Match Analysis: Mirali Huseynov vs Shimon Smotritsky – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-02
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Hard Rock Casino, Sacramento

Game Overview

Welterweight Championship bout between defending champion Mirali Huseynov (9-3) and challenger Shimon Smotritsky. Representing AKA and Extreme Couture respectively, both fighters are high-level prospects with aggressive styles. The event is A1 Combat 27.

Key Factors to Consider

• Huseynov (champion) enters with a 9-3 record and championship experience. Smotritsky’s record isn’t specified, but Extreme Couture’s striking-focused training suggests technical prowess.
• No prior fights between these competitors.
• No injury reports mentioned in pre-fight materials.
• AKA’s wrestling-heavy approach vs. Extreme Couture’s striking emphasis creates a classic grappler vs. striker dynamic.
• Huseynov aims to defend his title, while Smotritsky seeks his first championship in a major promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Huseynov -135 / Smotritsky -105	Huseynov via decision	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mirali Huseynov 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirali Huseynov at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Close fight with Huseynov’s championship experience and AKA’s grappling edge giving him a slight advantage. However, Smotritsky’s technical striking could counter effectively if he maintains distance.

Predicted Score: Huseynov via split decision (48-47)