Match Analysis: Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: May 3, 2025
• Time: 1:45 AM UTC
• Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Women's Bantamweight Bout between seasoned veteran Miesha Tate (20-9) and Yana Santos (15-8, 1NC). Tate returns with wrestling-focused experience, while Santos brings striking versatility.

Key Factors to Consider

• Tate holds notable wins over elite competition but is 1-2 in her last three bouts. Santos shows consistency with a 3-2 UFC record, including recent technical decision wins.
• First meeting between fighters.
• No reported injuries pre-fight.
• Event streams live on ESPN+, with potential judging scrutiny due to Iowa's limited UFC event history.
• Tate seeks redemption after recent losses; Santos aims to climb rankings with high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Tate -142 / Santos +120	Miesha Tate	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Tate -3.5 (+150) / Santos +3.5 (-205)	Santos +3.5 covers	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 (-395) / Under 2.5 (+280)	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Miesha Tate -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Miesha Tate by decision (confidence based on grappling control and cage experience)

Predicted Score: Decision victory (3-round bout)