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Rade Opacic vs. Mike Kena Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Rade Opacic vs Mike Kena – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: RTM Stage, Netherlands

Game Overview

The fight features Rade Opacic (22-7, 17 KO) of Serbia against Mike Kena (9-1, 7 KO) from Congo in the Last Heavyweight Standing tournament semi-final event at Glory 104. Both fighters are 28 years old with strong knockout power, presenting a highly competitive match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Opacic has a longer pro record and has recently secured a victory over Ionut Iancu. Kena is on a strong upward momentum with 7 KOs in 9 wins but lacks the extensive high-level experience Opacic has.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups available; this is their first meeting.
  • No reported injuries or physical setbacks for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Both fighters are competing in a tournament setting which can affect pacing and risk-taking. Opacic’s experience in tournament shows his ability to manage multiple fights.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Opacic aiming to consolidate his recent tournament success while Kena looks to make a mark on the bigger stage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -140 for Opacic, +120 for Kena Opacic β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread -1.5 Opacic (-110), +1.5 Kena (-110) Opacic -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-115), Under 2.5 rounds (-105) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Rade Opacic to win

Predicted Score: Opacic wins by decision or late-round TKO within 3 rounds


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Berjan Peposhi vs. Aitor Ibanez Currito Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Berjan Peposhi vs Aitor Ibanez Currito – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Berjan Peposhi, known for his aggressive striking and knockout power, faces Aitor Ibanez Currito, who excels in grappling. The contrast between their fighting styles could lead to an exciting and potentially early finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Berjan Peposhi has a strong record with highlight-reel knockouts, while Aitor Ibanez Currito is adept at submissions. Peposhi's vulnerability to being hit could be a deciding factor if Ibanez Currito can take the fight to the ground.
  • No prior H2H data available.
  • No reported injuries.
  • Factors like crowd support and altitude could influence fighters but are not specified.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, given the stakes of the matchup.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline [Assumed odds for illustration: Peposhi -150, Ibanez Currito +130] Berjan Peposhi β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Berjan Peposhi has a slight edge due to his knockout power, but Aitor Ibanez Currito offers value for a submission win.

Predicted Score: No specific score prediction available due to MMA's nature.


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Sergej Braun vs. Iliass Hammouche Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Sergej Braun vs Iliass Hammouche – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not explicitly specified – Glory 104 tournament likely venue

Game Overview

A middleweight MMA bout featuring Sergej Braun, a powerful striker with a professional record of 45-14 and 27 KOs, against Iliass Hammouche, with a solid record of 34-8 and 7 KOs. Both fighters have high-level experience and knockout capability but differ in finishing styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Sergej Braun has shown consistent knockout power (27 KOs) and experience in high-pressure tournaments; Iliass Hammouche has fewer knockouts but a strong technical striking background.
  • No direct H2H matchups found between Braun and Hammouche, implying a fresh tactical matchup; past fights indicate Braun generally favors an aggressive approach.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter within available data; both appear to be entering the bout at full health.
  • Fight is part of Glory 104 tournament series; both fighters motivated to advance further; Braun’s recent high-profile bouts have increased his confidence and exposure.
  • Braun motivated by recent successes and desire to capitalize on momentum; Hammouche motivated to prove technical striking superiority and upset a powerful knockout artist.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braun -145, Hammouche +125 Sergej Braun β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Braun -1.5 (+150), Hammouche +1.5 (-180) Sergej Braun -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds (-120), Under 2.5 rounds (+100) Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sergej Braun to win by knockout

Predicted Score: Braun wins by KO in Round 2


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Miloő Cvjetićanin vs. Alin Nechita Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: MiloΕ‘ CvjetiΔ‡anin vs Alin Nechita – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

Miloő Cvjetićanin, a skilled kickboxer known for his powerful striking and recent success in GLORY Kickboxing, faces Alin Nechita in an MMA matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • CvjetiΔ‡anin has shown impressive recent form with a high KO/TKO rate, while Nechita's recent performance is less clear.
  • No past matchups between CvjetiΔ‡anin and Nechita are available.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter.
  • CvjetiΔ‡anin's transition from kickboxing to MMA could present challenges but also opportunities due to his striking prowess.
  • CvjetiΔ‡anin, a recent K-1 winner, is likely highly motivated to establish himself in MMA.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Cvjetićanin's background and recent success, he is likely favored to win.

Predicted Score: Given the nature of MMA, a precise score is difficult to predict.


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Thomas Petersen vs. Vitor Petrino Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Thomas Petersen vs Vitor Petrino – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Heavyweight UFC bout between Thomas Petersen and Vitor Petrino, featuring two contrasting styles and similar physical stats, set for October 11, 2025 at UFC Rio.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Petrino holds a 12-2 record with high striking accuracy (45%) and solid defense (47% strikes absorbed). Petersen is 10-3 with higher striking volume and accuracy (59%) and better defense (57%). Petersen recently won decisively via unanimous decision over Don'Tale Mayes.
  • No direct previous matchups between the fighters.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout.
  • The fight takes place at UFC Rio, Petrino's home country, likely favoring him psychologically and crowd support. The southpaw Petersen may present stylistic challenges.
  • Petersen appears motivated coming off a recent win and is slightly older (30 vs 28), while Petrino aims to maintain dominant home status with a strong 12-2 career.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Thomas Petersen: +240, Vitor Petrino: -298 Vitor Petrino β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Thomas Petersen +3.5: +130, Vitor Petrino -3.5: -180 Vitor Petrino -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -200, Under 1.5 rounds: +154 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vitor Petrino -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 52%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Prediction favors Vitor Petrino on moneyline given his strong form, home advantage, and betting market consensus despite Petersen’s higher striking output.

Predicted Score: Vitor Petrino wins by decision or late finish within 3 rounds


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Saimon Oliveira vs. Luan Lacerda Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Saimon Oliveira vs Luan Lacerda – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This bantamweight matchup at UFC Rio features Luan Lacerda (12-3) versus Saimon Oliveira (18-6), both orthodox fighters around 135 lbs with similar reach. Lacerda is the odds favorite at -250, displaying a higher significant strike rate but also absorbing more strikes. Oliveira is a seasoned fighter with decent defense and a slight edge in reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lacerda lands 4.52 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy but absorbs 7.07 per minute with 47% defense. Oliveira lands 2.67 significant strikes per minute at 40% accuracy, absorbing 4.13 with 46% defense. Oliveira’s experience (18-6) is broader but Lacerda’s recent form and efficiency suggest aggressiveness.
  • No recorded previous fights between Lacerda and Oliveira, so no direct matchup data available.
  • No reported injuries impacting either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight location in Rio de Janeiro favors both Brazilian fighters equally; no notable external factors impacting performance.
  • Both fighters motivated to climb rankings in bantamweight; Lacerda as a younger prospect aiming to capitalize on momentum, Oliveira seeking to leverage experience for possible career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Luan Lacerda: -250, Saimon Oliveira: +205 Luan Lacerda β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Luan Lacerda: -3.5 -180, Saimon Oliveira: +3.5 +130 Luan Lacerda -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: +114 Over 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saimon Oliveira -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Luan Lacerda to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Luan Lacerda wins by unanimous decision or TKO in round 3


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Kaan Ofli vs. Ricardo Ramos Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Kaan Ofli vs Ricardo Ramos – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: October 11, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

The matchup between Kaan Ofli and Ricardo Ramos will take place at UFC Rio on October 11, 2025. Both fighters have different strengths and weaknesses, with Ramos being a slight favorite due to his experience and recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ricardo Ramos has a career record of 17-7-0 and is known for connecting on 2.97 significant strikes per minute, though he takes 4.06 significant strikes per minute. Kaan Ofli has a record of 12-4-1, connecting on 2.00 significant strikes per minute and absorbing 2.93.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups are noted.
  • No recent injuries are reported for either fighter.
  • The fight is in Brazil, which might favor Ramos due to crowd support.
  • Both fighters are motivated to win, with Ramos looking to bounce back from a recent decision loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Kaan Ofli: 154, Ricardo Ramos: -185 Ricardo Ramos Not available
Spread Kaan Ofli: 3.5 -140, Ricardo Ramos: -3.5 100 Ricardo Ramos Not available
Over/under over: 2.5 -140, under: 2.5 110 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ricardo Ramos -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -4%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Ricardo Ramos at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ricardo Ramos is likely to win due to his experience and higher strike rate.

Predicted Score: No specific score is available for MMA fights, but Ramos is expected to perform well.


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Michael Aswell vs. Lucas Almeida Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Michael Aswell vs Lucas Almeida – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Michael Aswell and Lucas Almeida face off at UFC Rio in a featherweight bout. Almeida is the more experienced fighter with a longer reach and higher age, while Aswell is younger and exhibits higher striking output. The fight will likely hinge on Aswell's volume striking and ability to avoid Almeida's counters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Almeida holds a 15-4 record with moderate striking accuracy (39%) and defense (44%). Aswell, younger at 25, has a 10-3 record with superior striking volume (9.1 significant strikes/min) and accuracy (44%), and better strike defense (54%). Almeida is more conservative but durable, Aswell more aggressive.
  • No direct H2H matchups between Almeida and Aswell to date, so prediction is based on comparative statistical analysis and stylistic matchups.
  • No reported injuries to either fighter leading into this bout.
  • Fight takes place in Brazil, Almeida’s home country, which might give him crowd support and motivation. Aswell is the younger fighter traveling internationally but maintains composure in high-pressure UFC events.
  • Almeida seeks to consolidate his featherweight status with a high-profile win on home soil at UFC Rio. Aswell aims to build momentum as a young rising contender with a powerful striking style.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lucas Almeida: +114, Michael Aswell: -135 Michael Aswell β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Lucas Almeida (+3.5): -195, Michael Aswell (-3.5): +140 Michael Aswell -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -175, Under 2.5 rounds: +135 Under 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lucas Almeida -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michael Aswell to win by decision

Predicted Score: Michael Aswell wins by unanimous decision after three rounds


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Irina Alekseeva vs. Beatriz Mesquita Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Irina Alekseeva vs Beatriz Mesquita – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event – Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

This Bantamweight division prelim fight features Beatriz Mesquita, a highly experienced and dominant grappler from Brazil, against rising Russian contender Irina Alekseeva. Mesquita enters as a strong favorite with significant betting support, reflecting her superior MMA rΓ©sumΓ© and grappling dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Beatriz Mesquita has exhibited consistent dominance in recent bouts, showing strong grappling and control, with multiple wins in 2025 at UFC and LFA levels. Irina Alekseeva, while improving, has less experience and fewer wins against top-tier competition.
  • No recorded previous bouts between Mesquita and Alekseeva, making this a form and style matchup rather than historical dominance.
  • No known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the match, allowing both to perform at expected levels.
  • Fight takes place in Brazil, Beatriz Mesquita's home country, potentially boosting her motivation and crowd support.
  • Mesquita aims to extend her dominance and reinforce UFC contender status, while Alekseeva seeks to make a significant UFC statement. Mesquita’s experience at high-level competition increases her motivation to maintain form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Beatriz Mesquita -575, Irina Alekseeva +425 Beatriz Mesquita β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Beatriz Mesquita -7.5 -230, Irina Alekseeva +7.5 165 Beatriz Mesquita -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 1.5 -154, Under 1.5 120 Under 1.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Beatriz Mesquita -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.5 32%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bet on Beatriz Mesquita moneyline

Predicted Score: Beatriz Mesquita wins by submission or decision within 2 rounds


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Clayton Carpenter vs. Jafel Filho Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Clayton Carpenter vs Jafel Filho – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-11
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Farmasi Arena, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Clayton Carpenter faces Jafel Filho in a UFC Flyweight bout with Carpenter slightly favored on the moneyline. Carpenter (8-1) is younger with higher significant strikes landed per minute, better accuracy, and stronger defense. Filho (16-4) is more experienced but lands fewer significant strikes and takes fewer per minute. Both use orthodox stance and are closely matched in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Carpenter boasts a high 3.91 significant strikes landed per minute at 55% accuracy, while Filho lands 1.92 strikes per minute at 41% accuracy. Defensively, Carpenter allows 2.75 strikes per minute but deflects 55%, Filho allows 1.63 strikes per minute with 47% deflection. Carpenter has younger age (29 vs. 32) and a recent KO win momentum.
  • No direct previous bouts found between Carpenter and Filho.
  • No reported injuries or recent layoffs affecting either fighter.
  • Fight location in Rio may slightly favor Filho due to home crowd support and familiarity, but Carpenter appears mentally focused with stronger recent form.
  • Both fighters highly motivated for UFC Rio event, Carpenter eager to solidify his rising status; Filho motivated to leverage experience against a younger contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -125 Clayton Carpenter β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Clayton Carpenter -3.5 (150) Clayton Carpenter -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-195) Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Clayton Carpenter 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -9%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Clayton Carpenter at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Clayton Carpenter to win by moneyline

Predicted Score: Clayton Carpenter wins by decision or late finish, total rounds: 3


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