The upcoming EFL Championship match between Charlton Athletic and Millwall features two teams with contrasting recent forms and notable historical trends. Charlton is struggling initially this season with only 1 league win and some defensive vulnerabilities, while Millwall has been more consistent and effective both at scoring and controlling games.
Key Factors to Consider
Charlton Athletic's recent league form shows 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses with an average of 1.6 goals scored and conceding 0.8 recently, indicating defensive issues. Millwall has 3 wins in recent games, scoring 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.6, demonstrating a balanced but slightly leaky defense.
Millwall has dominated recent encounters, winning 9 of the last 15 matches against Charlton with Charlton managing just 1 win in that span. Historically, Charlton has struggled against Millwall in the past 20 meetings, failing to secure a win. Their encounters often have competitive scoring but Millwall has a clear edge.
No specific injury data provided, but given current lineups and typical squad stability in early season, assume no major absences impacting key players for either side.
Match played at Charlton's home ground, which typically provides a small home advantage. No extraordinary external conditions (weather, travel disruptions) reported.
Both teams are early in the season and hungry for points; however, Millwall's better recent form and historical dominance provide them a psychological edge. Charlton is motivated to break their winless streak against Millwall at home.
Millwall hosts Wrexham AFC in an EFL Championship match with Millwall showing slightly better recent form and home advantage, while Wrexham has been competitive but less consistent.
Key Factors to Consider
Millwall has won 3 of their last 5 competitive matches including a recent 1-0 away win vs Sheffield United and have shown resilience at home. Wrexham has had mixed results with high-scoring draws and narrow losses, scoring frequently but also conceding.
Recent head-to-head data indicates Millwall has a slight edge with 1 win and 4 losses over last 5 matches, but more competitive performances overall with approximately 1.2 points per match compared to Wrexhamβs form.
No major injury concerns reported for either side; squads appear near full strength, maintaining competitive balance.
Match played at Millwallβs home ground The Den offers Millwall a clear home advantage and crowd support. No adverse weather or travel concerns reported for either team.
Millwall is focused on consolidating a strong start to the season and maintaining position in the Championship, while Wrexham, newly promoted, aims to prove their competitiveness but may prioritize cautious play.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -118, away: 315, draw: 230
Millwall
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Millwall -0.5: -112, Wrexham +50: -108
Millwall -0.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102
Over 2.25
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Millwall 11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Millwall at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Sheffield United hosts Millwall in an EFL Championship clash at Bramall Lane. Sheffield United sits close to the relegation zone (23rd), while Millwall holds a mid-table position (11th), indicating a motivation gap and possible home advantage impact.
Key Factors to Consider
Sheffield United's recent form shows 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 with a solid defensive record conceding 0.6 goals per match. Millwall has won 3, lost 2 in their last 5 but scores fewer goals (0.6 per game) and concedes more (1.2 per game). Sheffield United has an 80% Asian Handicap win rate recently compared to Millwall's 40%.
The two teams have an evenly matched history with 24 meetings since 2003 showing 10 wins each and 4 draws. Recent encounters indicate Sheffield United had a stronger recent dominance winning 3 of the last 5 since 2022. Last season, Sheffield United won both fixtures against Millwall.
No significant injury news affecting key players on either side was reported, indicating both teams likely field near full-strength squads.
Home advantage favors Sheffield United notably at Bramall Lane, a stadium where they boast the better defensive record and where Millwall tends to skew more defensive with fewer goals scored overall.
Sheffield United, precariously placed at 23rd, is highly motivated to secure points to avoid relegation troubles. Millwall's comfortable mid-table standing may lessen urgency for maximum points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Home: -105, Draw: 225, Away: 280
Home
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Home -0.5: 102, Away +50: -122
Home -0.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115
Under 2.25
β β β ββ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sheffield United 113%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Sheffield United at 113% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 40.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Sheffield United's better form defensively, stronger motivation due to relegation danger, and the home venue advantage, a home win is the most value positive bet despite modestly priced American odds.
The matchup between Millwall and Middlesbrough in the EFL Championship round 2 features two historically close rivals with balanced head-to-head records, but recent form favors Millwall considerably.
Key Factors to Consider
Millwall has won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 1.0 goals per match and conceding only 0.4, showing strong form. Middlesbrough is less consistent with only 2 wins in their last 5 and a lower goal average of 0.8 scored and 0.6 conceded per game.
Historically competitive with Middlesbrough winning 11 times and Millwall 10 times in 27 meetings since 2009, and 7 draws. Recent meetings have no draws in the last 6 encounters indicating a tendency for results.
No significant injury data provided to indicate absences that affect starting lineups.
The game is at Millwall's home ground, The Den, where Millwall has an 80% Asian handicap win rate recently, indicating a strong home advantage.
As an early round in the Championship, both teams aim to build momentum but Millwall's recent winning form indicates higher confidence and motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Millwall: 1.1, Draw: 2.15, Middlesbrough: 3.45
Millwall
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Millwall: -118, Middlesbrough: -102
Millwall -0.25
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115
Under 2.25
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Millwall 37%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Millwall at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 33.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall moneyline win, Millwall -0.25 spread win, Under 2.25 goals
A competitive EFL Championship matchup where historically Norwich City has dominated Millwall in both results and goals scored. Norwich looks to maintain home advantage against a Millwall side that has shown mixed recent form.
Key Factors to Consider
Norwich City has won 3 of their last 5 matches with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded, showing a potent offense but some defensive vulnerabilities. Millwall has a solid recent record with 4 wins out of 5 but lower goal scoring (1.0/game) and conceding 1.2/game, playing a more defensive style.
In the last 15 meetings, Norwich won 9, Millwall 3, and 3 drawn. Norwich averages 2.1 goals per game against Millwallβs 1.3. The teams have seen a relatively high goal average (~3.5 goals per game) historically, but recent seasons lean towards Norwich dominance, especially at home.
No publicly reported major injuries impacting starting XI or key players for either team at this time.
Home advantage at Carrow Road favors Norwich. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal for early August; no major disruptions expected.
Both teams are motivated early in the season; Norwich aims to establish top-table credentials after recent Championship finishes, while Millwall looks for an upset to gain points away from home.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Norwich City: -102, Millwall: 270, Draw: 220
Norwich City
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Norwich City -0.5: 102, Millwall +50: -122
Norwich City -0.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102
Under 2.25
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Norwich City 7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Norwich City to win on the moneyline with a small but clear advantage given home form, superior recent record against Millwall, and better goal-scoring stats.
Burnley, ranking second in the Championship, hosts Millwall, who are seventh. Burnley boasts a strong home performance, while Millwall has inconsistent away results.
Key Factors to Consider
Burnley has consistently performed well both at home and away, with recent wins against strong teams. Millwall has shown resilience but mostly at home.
In their last meeting, Millwall won 1-0. Historically, Burnley and Millwall have closely matched head-to-head statistics, with Burnley winning 7 out of 19 matches and Millwall winning 6.
There are no reported key injuries from recent data that would significantly impact the match.
Neither team faces significant external pressures like weather conditions or physical exhaustion due to recent scheduling.
Burnley is highly motivated to secure a strong league position, while Millwall aims to climb higher in the standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Burnley: -160, Millwall: 460, Draw: 270
Burnley win
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Burnley: -0.75 -125, Millwall: 75 105
Burnley to cover
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over: 2.25 -120, Under: 2.25 100
Under 2.25 goals
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Burnley -3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 20%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Burnley is likely to win given their strong home record and overall performance in the season.
Location: Home ground of Millwall (unspecified from data)
Game Overview
Millwall holds a strong recent record against Swansea, winning 4 of their last 5 encounters. Swansea shows defensive vulnerability in these matchups, conceding 1.2 goals per game in their last 5 H2H meetings.
Key Factors to Consider
Millwall has dominated recent H2H clashes (4 wins in 5), while Swansea struggles defensively in these fixtures[2][3]. Both teams average 1.6 goals scored per match in their last 5 games[2].
Millwall won both 2023-24 meetings (1-0 away, 1-0 home)[1][3]. Historical H2H: Millwall 6 wins, Swansea 9 wins, 5 draws[2].
No specific injury data available in provided sources.
No weather/venue impacts mentioned. Swansea TV will stream globally[5].
Likely high for both as mid-table Championship teams, though exact league positions unavailable in current data.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Millwall 128 | Draw 205 | Swansea 215
Millwall
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Millwall -0.25 (-110) | Swansea +25 (-110)
Millwall -0.25
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 2 (-126) | Under 2 (+106)
Under 2
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Millwall 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 13%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Millwall to win via narrow margin given H2H dominance and Swansea's defensive struggles in this matchup.
The upcoming EFL Championship match between Millwall and Norwich City at The Den on April 21, 2025, is a key fixture as both teams have shown competitive form in recent meetings. Norwich City recently won the last encounter 2-1 at their home ground, Carrow Road, but Millwall claimed a narrow 1-0 victory in their previous home meeting. This match promises to be tightly contested given the historical results and current league standings.
Key Factors to Consider
Millwall has demonstrated solid home form and resilience, recently beating Norwich 1-0 at The Den on Dec 29, 2023. Norwich City has shown strength away from home sporadically but lost 1-0 in their last visit to Millwall. The teams have split results in recent head-to-heads, with Millwall winning 4 out of the last 5 encounters and Norwich only one. Both sides are motivated to improve their league positions as the season progresses.
In the last five matches between the two teams, Millwall has won 4 times and Norwich City once. The average goals per match is low at approximately 1.0, indicating tight contests. Recent scores reflect competitive balance but a slight edge to Millwall in home games.
Current injury details for both teams were not explicitly available in the gathered data, suggesting no major injury news impacting starting lineups significantly for this fixture.
The match is played at Millwall's home stadium, The Den, which can provide a home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not specified but typical London spring conditions should be expected. No other significant external disruptions or motivational factors are noted at this time.
Both teams are fighting for valuable points in the EFL Championship with Norwich looking to bounce back after a narrow win at home, and Millwall eager to leverage home advantage to even up the recent results and improve their standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Millwall: 1.25, Norwich City: 2.25, Draw: 2.1
Millwall win
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Millwall: -0.25 -112, Norwich City: +25 -108
Millwall -0.25
β β β ββ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.25: 1.00, Under 2.25: 83
Under 2.25 goals
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Millwall 26%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 1%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Millwall at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Millwall's solid home performances, the recent narrow win against Norwich, and the slightly better home head-to-head statistics, Millwall is favored to edge this tight contest, but Norwich's resilience should not be underestimated, making a close match outcome likely.