Charlie Radtke vs. Daniel Frunza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Charlie Radtke vs Daniel Frunza – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 11:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Welterweight bout between Charles Radtke (10-5, 3-2 UFC) and Daniel Frunza (9-3, 0-1 UFC), both coming off knockout losses. Radtke is a pressure grappler with powerful striking, while Frunza is a volume striker with durability and forward pressure. Both fighters are aggressive, but Radtke holds a notable grappling edge.

Key Factors to Consider

Radtke lands 3.11 significant strikes per minute at 49% accuracy, Frunza at 6.30 per minute at 40%. Radtke absorbs 3.66 strikes/min, Frunza absorbs 6.67/min. Radtke defends 52% of significant strikes, Frunza 56%. Radtke can mix wrestling, Frunza is vulnerable to takedowns and controlled on the ground[1][2].
No prior head-to-head meetings.
Both fighters are returning from KO losses; no additional injuries reported.
UFC Apex cage, no crowd, standard athletic commissions in place[1].
Bouncing back from losses raises urgency for both; Radtke’s grappling advantage may dictate the fight’s flow.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Radtke: -170 \| Frunza: +142	Radtke to win by decision or late submission	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Radtke: -3.5 (-105) \| Frunza: +3.5 (-125)	Radtke covers -3.5 spread by controlling rounds with grappling	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -140 \| Under 1.5: +110	Over 1.5 rounds favored due to Frunza's toughness and Radtke's tendency to slow rounds with wrestling	★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Charlie Radtke 50%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Charlie Radtke at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 35.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Charles Radtke is favored due to his superior grappling and ability to dictate where the fight takes place, though Frunza’s durability and striking volume present a danger if Radtke cannot impose his wrestling. Expect a competitive but tactical fight with Radtke utilizing takedowns and top control to either grind out a decision or find a submission late[2].

Predicted Score: Charles Radtke by Submission (Round 3) or Unanimous Decision

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Timothy Cuamba vs. Chang Ho Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Chang Ho Lee – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 10:15 PM UTC
Location: Not specified

Game Overview

This MMA match between Timothy Cuamba and Chang Ho Lee is scheduled for November 1, 2025. Cuamba, known for his striking power, faces Lee, who excels in grappling. The fight is expected to be a clash of styles, with Cuamba likely to keep distance and Lee aiming to take the fight to the ground.

Key Factors to Consider

Cuamba has a record of 9-3, with 1-2 in the UFC, while Lee is 11-1 with 2-0 in the UFC. Cuamba's striking and Lee's grappling skills are key factors.
No previous head-to-head matches between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight's outcome may depend on how well each fighter can execute their strategy.
Both fighters are motivated to win, with Lee looking to maintain his undefeated UFC record and Cuamba seeking to improve his UFC performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cuamba: -118, Lee: -102	Cuamba	★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread	Cuamba: -3.5 (+165), Lee: +3.5 (-230)	Cuamba	★★★☆☆ 52%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -210, Under 2.5: +160	Under	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Timothy Cuamba -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 -98%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Timothy Cuamba is favored slightly due to his striking power, but Chang Ho Lee's grappling skills pose a significant threat.

Predicted Score: Decision or late-round finish

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Donte Johnson vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 9:20 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

Donte Johnson and Sedriques Dumas face off in a middleweight MMA bout at UFC Vegas 110. Johnson is undefeated with a 6-0 record, fighting southpaw at 5'8", while Dumas is an experienced 10-3 fighter, orthodox stance, standing 6'2". Johnson relies on a volume striking approach, landing 71% of his significant strikes at 14.06 per minute, whereas Dumas lands only 44% at 2.12 per minute but boasts a higher strike defense of 56% compared to Johnson's 50%.

Key Factors to Consider

Johnson has superior striking output and accuracy, landing 14.06 significant strikes per minute at 71% accuracy, compared to Dumas' 2.12 strikes per minute at 44% accuracy. Defense statistics favor Dumas slightly with 56% strike defense vs Johnson's 50%, and Dumas concedes fewer significant strikes per minute (2.50) than Johnson (8.44). Johnson's undefeated record indicates momentum and confidence advantage.
No previous matchup or direct historical fights exist between Donte Johnson and Sedriques Dumas.
No reported injuries affecting either fighter for this bout at the time of analysis.
Dumas stepped in as a late replacement for Nick Klein, potentially impacting preparation time and strategy. The fight takes place at UFC Apex, a neutral venue with no home advantage for either fighter.
Johnson is a recent DWCS (Dana White's Contender Series) contract winner, likely highly motivated to maintain his undefeated streak. Dumas, with a more extensive career but some recent setbacks, may be motivated to reassert himself in the middleweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Donte Johnson: -355, Sedriques Dumas: 280	Donte Johnson	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Donte Johnson: -3.5 at -320, Sedriques Dumas: +3.5 at 225	Donte Johnson by more than 3.5 points	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 170, Under 1.5 rounds: -220	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Donte Johnson -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 62%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 36.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Donte Johnson is favored to win due to his higher striking volume, accuracy, and undefeated status, but Dumas' size advantage and defensive skills suggest the fight may be competitive. Expect Johnson to capitalize on striking dominance to secure a decision or late stoppage win.

Predicted Score: Donte Johnson wins by decision or TKO in round 3 or 4

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Talita Alencar vs. Ariane Carnelossi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 8:10 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Talita Alencar faces Ariane Carnelossi in a women's strawweight MMA bout at UFC Vegas 110. Alencar holds a record of 6-1-1 at 115 lbs with a 58" reach and fights orthodox, emphasizing grappling submissions. Carnelossi has a 15-3 record at the same weight with a 61" reach, known for standup striking and higher output of significant strikes per minute.

Key Factors to Consider

Alencar lands 2.62 significant strikes per minute with 33% accuracy and defends 53% of incoming strikes, allowing 3.77 strikes taken per minute. Carnelossi lands slightly more at 2.87 strikes per minute with 39% accuracy but defends less effectively, blocking 45% of strikes and absorbing 4.74 per minute.
No prior fights between Talita Alencar and Ariane Carnelossi have been recorded, making this a first encounter.
No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
Fight hosted at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters are experienced but with differing UFC careers; Alencar is newer in the UFC with a strong grappling background, Carnelossi has more fights overall with a mixed martial arts striking emphasis.
Alencar aims to build momentum with a grappling-based win, likely seeking submission victories early. Carnelossi’s motivation stems from leveraging striking and experience to outpoint or finish Alencar on feet.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Talita Alencar: -230, Ariane Carnelossi: 190	Talita Alencar	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Talita Alencar: -3.5 100, Ariane Carnelossi: +3.5 -135	Talita Alencar by more than 3.5 points (decisive win)	★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -230, Under 2.5: 175	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Talita Alencar -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Talita Alencar at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Talita Alencar is favored due to her grappling prowess and defensive striking. She is projected to win by submission or decision, likely before the third round as pressure from grappling may overwhelm Carnelossi.

Predicted Score: Talita Alencar wins by submission round 2

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Philip Rowe vs. Seok Hyun Ko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Philip Rowe vs Seok Hyun Ko – Prediction

Match Details

Date: November 1, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Vegas

Game Overview

Philip Rowe and Seok Hyun Ko are set to face off in a welterweight bout at UFC Vegas 110. Rowe is a long, rangy striker with a strong ground game but lacks wrestling skills. Ko is a heavy-handed striker with a background that includes takedowns, though his striking can be stiff and predictable.

Key Factors to Consider

Rowe has a tendency to be hesitant and can fall behind on scorecards, while Ko's aggression and power could be decisive if he can close the distance.
This is their first meeting.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight's outcome could be influenced by how well each fighter manages distance and utilizes their respective strengths.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ko looking to build on his first UFC win and Rowe seeking to capitalize on his recent comeback victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Philip Rowe: 160, Seok Hyun Ko: -192	Seok Hyun Ko	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Philip Rowe: 3.5 -135, Seok Hyun Ko: -3.5 100	Seok Hyun Ko	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under	Over: 2.5 -154, Under: 2.5 120	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Seok Hyun Ko -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Seok Hyun Ko at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seok Hyun Ko is favored due to his aggressive style and ability to work in takedowns, which could disrupt Rowe's rhythm.

Predicted Score: Ko by decision or late-round finish.

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Billy Elekana vs. Kevin Christian Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Billy Elekana vs Kevin Christian – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

Billy Elekana and Kevin Christian face off in a UFC light heavyweight bout at UFC Apex. Elekana (8-2, 1-1 UFC) is a southpaw known for his striking accuracy and experience at UFC level, while Christian (9-2, making UFC debut) is an orthodox fighter with a significant reach advantage and strong grappling skills.

Key Factors to Consider

Elekana lands 2.34 significant strikes per minute with 57% accuracy but takes 3.18 per minute; Christian lands fewer at 0.75 strikes per minute with 35% accuracy but defends 55% of strikes and has a reach advantage. Elekana's striking and cage experience are strengths, whereas Christian's grappling and reach pose a threat.
No prior fight history between Elekana and Christian.
No reported injuries affecting either fighter.
Fight held at UFC Apex, neutral venue which may favor Elekana's UFC experience. Christian is making UFC debut which may affect composure.
Elekana aims to establish UFC dominance after a split record; Christian motivated by UFC debut and to leverage grappling advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Billy Elekana: -265, Kevin Christian: 215	Billy Elekana	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Billy Elekana -3.5: -180, Kevin Christian +3.5: 130	Billy Elekana -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -145, Under 1.5: 114	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Billy Elekana 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Billy Elekana is favored to win by striking dominance and takedown defense, predicted to keep the fight standing and control pace. Christian’s upside lies in grappling and reach but risks exposure if unable to bring fight to ground early.

Predicted Score: Billy Elekana wins by decision or late-round TKO after 3 rounds

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Alice Ardelean vs. Montserrat Ruiz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Ruiz – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Alice Ardelean and Montserrat Ruiz are set to face off in a strawweight bout at UFC Vegas 110. Ardelean, with a record of 10-7-0, is favored over Ruiz, who holds a 10-4-0 record. The fight is expected to be a strategic clash, with Ardelean's striking and cardio potentially giving her an edge.

Key Factors to Consider

Ardelean has shown strong striking and cardio, landing 6.73 significant strikes per minute. Ruiz, on the other hand, has struggled with significant strikes, landing only 0.79 per minute.
There is no prior head-to-head matchup between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight's location at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas may not significantly impact either fighter, as both have experience competing in similar environments.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Ardelean seeking to build on her recent win and Ruiz looking to bounce back from a series of losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ardelean: -355, Ruiz: 280	Ardelean	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Ardelean: -3.5 -145, Ruiz: 3.5 105	Ardelean	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -280, Under 2.5: 210	Over	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Alice Ardelean -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Alice Ardelean at -8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Alice Ardelean is likely to win by decision due to her superior striking and cardio.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Alice Ardelean

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Ketlen Vieira vs. Norma Dumont Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ketlen Vieira vs Norma Dumont – Prediction

Match Details

Date: November 1, 2025
Time: 8:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex in Las Vegas

Game Overview

Ketlen Vieira faces Norma Dumont in a women's bantamweight bout at UFC Vegas 110. Vieira, with a record of 15-4-0, is coming off a decision win over Macy Chiasson. Dumont, with a record of 12-2-0, is on a five-fight winning streak, including a recent victory over Irene Aldana.

Key Factors to Consider

Norma Dumont has shown consistent performance with a five-fight winning streak, while Ketlen Vieira has been inconsistent in her recent fights.
This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is at bantamweight, Vieira's natural weight class, which could favor her.
Dumont is highly motivated to extend her winning streak and potentially secure a title shot.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ketlen Vieira: +145, Norma Dumont: -175	Norma Dumont to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Ketlen Vieira: +3.5 -205, Norma Dumont: -3.5 150	Norma Dumont to cover	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -475, Under 2.5: 325	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Norma Dumont 10%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 134%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 134% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 41.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Norma Dumont is favored to win due to her recent form and statistical advantages in striking and defense.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Norma Dumont

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Cody Durden vs. Allan Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Cody Durden vs Allan Nascimento – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 7:00 PM UTC
Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

The MMA flyweight bout features Allan Nascimento and Cody Durden, both 34 years old, set for UFC Vegas 110 at the UFC Apex. Nascimento, standing 5'8" with a 69" reach, has a record of 21-6-0, emphasizing striking precision and defense, landing 2.64 significant strikes per minute at 60% accuracy while absorbing 1.96. Durden is 5'7" with a 67" reach, has a 17-8-1 record, and is more volume-oriented, connecting 3.44 significant strikes per minute at 44% accuracy but absorbing more strikes (4.35/min). Both show 50% strike defense. Nascimento has a low takedown accuracy (24%) and defense (30%), while Durden boasts solid wrestling, cardio, and durability. Durden is coming off back-to-back losses (1-4 in last five fights), while Nascimento is on a 3-fight win streak (4-1 last five). This fight pits Nascimento's accuracy and defense against Durden's volume and wrestling control.

Key Factors to Consider

Nascimento shows effective striking economy and solid defense, with recent momentum (3 wins in last 4 fights). Durden, despite higher striking volume, has suffered recent setbacks and absorbs more strikes, relying on wrestling and cardio to outwork opponents.
The fighters have no recorded head-to-head bouts prior to this match, making this encounter a fresh tactical challenge.
No current injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the match.
The fight takes place at UFC Apex in Las Vegas, a neutral venue with no clear home advantage. Both fighters compete at flyweight (125 lbs) with similar ages and conditioning.
Nascimento is motivated by a 3-fight win streak aiming to maintain momentum, while Durden seeks to rebound from two consecutive losses, likely increasing his urgency and effort.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Allan Nascimento: -260, Cody Durden: +220	Allan Nascimento	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Allan Nascimento -1.5 rounds: -120, Cody Durden +1.5 rounds: +100	Nascimento -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Allan Nascimento -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Allan Nascimento is favored to win due to superior striking efficiency, recent form, and defense capabilities. Durden’s wrestling and pressure could pose a challenge, but Durden’s lower striking defense and recent performances reduce his likelihood of victory. Expect a tactical fight with Nascimento likely to control range and pacing.

Predicted Score: Nascimento wins by decision or late stoppage (3 rounds)

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Ion Surdu vs. Andrej Kalasnik Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Ion Surdu vs Andrej Kalasnik – Prediction

Match Details

Date: 2025-11-01
Time: 4:00 PM UTC
Location: Winning Group Arena, Brno, Czech Republic

Game Overview

Ion Surdu, the reigning welterweight champion, faces Andrej Kalasnik in a highly anticipated title fight at Oktagon 79. Surdu, known for his striking prowess with 11 knockout victories, will look to defend his title against Kalasnik, who has shown improvement with a recent three-fight winning streak.

Key Factors to Consider

Ion Surdu has established himself as a formidable finisher in Europe, while Andrej Kalasnik has demonstrated relentless firepower in his recent performances.
This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
No reported injuries for either fighter.
The fight is in Brno, which might give Kalasnik a hometown advantage.
Both fighters are highly motivated, with Surdu looking to defend his title and Kalasnik seeking his first championship.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ion Surdu: -350, Andrej Kalasnik: 225	Ion Surdu	★★★★☆ 70%

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Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Ion Surdu -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ion Surdu is favored to win due to his impressive knockout record and recent success in Oktagon.

Predicted Score: Ion Surdu by knockout in the first round.

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Charlie Radtke vs. Daniel Frunza Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Charlie Radtke vs Daniel Frunza – Prediction

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Timothy Cuamba vs. Chang Ho Lee Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Timothy Cuamba vs Chang Ho Lee – Prediction

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Donte Johnson vs. Sedriques Dumas Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Donte Johnson vs Sedriques Dumas – Prediction

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Talita Alencar vs. Ariane Carnelossi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Talita Alencar vs Ariane Carnelossi – Prediction

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Philip Rowe vs. Seok Hyun Ko Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Philip Rowe vs Seok Hyun Ko – Prediction

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Billy Elekana vs. Kevin Christian Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Billy Elekana vs Kevin Christian – Prediction

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Alice Ardelean vs. Montserrat Ruiz Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Alice Ardelean vs Montserrat Ruiz – Prediction

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Ketlen Vieira vs. Norma Dumont Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Cody Durden vs. Allan Nascimento Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Ion Surdu vs. Andrej Kalasnik Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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