2025 PFL MENA tournament featuring Mohsen Mohammadseifi, the 2024 PFL MENA Lightweight Champion with a record of 8-2 from Iran, against the undefeated Iraqi fighter Mohammad Fahmi, who holds a 5-0 record. The bout is part of the PFL MENA Semifinals taking place at The Arena in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mohsen Mohammadseifi has extensive experience with 8 wins and 2 losses, holding a prior championship title in the PFL MENA Lightweight division. Conversely, Mohammad Fahmi is undefeated with a 5-0 record, indicating rising momentum and confidence. Mohammadseifi’s experience in high-pressure matches contrasts with Fahmi’s unbeaten but shorter professional tenure.
  • This appears to be the first recorded professional encounter between the two fighters, with no previous head-to-head statistics available.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter prior to the match; both made weight successfully and seem in typical pre-fight condition.
  • The fight occurs at a neutral venue in Riyadh during the PFL MENA 2025 semifinals, under standard tournament conditions. Both fighters come from Middle Eastern backgrounds, potentially reducing travel fatigue or acclimatization issues.
  • Mohsen Mohammadseifi aims to reclaim his spot as PFL MENA Lightweight champion, motivated by previous success. Mohammad Fahmi seeks to maintain his undefeated streak and make a breakthrough by advancing to the finals, highlighting strong incentive for both.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mohsen Mohammadseifi: -460, Mohammad Fahmi: 360 Mohsen Mohammadseifi to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Mohsen Mohammadseifi: -3.5, Mohammad Fahmi: +3.5 Mohsen Mohammadseifi -3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over: 1.85, under: 1.95 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mohsen Mohammadseifi -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mohsen Mohammadseifi at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mohsen Mohammadseifi is favored to win due to his superior experience and championship pedigree, though Mohammad Fahmi's undefeated record and momentum could enable an upset. The prediction leans towards Mohammadseifi with an expectation of a tactical and competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Mohsen Mohammadseifi wins by decision or late stoppage in Round 3


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Keith Keogh vs. Damien McKenna Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Keith Keogh vs Damien McKenna – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RDS, Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

The Cage Warriors 194 main card Featherweight fight features Keith Keogh versus Damien McKenna. Both fighters are experienced featherweights competing at a prestigious Cage Warriors event, held in Dublin. This matchup is highly anticipated, with both fighters confident in their abilities and aiming to advance their careers in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Keith Keogh is known for his technical striking and consistent fight performances, often displaying superior skill and conditioning. Damien McKenna brings strong wrestling and grappling capabilities, with good reach and height advantage (180 cm vs. 170 cm). Past fights indicate Keogh tends to control stand-up exchanges, while McKenna tries to impose a ground game.
  • There are no recorded previous bouts between Keith Keogh and Damien McKenna, making this a first-time encounter. Analysis relies heavily on stylistic matchups and recent form.
  • No publicly reported injuries from either fighter leading into the fight, indicating both are at full health and prepared.
  • The fight takes place in Dublin at the RDS venue, potentially favoring Damien McKenna due to geographical proximity (Irish fighter). The Cage Warriors 194 is broadcast live on UFC Fight Pass, increasing pressure and exposure on both fighters.
  • Keith Keogh expresses high confidence, believing he is better and intends to win decisively. McKenna is motivated to perform strongly on home soil, maximizing this opportunity to gain recognition in Cage Warriors and possibly attract UFC attention.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline keith_keogh: -140, damien_mckenna: +115, draw: +2500 Keith Keogh ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread keith_keogh_-1.5_rounds: -110, damien_mckenna_+1.5_rounds: -110 Keith Keogh -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -130, under_2.5_rounds: +110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Keith Keogh is favored to win by technical striking superiority and fight IQ, despite McKenna's physical advantages and home crowd support. Keogh is likely to control the pace, avoid takedowns, and secure a clear decision or finish.

Predicted Score: Keith Keogh wins by unanimous decision or late round TKO around round 3


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Ryan Hall vs. Gabriele Galluccio Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Ryan Hall vs Gabriele Galluccio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not explicitly provided in sources

Game Overview

The MMA bout on September 27, 2025, features Ryan Hall against Gabriele Galluccio, both skilled competitors with contrasting fighting styles. Hall is known for his elite Brazilian jiu-jitsu and grappling abilities, giving him a strong advantage on the ground. Galluccio relies more on striking but lacks the grappling depth Hall possesses. This stylistic contrast sets the stage for a classic ground-versus-striking matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ryan Hall excels in submission grappling and typically controls fights on the mat, while Galluccio is more effective in stand-up striking. Hall’s methodical ground game usually allows him to neutralize striking opponents.
  • No direct past fights between Ryan Hall and Gabriele Galluccio were found in the sources, implying a first-time matchup.
  • No injury updates were provided for either fighter from the available data.
  • There are no reported external factors such as location advantage or recent disruptions affecting either fighter. The fight is scheduled in neutral conditions without notable outside influences.
  • Ryan Hall likely has strong motivation to maintain his winning reputation with submission expertise. Galluccio may be motivated to prove his striking can overcome ground specialists, offering a potential upset scenario.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ryan Hall: -180, Gabriele Galluccio: +150, Draw: +2000 Ryan Hall to win ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Ryan Hall -1.5: -110, Gabriele Galluccio +1.5: -110 Ryan Hall to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ryan Hall is favored to win due to his superior grappling skills, which will likely allow him to control the fight and seek a submission finish. Although Galluccio has striking power, Hall’s experience on the ground gives him a high probability of victory.

Predicted Score: Ryan Hall wins by submission in round 2


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Eimear Darcy vs. Justyna Kulinska Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing


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Match Analysis: Eimear Darcy vs Justyna Kulinska – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Dublin, Ireland (Cage Warriors 194 event)

Game Overview

The fight between Eimear Darcy and Justyna Kulińska is a prelims MMA match in the flyweight division, part of the Cage Warriors 194 event held in Dublin. The match features two fighters of similar height and reach, competing in a regional promotion that serves as a crucial platform for their careers.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Eimear Darcy has shown strong performances in regional circuits, with a solid grappling and clinch work foundation, while Justyna Kulińska is known for aggressive striking and striking volume. Both have complementary skills, which makes it a close stylistic matchup.
  • There are no recorded previous matchups between Darcy and Kulińska, making this their first encounter.
  • No public record or reports of injuries affecting either fighter ahead of this bout.
  • The fight takes place in Dublin, which could offer a slight home advantage to Eimear Darcy due to local support and familiar surroundings. Travel and acclimatization are less likely to affect either fighter negatively.
  • Both fighters appear motivated to make a statement in this prelims fight as a potential stepping stone to higher-profile bouts within Cage Warriors or other promotions. The home crowd advantage could boost Darcy’s motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Eimear Darcy: -450, Justyna Kulińska: +350, Draw: N/A Eimear Darcy to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Eimear Darcy -1.5: -120, Justyna Kulińska +1.5: +100 Eimear Darcy to win by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Eimear Darcy's regional experience, slight home advantage, and balanced skill set, she is favored to win, though the fight could be competitive and possibly decided by striking exchanges or grappling control.

Predicted Score: Eimear Darcy wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Malik Basahel vs. Ahmed Mostafa Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Malik Basahel vs Ahmed Mostafa – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Green Halls, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

The match is a Flyweight division MMA semifinal bout in the PFL MENA 3 tournament between Malik Basahel of Saudi Arabia and Ahmed Mostafa of Egypt. Malik Basahel is undefeated professionally (1-0), while Ahmed Mostafa holds a record of 3-2. The bout is part of the PFL MENA 3 2025 semifinals and streamed live via DAZN.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Malik Basahel is currently undefeated and favored heavily by bookmakers, indicating strong recent performance and possibly superior skill or conditioning. Ahmed Mostafa has a mixed record of 3 wins and 2 losses, with a 66.7% win rate by decision and no KO wins, suggesting he may rely more on technical grappling and endurance.
  • This appears to be the first professional encounter between Malik Basahel and Ahmed Mostafa, so no direct head-to-head data is available.
  • No injury reports or concerns have been indicated for either fighter leading into this match.
  • The fight is held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, which may provide a slight home advantage or motivation for Malik Basahel as a Saudi fighter. The card is high profile within the region’s MMA scene, adding stakes for both fighters.
  • Malik Basahel is looking to maintain his undefeated professional record while advancing to the PFL MENA final, likely increasing his motivation. Ahmed Mostafa aims to rebound from past losses and prove his worth on a significant regional stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -1350, away: 810 Malik Basahel to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -1.5, away: +1.5 Malik Basahel -1.5 ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under over: 2.5 rounds, under: 2.5 rounds Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Malik Basahel -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Malik Basahel at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malik Basahel is strongly favored to win the match by decision or late stoppage, given his undefeated status and heavy bookmaker odds advantage. Ahmed Mostafa’s chances of an upset rely on using technique and endurance to counter Basahel’s aggression.

Predicted Score: Malik Basahel wins by decision after 3 rounds


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Sebastien Di Franco vs. Mark Ewen Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Sebastien Di Franco vs Mark Ewen – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-26
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Zenith Nantes Métropole, Nantes, France

Game Overview

Sebastien Di Franco faces Mark Ewen in a PFL MMA lightweight bout at the Zenith Nantes Métropole. Di Franco is a 31-year-old fighter with a record of 10 wins and 4 losses, known for strong decision victories and a balanced mix of KO/TKO and submissions. Mark Ewen has a 6-2 undefeated streak with more KO/TKO finishes and no decision wins, indicating a more aggressive finish-oriented style. Both fighters have competitive striking and grappling skills, with Ewen slightly taller and having longer reach. This fight is crucial for their standings in PFL Europe 3.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Di Franco holds a 10-4 record with 5 decision wins suggesting endurance and technical skill, while Ewen is 6-2 with 4 KO/TKO wins and no decision wins, showing a preference for early finishes. Di Franco is currently on a three-fight winning streak, showing good form. Ewen’s KO power remains a significant threat but he has fewer fights overall.
  • No documented prior head-to-head matches directly between Di Franco and Ewen were found, however Di Franco has a solid balanced record with a capability to go the distance versus Ewen’s finishing power and lack of decision wins indicating he aims to end fights early.
  • No current injury reports or fight cancellations affecting Sebastian Di Franco or Mark Ewen were identified for this match.
  • The fight takes place in France, which may provide slight home advantage to Di Franco if crowd influence matters. The event is organized by PFL MMA, indicating a professional and high-stakes environment.
  • Both fighters are motivated to advance in the PFL Europe 3 standings. Di Franco, on a winning streak and fighting on home soil, likely has strong motivation. Ewen, with a clean recent record and knockout power, is motivated to maintain undefeated status and continue his finishing reputation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mark Ewen: -310, Sebastien Di Franco: +240 Sebastien Di Franco ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Mark Ewen: -1.5, Sebastien Di Franco: +1.5 Sebastien Di Franco +1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under over_2.5_rounds: -120, under_2.5_rounds: +100 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark Ewen -98%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Sebastien Di Franco has the edge due to his experience with longer fights and a proven winning streak, combined with the potential home advantage. Mark Ewen’s power makes an early finish a possibility but Di Franco’s technical style and endurance likely lead to a decision victory.

Predicted Score: Sebastien Di Franco wins by decision after 3 rounds


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