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Bolaji Oki vs. Mason Jones Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Bolaji Oki vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 8:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

The lightweight MMA bout pits Bolaji Oki (10-2) against Mason Jones (16-2-0, 1 NC) at UFC Paris. Both fighters are orthodox, similar height and weight, with Jones slightly longer reach. Oki is known for a higher volume and accuracy of significant strikes, while Jones has a solid finishing record and recent strong form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bolaji Oki lands 7.05 significant strikes/min at 45% accuracy but absorbs 4.76 strikes/min with 62% defense. Mason Jones lands fewer strikes at 5.56/min with 41% accuracy and defends only 48%. Jones shows better recent finishing ability and more UFC experience overall.
  • No known previous fight between Bolaji Oki and Mason Jones.
  • No current reported injuries for either fighter leading into the September 6 bout.
  • The fight is held at UFC Paris, potentially favoring both evenly with no strong home advantage. Both fighters appear motivated to advance their UFC standings.
  • Jones is in prime career form after returning from Cage Warriors with multiple finishes and a dominant UFC win. Oki, though a rising talent, has close UFC decision wins and a first round submission loss versus a higher-level opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bolaji Oki: +114, Mason Jones: -135 Mason Jones ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bolaji Oki +3.5: -180, Mason Jones -3.5: +130 Mason Jones -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -175, Under 2.5: +135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mason Jones -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones to win by decision

Predicted Score: Mason Jones wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Rhys McKee vs. Axel Sola Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rhys McKee vs Axel Sola – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between undefeated UFC newcomer Axel Sola and UFC veteran Rhys McKee, who has struggled in the UFC with a 1-4 record. Sola is favored due to his unbeaten MMA record (10-0-1) and momentum entering the UFC, while McKee shows solid striking volume but poor defense and inconsistent UFC results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sola boasts a perfect MMA record without any losses, suggesting strong form and confidence. McKee has shown striking volume (5.16 significant strikes/min with 44% accuracy) but also absorbs a high number of strikes (7.92/min) with below-average defense (46%), and has only one UFC victory in five bouts.
  • No prior head-to-head matchups exist between McKee and Sola, so historical data is unavailable. This UFC debut gives Sola the mental edge as a fresh, undefeated competitor versus the experienced but struggling McKee.
  • No reported current injuries for either fighter impacting performance or preparation.
  • Fight is in Sola’s UFC debut, a strong motivating factor. The bout takes place in Paris, which is neutral ground for both fighters, limiting home advantage effect.
  • Sola’s motivation is high to make a strong first impression and maintain his unbeaten streak, while McKee is likely motivated to rebound from his UFC struggles but has shown inconsistency recently.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: +114, away: -135 away ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread home +3.5: -180, away -3.5: +130 away -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over 2.5: -166, under 2.5: +130 under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Axel Sola 39%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 38%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Axel Sola at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Axel Sola to win by decision

Predicted Score: Axel Sola wins by decision – UFC standard scoring


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Patricio Pitbull vs. Losene Keita Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patricio Pitbull vs Losene Keita – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 7:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris

Game Overview

A featherweight clash between Patricio Pitbull, a highly decorated veteran at age 38, and Losene Keita, a 27-year-old European prospect making his UFC debut. The fight is pivotal for both careers, with Keita favored due to youth, recent momentum, and striking power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Losene Keita has strong recent form as a rising prospect with a 62.5% finish rate and explosive striking. Patricio Pitbull remains a veteran with grappling control skills but shows some decline due to age.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between these fighters; styles contrast Keita’s striking speed versus Pitbull’s wrestling/control.
  • No reported injuries for either competitor leading into the bout.
  • The fight takes place in Paris, somewhat neutral ground but potentially with slight crowd support for European Keita; no significant external pressures reported.
  • Keita motivated by UFC debut and career trajectory; Pitbull motivated by legacy and proving viability against younger competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Losene Keita: -225, Patricio Pitbull: +185 Losene Keita ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Losene Keita -3.5: +100, Patricio Pitbull +3.5: -135 Losene Keita -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: -188, Under 2.5: +145 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Losene Keita -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 47%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Losene Keita to win by knockout or technical knockout

Predicted Score: Losene Keita wins by TKO in Round 2


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William Gomis vs. Robert Ruchala Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: William Gomis vs Robert Ruchala – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Featherweight UFC Fight Night prelim bout between William 'Jaguar' Gomis and Robert Ruchala, two skilled fighters with strong records facing off for career momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • William Gomis holds a 14-3 record with consistent wins and experience at UFC level; Robert Ruchala is 11-1, a rising prospect with strong recent form but less UFC experience.
  • No previous professional meetings between Gomis and Ruchala, making this a fresh tactical matchup with unknown dynamics.
  • No reported injuries or ring-rust for either fighter as both have been actively competing recently.
  • Fighting in Paris at Accor Arena offers moderate home crowd neutrality; no significant travel or environmental issues reported.
  • Both fighters motivated to secure UFC establishment with Gomis aiming to extend his win streak and Ruchala seeking his UFC breakout victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gomis -258 / Ruchala +210 William Gomis ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Gomis -3.5 (-105), Ruchala +3.5 (-125) William Gomis -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-270), Under 2.5 (+200) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline William Gomis -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 95%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 95% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

William Gomis to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: William Gomis wins by decision or late stoppage before round 3


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Oumar Sy vs. Brendson Ribeiro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Oumar Sy vs Brendson Ribeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Light Heavyweight UFC Fight Night contest between Oumar Sy (11-1) and Brendson Ribeiro (17-8-0). Sy is a taller, longer-reach orthodox fighter with superior striking accuracy and defense, while Ribeiro has durability issues and less efficient striking.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Oumar Sy shows dominant recent form with 11 wins and 1 loss, landing 50% of significant strikes and absorbing only 1.81 per minute. Ribeiro, with a record of 17-8, has durability concerns, having been stopped recently by TKO and absorbing over 4.04 significant strikes per minute.
  • No available historical head-to-head fights between Oumar Sy and Brendson Ribeiro, making direct matchup inference rely on style and statistics.
  • Brendson Ribeiro has notable durability issues especially after a recent TKO loss, which impacts his potential to withstand Sy’s pressure. No significant injury reports on Oumar Sy.
  • Fight occurs in Paris, Sy is slightly younger and taller, with a reach advantage. Motivation likely high for Sy to rebound from his only loss and maintain top prospect status.
  • Oumar Sy aims to validate his status as a top light heavyweight prospect with a convincing win. Ribeiro looks to overcome recent setbacks but faces a tough stylistic matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oumar Sy: -455, Brendson Ribeiro: +350 Oumar Sy ★★★★☆ 79%
Spread Oumar Sy -3.5: -245, Brendson Ribeiro +3.5: +175 Oumar Sy -3.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -140, Under 1.5 rounds: +110 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oumar Sy -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oumar Sy to win via Knockout

Predicted Score: Oumar Sy wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Marcin Tybura vs. Ante Delija Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcin Tybura vs Ante Delija – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 6:15 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Paris

Game Overview

Heavyweight UFC rematch between Poland's Marcin Tybura, a seasoned top-ten gatekeeper, and Croatia's Ante Delija, UFC newcomer and former PFL heavyweight champion. Both fighters have strong resumes; the bout carries high stakes for position and reputation in the division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tybur has a solid UFC record with a 27-9 career, showing durable and technical striking and grappling. Delija comes off dominant wins in PFL with first-round TKO victories and limited UFC experience but strong momentum as a rising prospect.
  • This matchup is a rematch; prior fight details are limited, but betting markets view it as extremely close, with Delija slightly favored due to recent dominant form and youth advantage.
  • No notable recent injuries reported for either fighter. Both appear healthy heading into the fight.
  • Fight is in Paris, neutral venue; no significant travel or altitude disadvantages. Delija’s UFC debut brings freshness, while Tybura aims to defend ranking status.
  • Delija highly motivated to establish himself in UFC with a statement win. Tybura motivated to retain top-ten gatekeeper status and avoid being passed by newcomers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ante Delija: -112, Marcin Tybura: -108 Ante Delija ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Ante Delija +3.5: -205, Marcin Tybura -3.5: +150 Ante Delija +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ante Delija -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ante Delija moneyline win

Predicted Score: Ante Delija wins by decision or late TKO in round 3


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Sam Patterson vs. Trey Waters Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sam Patterson vs Trey Waters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 5:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Sam Patterson and Trey Waters face off in the Welterweight division at UFC Paris. Patterson carries a strong record of 13-2-1 with notable reach advantage and efficient striking defense, while Waters is an aggressive striker with a 9-1 record known for his pressure and output.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Patterson has a 13-2-1 record, showcasing consistency with a balanced striking output (3.17 significant strikes/min, 41% accuracy) and strong defense (48% striking defense). Waters is 9-1, with higher striking volume (6.43 significant strikes/min, 44% accuracy) but absorbs more strikes (5.61/min) despite a better defense rate (56%).
  • They have no prior head-to-head matchups, so direct comparative historic performance is unavailable.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to the fight.
  • The fight takes place at a major UFC event in Paris, which may somewhat favor Patterson given his higher experience in big cards, but both fighters are motivated to solidify their standings.
  • Patterson seeks to maintain momentum and capitalize on his experience; Waters aims to prove himself with an upset win on a prominent stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Patterson: -185, Trey Waters: +154 Sam Patterson ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Sam Patterson -3.5: -120, Trey Waters +3.5: -110 Sam Patterson -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -188, Under 1.5: +145 Under 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Patterson -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 47%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 47% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Patterson to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Sam Patterson wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds


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Brad Tavares vs. Robert Bryczek Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Brad Tavares vs Robert Bryczek – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 5:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Brad Tavares, a veteran middleweight fighter with a 21-10 record, faces Robert Bryczek, an aggressive 17-6 fighter, at UFC Paris. Both fighters are orthodox, similar in height and weight, but Tavares brings more experience and precision striking, while Bryczek has shown finishing power especially with KO/TKOs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Tavares has a higher significant strikes per minute rate (3.42) and lands 43% accuracy versus Bryczek’s 2.13 and 24%, indicating superior striking efficiency. Defensively, Tavares concedes fewer significant strikes per minute than Bryczek (3.28 vs 4.47).
  • No prior head-to-head matchups between Tavares and Bryczek.
  • No current injury reports affecting either fighter.
  • Fight takes place in Paris with no significant home advantage. Tavares appears motivated and well-prepared, with no external distractions noted.
  • Tavares is motivated to maintain his status amid an aging phase and prove longevity, while Bryczek looks to make a statement stepping up in competition.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Brad Tavares: -225, Robert Bryczek: +185 Brad Tavares ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Brad Tavares -3.5: +110, Robert Bryczek +3.5: -150 Robert Bryczek +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -215, Under 2.5 rounds: +165 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Brad Tavares -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 59%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 59% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brad Tavares to win via decision

Predicted Score: Tavares wins via unanimous decision after 3 rounds


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Andreas Gustafsson Berg vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Andreas Gustafsson Berg vs Rinat Fakhretdinov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 4:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Andreas Gustafsson Berg faces Rinat Fakhretdinov in a welterweight bout at UFC Paris with both fighters showcasing strong skills. Gustafsson has a solid striking output with higher accuracy and better defense, while Fakhretdinov holds a superior professional record and a slight reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Gustafsson (12-2) strikes 5.83 significant strikes per minute at 76% accuracy, absorbing 2.79 strikes per minute. Fakhretdinov (23-1-1) lands 4.78 strikes at 52% accuracy, absorbing 3.58 significant strikes per minute but defends 53% of strikes.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings found between Gustafsson and Fakhretdinov, making this their first encounter.
  • No reported injuries or health concerns for either fighter leading into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in Paris at Accor Arena, no notable external factors affecting performance. Both fighters fight orthodox and are similarly aged.
  • Fakhretdinov looks to maintain near-perfect career record (23-1-1), while Gustafsson aims to solidify himself against an elite opponent. Both highly motivated, but Fakhretdinov’s record suggests a slight edge in career momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -120, away: +100 Andreas Gustafsson Berg ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread home: +150, away: -205 Rinat Fakhretdinov +3.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -195, under: +150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Andreas Gustafsson Berg 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 75%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 75% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 50% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Andreas Gustafsson Berg to win on the moneyline. Expect a competitive fight, with Gustafsson’s precision striking and defense to edge out Fakhretdinov. Take the under 2.5 rounds considering strong defensive attributes and measured pace.

Predicted Score: Andreas Gustafsson Berg wins by decision in 3 rounds


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Shauna Bannon vs. Sam Hughes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Shauna Bannon vs Sam Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 4:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Accor Arena, Paris, France

Game Overview

Women's Strawweight bout between Shauna Bannon (7-1) and Sam Hughes (10-6) at UFC Paris. Hughes is favored with stronger recent performances and superior cardio, while Bannon has solid striking but less effective at UFC level.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sam Hughes has improved to 3-1 in her last four fights, showing better cardio, pressure, and defensive striking (58% strike defense) compared to Bannon who connects more but allows more significant strikes. Hughes has a grinding style that tends to overwhelm similar opponents.
  • No previous head-to-head matchup between Shauna Bannon and Sam Hughes.
  • No reported recent injuries for either fighter impacting performance.
  • Fight takes place at a neutral venue in Paris. Hughes' relentless pace and ground control style are expected to be effective regardless of venue.
  • Hughes appears highly motivated to maintain winning momentum and exploit Bannon’s vulnerabilities; Bannon looking to establish herself as UFC contender but has yet to demonstrate dominance at this level.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sam Hughes -340, Shauna Bannon +270 Sam Hughes ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Sam Hughes -3.5 (-115), Shauna Bannon +3.5 (-115) Sam Hughes -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -475, Under 2.5 rounds +325 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sam Hughes -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 155%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 155% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sam Hughes to win via decision

Predicted Score: Sam Hughes wins by unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28, 29-28)


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