Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: United Center, Chicago

Game Overview

Gerald Meerschaert will face Michal Oleksiejczuk in a UFC 319 middleweight bout. Meerschaert, a 37-year-old southpaw with a strong submission game, has a career record of 37-19. Oleksiejczuk, aged 30, is also a southpaw and a powerful striker with a record of 20-9 (1 NC). The fight features contrasting styles: Meerschaert's grappling and submission expertise versus Oleksiejczuk's aggressive striking and knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Meerschaert lands 3.05 significant strikes per minute at 45% accuracy and absorbs 3.43 strikes per minute while defending 53%. Oleksiejczuk lands 5.27 strikes per minute at 51% accuracy, absorbs 4.51 per minute, and has a defense rate of 59%. Oleksiejczuk's striking volume and power are superior, but Meerschaert's grappling offers a path to victory.
• No records suggest a previous encounter between these fighters; the match-up is a stylistic contrast without direct past meetings.
• No reported injuries affecting either fighter prior to the bout.
• The fight takes place at the United Center in Chicago as part of UFC 319. No notable external conditions such as altitude or climate are expected to influence the fight.
• Meerschaert aims to leverage his grappling to add a win late in his career, while Oleksiejczuk looks to assert his striking dominance to climb the middleweight ranks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gerald Meerschaert: +195, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -238	Michal Oleksiejczuk to win	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Gerald Meerschaert: +3.5 at 1.30, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -3.5 at 1.80	Oleksiejczuk to win by more than 3.5 points (rounds)	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: 1.05, Under 1.5 rounds: -1.35	Fight to go over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oleksiejczuk is favored to win by knockout or technical knockout early due to his striking superiority. However, if Meerschaert survives the initial onslaught and brings the fight to the ground, he has a strong chance to submit Oleksiejczuk, making the fight competitive with a dynamic outcome dependent on early exchanges.

Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by 2nd round knockout

Match Analysis: Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, USA

Game Overview

A crucial match between Sedriques Dumas and Michal Oleksiejczuk in the UFC middleweight division. Dumas is coming off a unanimous decision victory, while Oleksiejczuk seeks to break a losing streak with the support of The Fighting Nerds. The bout could be a turning point in both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dumas has a recent win but tends to be cautious after a knockout loss, relying heavily on control and wrestling. Oleksiejczuk is known for aggressive, early-round finishes and has faced high-level opponents.
• There is no head-to-head data between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Oleksiejczuk's partnership with The Fighting Nerds might provide a psychological boost.
• High stakes for both fighters, with Oleksiejczuk particularly motivated given his recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk: -185, Sedriques Dumas: +160	Michal Oleksiejczuk to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Michal Oleksiejczuk is favored to win, likely by KO/TKO.

Predicted Score: Decision or KO/TKO in favor of Michal Oleksiejczuk.