Match Analysis: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Missouri State Bears – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-08
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium, Murfreesboro, TN
Game Overview
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders will host the Missouri State Bears in a Conference USA matchup. Both teams have struggled so far; Middle Tennessee holds a 1-4 overall record and 0-1 in conference play, while Missouri State is 2-3 overall and also 0-1 in conference play. The game is expected to be competitive as both are seeking to improve their records mid-season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Middle Tennessee has struggled offensively and defensively with only one win all season and two consecutive losses. Missouri State has a slightly better record, winning 2 games but still underperforming overall. Both teams have similar Conference USA records, indicating evenly matched competition.
- This is one of their scheduled encounters this season with no detailed historic head-to-head stats provided, suggesting limited recent matchups or that data is not recorded for this season thus far.
- No specific injury reports or player absences have been indicated for either team from available sources.
- Home-field advantage favors Middle Tennessee as the game is played in Murfreesboro, TN, with ESPN2 providing live broadcast. Weather or other environmental conditions are not specified.
- Both teams are motivated to avoid further losses and gain ground in Conference USA standings. Middle Tennessee aims to capitalize on home support to halt their losing streak, while Missouri State seeks to extend their positive momentum on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: +112, Missouri State Bears: -132 | Missouri State Bears | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders: +2.5 at -110, Missouri State Bears: -2.5 at -110 | Missouri State Bears -2.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -105 | Under 49.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Missouri State Bears -7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 49.5 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Missouri State's slightly better overall performance and betting odds favoring them as the underdog but with moderate confidence, Missouri State is predicted to win a close game. The spread also indicates a narrowly favored Missouri State.
Predicted Score: Missouri State Bears 24 – Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 21