Match Analysis: Mitchell Mckee vs Pedro Nobre – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-12
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Mystic Lake Casino Hotel, Prior Lake, Minnesota
Game Overview
The main event of LFA 217 features undefeated Mitchell McKee (9-0) facing veteran Pedro Nobre (22-8-2) in a catchweight bout. McKee is favored heavily on the moneyline reflecting his dominant undefeated record, while Nobre brings experience but recent inconsistencies.
Key Factors to Consider
- McKee is unbeaten (9-0) demonstrating consistent winning form and finishing ability, while Nobre has a mixed recent record and some losses against high-level competition.
- No prior head-to-head encounters found between McKee and Nobre, making this their first meeting.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Fight at home state of Minnesota for McKee, making crowd and travel factors favorable for him.
- McKee looking to maintain his undefeated record and ascend in LFA rankings. Nobre aiming to upset a top prospect and re-establish position.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mitchell McKee: -3800, Pedro Nobre: +1500 | Mitchell McKee | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Mitchell McKee -2.5 rounds: -150, Pedro Nobre +2.5 rounds: +130 | Mitchell McKee -2.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: +177, Under 2.5 rounds: -205 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mitchell Mckee -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -11% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mitchell Mckee at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mitchell McKee to win by moneyline
Predicted Score: Mitchell McKee wins by decision or late finish before round 3