Match Analysis: Nathaniel Wood vs Jose Delgado – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-25
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi
Game Overview
This UFC featherweight contest pits the powerful, undefeated Jose Miguel Delgado (10-1) against the technical and well-rounded Nathaniel Wood. Delgado is known for his 100% finish rate in wins, delivering multiple first-round knockouts including over high caliber opponents. Wood, though lacking Delgado's power, is a skilled technician with solid takedowns but has shown vulnerability to damage and size disadvantages.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delgado has consistently finished opponents quickly with high knockout power, demonstrating dominance in his UFC tenure. Wood is a technical fighter with experience but lacks finishing power and often appears physically smaller and more susceptible to strikes.
- No previous fights recorded between Nathaniel Wood and Jose Miguel Delgado.
- No current injury reports affecting either fighter.
- The fightβs venue at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi favors neither side geographically; both fighters are expected to perform without notable external disruptions.
- Delgado is motivated to maintain his perfect UFC finish record and advance in rankings. Wood aims to prove his skill and resilience against a heavy hitter, potentially securing a pivotal win for career momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jose Delgado: -148, Nathaniel Wood: 124 | Jose Miguel Delgado | β β β β β 78% |
| Spread | Jose Delgado: -3.5 -110, Nathaniel Wood: +3.5 -120 | Jose Miguel Delgado to win by more than 3.5 points | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.5 -110, Under: 2.5 -120 | Under 2.5 rounds | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Jose Delgado 34% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 28% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Jose Delgado at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Jose Miguel Delgado by knockout within the first three rounds, leveraging his power and size advantage over Woodβs technical base.
Predicted Score: Delgado wins by KO in round 2