Match Analysis: Mitch Ramirez vs Mike Davis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-12
- Time: 10:45 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Fight Night (Location TBD)
Game Overview
Lightweight matchup between underdog Mitch Ramirez (8-2) and favorite Mike Davis (11-3). Davis is a heavy favorite across sportsbooks, reflecting both his experience and recent strong form.
Key Factors to Consider
- Mike Davis has a more proven UFC record and has shown stronger performances against higher-level competition, including notable finishes and decisions. Mitch Ramirez has less experience at the UFC level and is coming off a respectable fighting record in regional promotions.
- No direct head-to-head history; this is their first meeting.
- No publicly reported injuries for either fighter leading into this bout.
- Davis is physically bigger (taller and slightly longer reach), which could be a significant advantage in striking exchanges[1]. The fight is part of UFC Fight Night undercard, with standard preparation and environment.
- Davis is looking to cement his spot in the lightweight rankings, while Ramirez is aiming to prove himself at the UFC level and establish his name.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mike Davis: -1000, Mitch Ramirez: +700 | Mike Davis wins | ★★★★★ 90% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: +135, Under 2.5: -165 | Under 2.5 Rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mike Davis -3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 -7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mike Davis at -3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mike Davis is strongly favored to win given his superior experience, striking skills, and physical advantages. Despite Ramirez's toughness, the odds reflect an expected mismatch.
Predicted Score: Mike Davis by KO/TKO in Round 2