Match Analysis: Kevin Holland vs Mike Malott – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-19
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Event Venue (Vancouver)

Game Overview

Kevin Holland and Mike Malott face off in a fairly balanced matchup with even moneyline odds, reflecting a nearly 50-50 chance of victory between the two fighters. The bout is expected to be competitive with a striking vs grappling contrast.

Key Factors to Consider

• Kevin Holland has shown inconsistent recent form with solid striking but some vulnerabilities in grappling defense, while Mike Malott has performed well in recent fights, notably strong in submissions and consistent pressure.
• No previous recorded matchups between Holland and Malott, so no direct H2H data to influence the prediction.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, both are expected to be at full health.
• Fight scheduled in Vancouver which may slightly favor Holland due to closer regional fan support and environment familiarity.
• Holland is looking to rebound after mixed results to remain relevant in UFC rankings; Malott aims to solidify his place with a signature win, possibly adding extra pressure and focus to his performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kevin Holland: -110, Mike Malott: -110	Mike Malott	★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread	Kevin Holland +3.5: -155, Mike Malott -3.5: 115	Mike Malott -3.5	★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 140, Under 2.5 rounds: -180	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mike Malott 11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline win for Mike Malott

Predicted Score: Mike Malott wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Mike Malott vs Charlie Radtke – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-05-10
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Mike Malott, known for his early finishing ability and submission skills, faces Charles Radtke, a tactical and resilient fighter coming off a TKO win. The bout is at welterweight and is generating significant interest, with Malott as the favorite due to his recent performances and home-country advantage. Both fighters are coming off wins, with Malott's last being a unanimous decision over Trevin Giles, while Radtke recently scored a TKO over Matthew Semelsberger.

Key Factors to Consider

• Malott has an 11-2-1 record and has shown strong finishing ability, especially in the early rounds. Radtke stands at 10-4, with a tactical style and good endurance; he can gain momentum if the fight goes past the first two rounds.
• No previous matchups between Malott and Radtke.
• No major pre-fight injuries reported for either fighter.
• Malott fights at home in Canada, which may boost his motivation. Radtke has engaged in pre-fight trash talk, but Malott remains focused.
• Both fighters are highly motivated: Malott to impress his home crowd and continue his win streak, Radtke to prove himself against a higher-ranked opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	{'Mike Malott': -166, 'Charlie Radtke': 140}	Mike Malott to win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	{'Mike Malott -3.5': -115, 'Charlie Radtke +3.5': -115}	Mike Malott -3.5	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	{'Over 1.5': -154, 'Under 1.5': 120}	Under 1.5 (fight ends in 1st or 2nd round)	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mike Malott -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mike Malott is favored due to his superior finishing ability and recent momentum. He’s expected to push aggressively in the early rounds, with a strong chance to finish Radtke via TKO in the first or second round. However, Radtke’s resilience and tactical approach could swing the fight if it goes late, but Malott’s home crowd and early aggression are likely decisive factors.

Predicted Score: Predicted Method: Mike Malott by TKO, Round 2