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Michel Pereira vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 8:25 AM UTC
  • Location: To Be Announced (UFC Event)

Game Overview

Michel Pereira, an explosive and unpredictable striker, faces Kyle Daukaus, a grappling specialist with strong ground control and submission skills. The matchup is a classic striker versus grappler dynamic with Pereira favored but Daukaus posing a significant submission threat if he can implement his game plan.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Pereira has demonstrated dynamic striking with knockout power and momentum in recent fights. Daukaus has a solid 11-4 record, excels in submissions (9 of 11 wins), and has shown patient wrestling to neutralize aggressive opponents.
  • No previous direct matchups between Pereira and Daukaus, making tactical adaptation key.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter going into the bout.
  • Fight takes place in hostile territory favoring Pereira; crowd support may boost his confidence and aggression.
  • Pereira aims to secure a high-profile finish to advance his UFC standing; Daukaus seeks to break through the division by overcoming a favored striker with his grappling approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Micah Pereira: -260, Kyle Daukaus: +220 Michel Pereira ★★★★☆ 77%
Spread Michel Pereira -1.5: +150, Kyle Daukaus +1.5: -180 Michel Pereira -1.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 1.5 rounds: -185, Under 1.5 rounds: +155 Over 1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michel Pereira 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michel Pereira at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michel Pereira to win via knockout or TKO

Predicted Score: Michel Pereira wins by KO/TKO in Round 2


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Abusupyian Magomedov vs. Michel Pereira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Abusupyian Magomedov vs Michel Pereira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-27
  • Time: 1:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC Event (specific venue not listed in sources)

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between Abus Magomedov (27-6-1) and Michel Pereira (31-12-0) in a UFC main card bout. Pereira is ranked No.14, while Magomedov enters with a 2-fight win streak. Pereira holds a 35% finish rate (11 KOs, 9 subs), while Magomedov's precise finish stats are unavailable but carries a 78-inch reach advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Magomedov: 2-fight win streak, Pereira: Most recent win vs. Potieria in May 2024[4]. Pereira lost via TKO in October 2024[4].
  • First professional meeting
  • No reported injuries in available data
  • Magomedov's 4-year age advantage (34 vs. 30, though sources contradict about Pereira's age – actual appears closer to 31 from records)
  • Pereira seeks rankings climb; Magomedov aims to rebound from Strickland loss (mentioned in ESPN context but dated)

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Magomedov +120, Pereira -142 Pereira moneyline ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Magomedov +3.5 (-140), Pereira -3.5 (+100) Pereira to cover -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 1.5 (-200), Under 1.5 (+154) Over 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Michel Pereira 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 1.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Michel Pereira at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Pereira by decision (55% confidence) due to superior activity and rankings position, though Magomedov's reach could dictate pace.

Predicted Score: Pereira via unanimous decision (29-28 x3)


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