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Patchy Mix vs. Jakub Wiklacz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Patchy Mix vs Jakub Wiklacz – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 11:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified in available data

Game Overview

This is a high-stakes MMA bout between Patchy Mix, a former Bellator champion, and Jakub Wiklacz, an up-and-coming European fighter with KSW experience. The fight is at a neutral UFC event, and the betting lines reflect a clear favorite.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Patchy Mix has faced higher-level competition and won consistently, especially as a Bellator champion. Jakob Wiklacz has shown promise but has mainly competed in KSW, which is a tier below UFC and Bellator.
  • No prior head-to-head between these fighters.
  • No reported major injuries for either fighter from available data.
  • No significant external factors (stadium, travel, etc.) reported.
  • Mix is looking to re-establish himself at the elite level after moving to the UFC. Wiklacz is highly motivated to make a statement in his UFC debut.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Patchy Mix (-300), Jakub Wiklacz (+250) Patchy Mix wins ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-145), Under 2.5 (125) Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Patchy Mix -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Patchy Mix is a heavy favorite for a reason—his experience, skill set, and proven ability against top-tier opposition give him a significant edge, despite Wiklacz's hunger and regional success.

Predicted Score: Patchy Mix by KO/TKO Round 3


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Veronica Hardy vs. Brogan Walker-Sanchez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Veronica Hardy vs Brogan Walker-Sanchez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 10:05 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Women's flyweight (125 lbs) clash featuring a significant statistical and betting favorite in Veronica Hardy. Hardy, younger and with superior striking metrics, faces veteran Brogan Walker-Sanchez, who has longer reach but lower volume and accuracy.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Veronica Hardy lands 3.12 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy, and defends 49% of incoming strikes. Brogan Walker-Sanchez connects with 2.04 significant strikes per minute at 30% accuracy, defending 47%. Hardy’s higher volume, accuracy, and defensive stats suggest a clear technical edge[1].
  • No prior head-to-head encounters.
  • No public injury concerns for either fighter.
  • Walker-Sanchez is 37, Hardy is 29. Hardy fights out of the southpaw stance; Walker-Sanchez is a switch-stance fighter. Hardy faces a steep betting line indicating market confidence in her dominance[1][3].
  • Hardy is a strong favorite; the betting public expects a decisive win. Walker-Sanchez, as a veteran underdog, will be looking for an upset, but market odds show little expectation of this outcome[1][3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hardy -825, Walker-Sanchez +575 Veronica Hardy to win ★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -374, Under 2.5 rounds +299 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Veronica Hardy -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Veronica Hardy will dominate on the feet, utilizing her higher striking output and accuracy to outstrike Brogan Walker-Sanchez over three rounds. Expect a decisive, but not necessarily early, win for Hardy.

Predicted Score: Veronica Hardy by Unanimous Decision


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Frankie Edgar vs. Jimmie Rivera Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Frankie Edgar vs Jimmie Rivera – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified (BKFC event expected in New Jersey)

Game Overview

This was scheduled to be a high-profile bare-knuckle fight in the BKFC promotion, featuring UFC legend Frankie Edgar coming out of retirement to face high-level striker Jimmie Rivera. However, Edgar was pulled from the event just days before, casting the legitimacy and/or availability of either fighter into question[5][6]. As of now, no replacement opponent for Rivera has been confirmed, and the event status is unclear.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Edgar is a former UFC champion with a proven track record in MMA, but he is coming out of retirement and has no recent BKFC experience. Rivera is a skilled striker with a strong MMA base and more recent activity, but both fighters lack bare-knuckle-specific data.
  • No previous direct head-to-head encounters.
  • Edgar was pulled from the event for undisclosed reasons. Rivera's health status is unconfirmed, but based on the latest news, he is still expected to compete, possibly against a replacement opponent[5][6].
  • Edgar's late withdrawal introduces significant uncertainty into the event and specifically this matchup. If the fight does not take place as originally scheduled, all markets are void.
  • Edgar was highly motivated for a late-career challenge, but his withdrawal suggests a change in circumstances. Rivera remains motivated to compete, particularly if a replacement foe is found.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Frankie Edgar (200), Jimmie Rivera (-300) Market void – event canceled for this matchup ☆☆☆☆☆ 0%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Frankie Edgar -100%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Due to Frankie Edgar's withdrawal, the originally scheduled matchup is off, and no official replacement has been announced as of October 2, 2025[5][6]. Therefore, any prediction based on the original Edgar vs. Rivera bout is invalid. The value in this market is currently zero, as the original fight is canceled. All existing odds should be considered void.

Predicted Score: N/A – Event canceled for original matchup[5][6]


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Mike Perry vs. Jeremy Stephens Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mike Perry vs Jeremy Stephens – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey

Game Overview

Mike Perry and Jeremy Stephens face off in a heated BKFC 82 bare-knuckle boxing main event with Perry favored due to his aggression and durability, while Stephens brings veteran experience and knockout power. Both fighters have a knockout threat and a strong rivalry leading to an emotionally charged bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mike Perry is known for his aggressive striking and forward pressure but has a tendency to absorb hits. Jeremy Stephens has solid counter-punching skills and heavy hands, with both undefeated in bare-knuckle boxing so far.
  • No official MMA or BKFC matchups prior to this bout, but pre-fight tensions have been high with a near altercation at BKFC 80, indicating strong motivation from both sides.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter ahead of the fight, indicating both are physically prepared at peak condition.
  • Fight location in Newark, New Jersey, may slightly favor Mike Perry given his strong fan support and familiarity with the venue environment.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Perry defending his 'King of Violence' title and Stephens looking to assert veteran dominance and respond to pre-fight trash talk.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mike Perry: -400, Jeremy Stephens: +250 Mike Perry ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Mike Perry -1.5 rounds: -150, Jeremy Stephens +1.5 rounds: +130 Mike Perry -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: EVEN Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mike Perry -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mike Perry at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Perry to win via knockout

Predicted Score: Mike Perry wins by KO in Round 2


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Nikolay Veretennikov vs. Punahele Soriano Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Nikolay Veretennikov vs Punahele Soriano – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The UFC 320 prelim bout between Nikolay Veretennikov and Punahele Soriano features two welterweights with differing styles and career trajectories. Soriano is a proven UFC veteran (11-4, 5-4 UFC) with a heavy-handed, aggressive approach, while Veretennikov (13-6, 1-2 UFC) is looking to establish himself at the highest level. Bookmaker odds heavily favor Soriano, reflecting his higher Octagon experience and finishing power.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Soriano has a more extensive UFC track record with notable power and durability. Veretennikov is less proven in the UFC, with only four Octagon appearances and a mixed record in the big show. Soriano’s recent form has been stronger, facing higher-level competition and finishing fights with knockouts and submissions[2].
  • No prior fights between the two. However, Soriano’s resume includes bouts against tougher opposition, giving him an edge in big-game experience.
  • No significant public information suggesting injuries for either fighter[1][2].
  • The fight is at altitude in Las Vegas, and both athletes are well-prepared. No external factors stand out as likely to swing this matchup.
  • Soriano has regained momentum with a recent knockout and is looking to climb the welterweight ranks. Veretennikov has more to prove but has shown the ability to upset in the underdog role.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Soriano -332, Veretennikov +272 Soriano ★★★★☆ 81%
Over/under Over 1.5 Rounds -180, Under 1.5 Rounds +157 Under 1.5 Rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Punahele Soriano -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 46%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 46% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 29.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Punahele Soriano is the clear favorite, but the betting value is questionable due to the heavy odds. The Over is strongly favored, reflecting both fighters’ finishing instincts and Soriano’s recent tendency to end fights[2].

Predicted Score: Soriano by KO/TKO, Round 1


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Austin Vanderford vs. Ramiz Brahimaj Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Austin Vanderford vs Ramiz Brahimaj – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 8:00 PM UTC
  • Location: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas

Game Overview

UFC 320 welterweight clash, with both fighters seeking momentum in the division. Vanderford, 35, is the slim favorite, facing off against Brahimaj, 32, in what promises to be a striking-focused matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vanderford (13-2) is riding a two-fight win streak and holds a better striking output (4.08/min, 63% accuracy vs. Brahimaj’s 2.14/min, 45% accuracy). Vanderford is also more defensively sound (51% strike defense vs. Brahimaj’s 43%) and absorbs fewer significant strikes per minute (2.66 vs. 3.81)[1]. Brahimaj, though, is dangerous on the ground, with a submission-heavy resume, but Vanderford’s wrestling background and better takedown defense make him less likely to be caught.
  • No prior matchups. Vanderford holds a superior record and has faced higher-caliber opposition.
  • No public reports of injuries pre-fight.
  • Fight takes place at altitude in Vegas; both fighters have fought nationally but no obvious edge. No major external distractions reported for either fighter.
  • Vanderford is aiming to solidify contender status at 170 lbs, while Brahimaj urgently needs a win to avoid three straight losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vanderford -300 / Brahimaj +250 Vanderford wins ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -210 / Under 1.5 +180 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Austin Vanderford 166%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Austin Vanderford at 166% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 66.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Vanderford wins by unanimous decision, utilizing superior striking and defensive fundamentals with minimal risk of being finished by Brahimaj.

Predicted Score: Vanderford wins by unanimous decision (29-28, 29-28, 29-28)


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Dylan Hazan vs. Igor Wojtas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dylan Hazan vs Igor Wojtas – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Cage Warriors event

Game Overview

Flyweight division main card fight between Dylan Hazan and Igor Wojtas at Cage Warriors 195.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dylan Hazan is the strong favorite with a -400 moneyline, indicating superior recent form and likely better overall skills in this matchup. Igor Wojtas, while respected, shows weaker odds at +300, reflecting underdog status.
  • No direct previous matchups between Hazan and Wojtas are recorded, reducing head-to-head impact but focusing more on recent form and stylistic matchup data.
  • No reported injuries on either fighter leading into the bout, implying both are at full health.
  • Both fighters are competing under standard Cage Warriors conditions without notable external disruptions or advantage factors such as home crowd edge.
  • As a main card fight in a prominent regional promotion, motivation is expected to be high for both fighters; Hazan’s favorite status may offer additional confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -400, away: +300 Dylan Hazan ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread home: -1.5, away: +1.5 Dylan Hazan -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dylan Hazan -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Dylan Hazan moneyline win, with under 2.5 rounds total

Predicted Score: Dylan Hazan wins by finish in round 2


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Daniele Battaglia vs. Theodor Berggren Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Daniele Battaglia vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Palapellicone, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Featherweight bout scheduled for 3 rounds at Cage Warriors 195 featuring Daniele Battaglia and Theodor Berggren.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Theodor Berggren has consistently shown stronger recent form and holds a slight edge on the moneyline odds, reflecting market confidence. Daniele Battaglia has performed well but is the underdog in this matchup.
  • No direct H2H data was found for a previous matchup between these two fighters, indicating this is likely their first encounter.
  • No recent or reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
  • The fight takes place in Rome, Italy, which is Daniele Battaglia’s home country, possibly providing him with home crowd advantage and motivation.
  • Berggren appears highly motivated to solidify his position as a top featherweight prospect in Cage Warriors, while Battaglia aims to capitalize on home advantage to upset the favored fighter.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Daniele Battaglia: +185, Theodor Berggren: -220 Theodor Berggren ★★★★☆ 73%
Spread Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds: -145, Daniele Battaglia +1.5 rounds: +125 Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: +130, Under 2.5 rounds: -150 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Theodor Berggren -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Theodor Berggren to win; Spread: Theodor Berggren -1.5 rounds; Over/Under: Under 2.5 rounds

Predicted Score: Theodor Berggren wins by TKO in Round 2


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Dario Bellandi vs. Claudio Ribeiro Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Dario Bellandi vs Claudio Ribeiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-04
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Rome

Game Overview

Middleweight (185lbs) title fight for Cage Warriors 195, five rounds. Bellandi (Italy, 9-1-0) is a rising contender with strong recent form and a well-rounded skill set. Ribeiro (Brazil, 13-6-0) is a tough, experienced striker but has shown inconsistency against top grappling pressure.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bellandi has won recent bouts and shown durability and composure under pressure, with a 5-round decision win in his last title fight. Ribeiro has faced tougher UFC-level competition but has struggled against wrestlers and strong athletic grapplers.
  • First professional meeting.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter as of the fight date.
  • Bellandi fights at home, which may provide a cardio and crowd advantage in the championship rounds.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated—Bellandi aiming to cement himself as CW’s top local star, Ribeiro seeking redemption after a tough UFC stint.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -135, away: 115 Dario Bellandi by decision (moneyline) Not available
Over/under over: -165, under: 145 Over 1.5 rounds Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Dario Bellandi 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Dario Bellandi at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bellandi’s grappling, cardio, and hometown edge present significant stylistic challenges for Ribeiro, who struggles when pressured by strong wrestlers.

Predicted Score: Bellandi defeats Ribeiro by unanimous decision (48-47, 49-46, 49-46)


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Luca Borando vs. Tariel Abbasov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Luca Borando vs Tariel Abbasov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 4, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Luca Borando vs. Tariel Abbasov is a highly anticipated matchup in the Featherweight division of Cage Warriors 195. Borando is known for his striking power and aggressive style, while Abbasov boasts a strong grappling background and excellent takedown skills. The odds slightly favor Borando, but Abbasov's capabilities on the ground could lead to an upset.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Borando's striking prowess and Abbasov's grappling skills are key factors in this matchup.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the two fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Fight conditions such as referee assignments and crowd influence could impact the outcome.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, as this is a significant bout in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luca Borando: -220, Tariel Abbasov: 185 Luca Borando ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 1.5: -185, Under 1.5: 161 Over 1.5 ★★★★☆ 71%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Luca Borando -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luca Borando is favored to win due to his striking advantage, but Tariel Abbasov's grappling could lead to an upset.

Predicted Score: Luca Borando via Split Decision or TKO


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