Clayton Carpenter vs. Jafel Filho Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Clayton Carpenter Jafel Filho MMA/Boxing October 11, 2025

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Match Analysis: Clayton Carpenter vs Jafel Filho – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming fight between Clayton Carpenter and Jafel Filho at UFC Rio is set to be a closely contested bout in the Flyweight division. Both fighters have strong backgrounds in grappling, with Filho having a more extensive MMA experience and Carpenter boasting a high success rate in the early stages of his career.

Key Factors to Consider

• Jafel Filho leads in overall experience with a 16-4-0 record, while Clayton Carpenter has a strong 8-1-0 record with a high win percentage. Filho's experience may give him an edge in managing fight tempo.
• There is no previous head-to-head match between the two fighters, making this a first encounter.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Carpenter's aggressive style might be offset by Filho's defensive capabilities.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, as a win could boost their UFC rankings and career prospects.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Carpenter: -125, Filho: +105	Carpenter	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Carpenter: -3.5 @ 150, Filho: 3.5 @ -205	Filho covers the spread	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -195, Under 2.5: 150	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Clayton Carpenter 4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -17%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Clayton Carpenter at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This fight is expected to be competitive, with both fighters capable of winning. However, Clayton Carpenter's aggressive striking and grappling skills might give him an edge.

Predicted Score: Unapplicable for MMA Fights

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Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo Ramos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Kaan Ofli MMA/Boxing October 11, 2025 Ricardo Ramos

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Match Analysis: Kaan Ofli vs Ricardo Ramos – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 11, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Ricardo Ramos and Kaan Ofli will face off in the featherweight division at UFC Rio on October 11, 2025. This is expected to be a competitive match given the fighters' backgrounds. Ricardo Ramos, with a record of 17-7-0, is favored over Kaan Ofli, who holds a 12-4-1 record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Ricardo Ramos has a slight edge in terms of career performance and significant strikes landed per minute. However, Ofli has a higher percentage of strikes landed.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter.
• The fight is in Brazil, which could provide a home advantage for Ramos, but Ofli has shown resilience in previous matches.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with both seeking to improve their standing in the UFC.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ricardo Ramos -185, Kaan Ofli +154	Ricardo Ramos	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Kaan Ofli +3.5 -140, Ricardo Ramos -3.5 100	Kaan Ofli +3.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -140, Under 2.5 110	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ricardo Ramos 6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ricardo Ramos at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricardo Ramos is predicted to win due to his overall fight experience and slight physical advantages.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Ricardo Ramos

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Saimon Oliveira vs. Luan Lacerda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Luan Lacerda MMA/Boxing October 11, 2025 Saimon Oliveira

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Match Analysis: Saimon Oliveira vs Luan Lacerda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 11, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This bantamweight bout features Luan Lacerda, a 32-year-old orthodox fighter with a 12-3 record, against Saimon Oliveira, a 34-year-old with an 18-6 record. Both fighters are on losing streaks, but Lacerda has a higher significant strike rate and is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Luan Lacerda has a higher significant strike rate (4.52 per minute) compared to Saimon Oliveira (2.67 per minute). However, Oliveira has a slightly better defense against significant strikes.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these two fighters.
• No significant injury reports for either fighter.
• The fight is in Brazil, which could favor Oliveira due to home crowd support.
• Both fighters are motivated to break their losing streaks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Luan Lacerda: -250, Saimon Oliveira: +205	Luan Lacerda	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Luan Lacerda: -3.5 -180, Saimon Oliveira: +3.5 130	Luan Lacerda to win by decision or TKO	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 1.5 Rounds: -145, Under 1.5 Rounds: +114	Over 1.5 Rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Luan Lacerda -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luan Lacerda is predicted to win due to his higher striking output and potential for takedowns.

Predicted Score: Decision or late TKO for Luan Lacerda

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Irina Alekseeva vs. Beatriz Mesquita Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Beatriz Mesquita Irina Alekseeva MMA/Boxing October 11, 2025

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Match Analysis: Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-11
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: UFC Fight Night, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match features Irina Alekseeva facing Beatriz Mesquita in what will be Mesquita's UFC debut. Alekseeva comes with a UFC record of 5-3 but is coming off two recent losses. Mesquita is a highly skilled ground specialist with a strong Brazilian jiu-jitsu background, considered a favorite despite limited MMA experience at the UFC level.

Key Factors to Consider

• Irina Alekseeva has experience in the UFC with 5 wins and 3 losses, including recent defeats by decision. Beatriz Mesquita, though less experienced in MMA (about 5-0 at regional level), is a decorated grappler and expected to leverage her jiu-jitsu black belt skills to dominate on the ground.
• No previous meetings or head-to-head history exist between Irina Alekseeva and Beatriz Mesquita, making this their first encounter.
• There are no reported injuries for either fighter ahead of this bout.
• The fight takes place in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, which is the hometown of Beatriz Mesquita, potentially giving her a motivational edge.
• Mesquita is making her UFC debut in front of a supportive home crowd, with strong motivation to prove herself at the highest level. Alekseeva aims to bounce back from recent losses, adding personal motivation to secure a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Beatriz Mesquita: -575, Irina Alekseeva: 425	Beatriz Mesquita	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Beatriz Mesquita: -7.5 -230, Irina Alekseeva: +7.5 165	Beatriz Mesquita to win by more than 7.5 points (dominant decision or finish)	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 -154, Under: 1.5 120	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Irina Alekseeva -4%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 54%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 54% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Beatriz Mesquita is likely to win by submission or ground dominance within the first two rounds, given her elite grappling skills and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Beatriz Mesquita wins by submission in Round 1 or early Round 2

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Michael Aswell vs. Lucas Almeida Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Lucas Almeida Michael Aswell MMA/Boxing October 11, 2025

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Match Analysis: Michael Aswell vs Lucas Almeida – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: October 11, 2025
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Lucas Almeida and Michael Aswell face off in a Featherweight bout at UFC Rio. Almeida, aged 34 with a record of 15-4-0, is up against Aswell, a 25-year-old with a 10-3-0 record. Aswell is known for his high strike rate, landing 9.10 significant strikes per minute compared to Almeida's 4.94. Almeida, however, has a significant height and reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Almeida has struggled recently, losing a split decision to Danny Silva after missing weight. Aswell, meanwhile, brings a strong striking game.
• No prior bouts between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries.
• Almeida fights closer to home, but Aswell's youth and aggression might offset this.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Aswell looking to prove himself in a new division and Almeida seeking redemption.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Lucas Almeida: +114, Michael Aswell: -135	Michael Aswell	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Lucas Almeida: +3.5 -195, Michael Aswell: -3.5 140	Lucas Almeida +3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -175, Under 2.5: +135	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michael Aswell -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michael Aswell at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Aswell is favored to win due to his superior striking statistics and youth.

Predicted Score: Not applicable in MMA scoring

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Dedrek Sanders vs. Dzhamal Mavliudov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Dedrek Sanders Dzhamal Mavliudov MMA/Boxing October 10, 2025

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Match Analysis: Dedrek Sanders vs Dzhamal Mavliudov – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee

Game Overview

This fight at LFA 219 features Dedrek Sanders versus Dzhamal Mavliudov in a welterweight/lightweight matchup. Sanders brings more professional MMA experience with a record of 9-5-0 and finishes distributed among KOs, submissions, and decisions. Mavliudov is an undefeated rising prospect with a 6-0-0 record, known for a 100% finish rate by KO or submission. The bout is expected to showcase a contrast between Sanders' experience and Mavliudov's finishing ability and athleticism.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dedrek Sanders has a solid professional record with 9 wins and 5 losses, showing diverse win methods. Dzhamal Mavliudov, although less experienced, is undefeated with 6 wins and no losses and notably a 100% finish rate, splitting finishes evenly between submissions and KOs.
• No previous fights or direct encounters between Dedrek Sanders and Dzhamal Mavliudov have been recorded, indicating no head-to-head history.
• No public information on injuries affecting either fighter prior to the match was found.
• The fight is held at LFA 219 in Clarksville, Tennessee, with an audience and televised on UFC Fight Pass potentially adding pressure or motivation. Mavliudov is considered a rising prospect, and this event serves as a spotlight for both fighters with potential career implications.
• Dzhamal Mavliudov is motivated to maintain his undefeated streak and capitalize on his rising prospect status with a 6-month professional career showing rapid development. Dedrek Sanders, being more experienced, likely aims to halt the streak of an emerging fighter and reaffirm his status with a significant win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Dedrek Sanders: 225, Dzhamal Mavliudov: -350	Dzhamal Mavliudov	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Dedrek Sanders: +1.5 rounds (underdog), Dzhamal Mavliudov: -1.5 rounds (favorite)	Dzhamal Mavliudov -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: favorite, Under 2.5 rounds: underdog	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Dzhamal Mavliudov -16%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dzhamal Mavliudov at -16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dzhamal Mavliudov is favored to win due to his undefeated record, finishing ability, size advantage (height 185 cm vs 170 cm), and momentum, but Dedrek Sanders’ experience and balanced skillset make this a competitive bout. A finish by submission or KO from Mavliudov is slightly more probable, though Sanders has a credible chance to push the fight to a decision or capitalize on experience.

Predicted Score: Dzhamal Mavliudov wins by submission or KO in round 2

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Raheam Forest vs. Martin Camilo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Martin Camilo MMA/Boxing October 10, 2025 Raheam Forest

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Match Analysis: Raheam Forest vs Martin Camilo – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

The match is a welterweight bout between Raheam Forest and Martin Camilo at LFA 219, hosted in Clarksville, Tennessee. Forest holds an 8-3-0 record and is slightly younger and taller, while Camilo has a 7-2-1 record with a bit more professional experience but a longer career gap. Both fighters have finishing abilities but differ in method preferences, with Forest having more KO/TKO wins and Camilo leaning more toward submissions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Raheam Forest has a stronger recent record with an 8-3 career tally including 5 KOs/TKOs compared to Martin Camilo's 7-2-1 with 2 KOs/TKOs. Forest tends to finish fights early with a higher KO rate, whereas Camilo shows more submission skills and a tendency to go to decisions more often.
• This is their first official recorded matchup, so no direct head-to-head data is available. Their contrasting styles and finish methods are key to consider.
• No specific injury reports are available for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The fight is co-main event at LFA 219, broadcast on UFC Fight Pass, held at F&M Bank Arena, giving both fighters a platform to showcase in a competitive environment, possibly raising motivation.
• Both fighters are motivated with relatively young careers; Forest's recent form and finishing ability suggest high confidence, while Camilo's longer career and submission expertise offer a strong challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Martin Camilo: -160, Raheam Forest: 120	Raheam Forest	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Raheam Forest: -1.5, Martin Camilo: +1.5	Raheam Forest -1.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: -110, under_2.5_rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Martin Camilo -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Raheam Forest is favored to win due to his recent form, higher KO/TKO finish rate, and slight physical advantages, though Martin Camilo's submission skills and experience make it a competitive matchup. The prediction leans towards a Forest victory, possibly by KO or decision.

Predicted Score: Raheam Forest wins by KO/TKO in round 2

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Isaac Thomson vs. Akbarjon Islomboev Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Akbarjon Islomboev Isaac Thomson MMA/Boxing October 10, 2025

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Match Analysis: Isaac Thomson vs Akbarjon Islomboev – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: F&M Bank Arena, Clarksville, Tennessee, United States

Game Overview

The main event of LFA 219 features featherweight fighters Isaac Thomson and Akbarjon Islomboev. Thomson, an Australian prospect aged 23 from Team Alpha Male, brings a well-rounded striking style with knockout power and LFA experience but has two losses on his record. Islomboev, an undefeated Uzbek finisher from Dagestan Top Team based in Moscow, is known for his explosive knockout power and is making his US debut. The bout carries significant featherweight division implications within LFA, with chances for UFC recognition on the line.

Key Factors to Consider

• Thomson trains with the elite Team Alpha Male, which provides high-level coaching and a strong striking pedigree. Islomboev represents Dagestan Top Team, known for producing powerful fighters with finishing ability. Both teams are respected, but Thomson's LFA main event experience contrasts with Islomboev's raw finishing volatility.
• No previous head-to-head matches exist between Thomson and Islomboev. Islomboev is undefeated (10-1 overall), while Thomson holds an 8-2 record.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
• The event marks LFA's Tennessee debut at F&M Bank Arena. The increased local interest and sold-out crowd could add pressure or motivation. This is Islomboev's US debut, potentially affecting his mental state with excitement and pressure.
• Thomson aims to solidify his path to the UFC with a strong LFA main event win. Islomboev seeks to establish an international reputation with a victorious US debut, driven by his finishing highlight reel and social media following.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Akbarjon Islomboev: -120, Isaac Thomson: -120	Isaac Thomson to win	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Isaac Thomson: -1.5, Akbarjon Islomboev: +1.5	Isaac Thomson to cover -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	over: 1.75 (2.5 rounds), under: 2.05 (2.5 rounds)	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Isaac Thomson -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Isaac Thomson is predicted to win via decision or late stoppage with a 58% confidence due to his experience, composure under pressure, and technical striking. Islomboev's explosiveness and finishing power grant him a strong chance (42%) but potential vulnerability to Thomson's measured approach.

Predicted Score: Isaac Thomson wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds

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Andrew Stewart vs. Johnathan Waid Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Andrew Stewart Johnathan Waid MMA/Boxing October 10, 2025

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Match Analysis: Andrew Stewart vs Johnathan Waid – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Legacy Fighting Alliance 219 (Clarksville, Tennessee)

Game Overview

Andrew Stewart and Johnathan Waid face off in an electrifying welterweight bout at LFA 219, marking a significant moment in Stewart's career as he makes his Legacy Fighting Alliance debut. Stewart is an undefeated fighter with a 3-0 professional MMA record, while Johnathan Waid is a seasoned competitor. The fight is scheduled for 3 rounds of 5 minutes each, promising a competitive contest.

Key Factors to Consider

• Andrew Stewart is undefeated at 3-0 with solid striking and a background that includes transitioning from football to MMA, showing athleticism and quick adaptation. Johnathan Waid's record and detailed stats are less publicized, but he is considered the underdog with odds at +250. Stewart's recent odds have mostly been stable around -400 to -455, indicating strong confidence from bettors and bookmakers.
• No previous head-to-head meetings between Andrew Stewart and Johnathan Waid have been recorded, making this their first encounter and a fresh matchup without direct historical data to influence predictions.
• No reported injuries or issues affecting either fighter have been noted leading into the bout, suggesting both athletes will be competing at full strength.
• The fight takes place in Clarksville, Tennessee, at LFA 219, a home venue advantage possibly favoring Andrew Stewart who is highlighted in promotional materials. No additional external factors like weather or travel difficulties have been reported.
• Andrew Stewart is motivated to make a strong impression in his LFA debut and continue his undefeated streak, aiming toward bigger promotions like the UFC. Johnathan Waid, as the underdog, is likely motivated to upset the favorite and improve his standing in the welterweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Andrew Stewart: -400, Johnathan Waid: +250	Andrew Stewart to win	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Andrew Stewart -1.5 rounds: -150, Johnathan Waid +1.5 rounds: +130	Andrew Stewart to win by more than 1 round	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: +100	Under 2.5 rounds (fight ends before full 3 rounds)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Andrew Stewart 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Andrew Stewart at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Andrew Stewart is favored to win by a clear margin given his undefeated record, home advantage, and strong odds. A likely outcome is a decision or late round victory for Stewart, as Waid presents a challenge but does not appear to have the same level of momentum or betting support.

Predicted Score: Andrew Stewart wins by TKO in Round 3

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Matt Adams vs. Ben Wunder Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Ben Wunder Matt Adams MMA/Boxing October 10, 2025

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Match Analysis: Matt Adams vs Ben Wunder – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-10
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: LFA 219, Clarksville, Tennessee

Game Overview

The MMA bout between Matt Adams and Ben Wunder is taking place at LFA 219. Matt Adams comes with a current record of 4-1, demonstrating strong striking skills and notable experience in the cage. Ben Wunder, younger in MMA career, holds a perfect professional record of 2-0 and is part of the Bulldog Fight Team. Both fighters appear to be in good form, making for a competitive matchup expected to be close.

Key Factors to Consider

• Matt Adams has a proven track record with consistent performances, showing a solid balance of striking and grappling. Ben Wunder, despite fewer fights, has remained undefeated with solid wins likely emphasizing aggressive tactics and submission skills as indicated by his team pedigree.
• There is no prior head-to-head encounter between Matt Adams and Ben Wunder, making this their first meeting, which adds uncertainty and a vital tactical dimension to the fight's strategy.
• No confirmed recent injuries reported for either fighter leading up to this bout, suggesting both are entering in good physical condition.
• The fight takes place at LFA 219 in Clarksville, Tennessee, with no significant external distractions noted. Both fighters are competing under standard MMA settings and rules, broadcasted on UFC FIGHT PASS.
• Both fighters are motivated to maintain or bolster their records — Adams looking to reinforce his status with a fifth win, Wunder aiming to stay undefeated and build momentum early in his career.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ben Wunder: -135, Matt Adams: -105	Ben Wunder to win	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Matt Adams +1.5 rounds / Ben Wunder -1.5 rounds (typical MMA round spread)	Ben Wunder -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110 / Under 2.5 rounds -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ben Wunder -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Ben Wunder at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the close moneyline odds and the fighters' profiles, the prediction leans marginally toward Ben Wunder due to his undefeated status and slight odds favoring him, though Matt Adams' experience and skill level make this a tightly contested bout.

Predicted Score: Ben Wunder wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3

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