Match Analysis: Gerald Meerschaert vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: United Center, Chicago, IL

Game Overview

The UFC 319 middleweight matchup between Gerald Meerschaert and Michal Oleksiejczuk features contrasting styles: Meerschaert is a veteran grappler known for submissions, while Oleksiejczuk is a powerful striker with knockout capability. Oleksiejczuk enters as a clear favorite based on betting odds and recent form, but Meerschaert's grappling threat and resilience keep the bout competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• Oleksiejczuk has demonstrated solid striking with several knockout wins and holds a UFC record of 8-7. Meerschaert, with a UFC record of 12-11, relies heavily on grappling and submissions and is known for durability and late-fight pressure.
• No previous direct matchup between Meerschaert and Oleksiejczuk has occurred, making this an intriguing stylistic contrast without historical fight data.
• No significant injuries reported for either fighter leading into the bout, suggesting both compete at full strength.
• The fight takes place at United Center, Chicago, with no discernible external environmental factors likely to affect performance.
• Oleksiejczuk appears motivated to maintain upward momentum and validate his favorite status, while Meerschaert is aiming to capitalize on grappling advantage to upset the odds.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Gerald Meerschaert: 195, Michal Oleksiejczuk: -238	Michal Oleksiejczuk	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Gerald Meerschaert +3.5: 130, Michal Oleksiejczuk -3.5: -180	Michal Oleksiejczuk -3.5	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5: 105, Under 1.5: -135	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Michal Oleksiejczuk to win by knockout or technical knockout within two rounds.

Predicted Score: Oleksiejczuk wins by KO/TKO round 2

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Geoffrey Neal vs. Carlos Prates Prediction	Carlos Prates Win	-245	★★★★☆ 76% (76%)
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk Prediction	Michal Oleksiejczuk Win	-238	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Alex Hernandez vs. Chase Hooper Prediction	Chase Hooper Win	-300	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +167

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $53.33

Match Analysis: Sedriques Dumas vs Michal Oleksiejczuk – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-12
• Time: 10:00 PM UTC
• Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, USA

Game Overview

A crucial match between Sedriques Dumas and Michal Oleksiejczuk in the UFC middleweight division. Dumas is coming off a unanimous decision victory, while Oleksiejczuk seeks to break a losing streak with the support of The Fighting Nerds. The bout could be a turning point in both fighters' careers.

Key Factors to Consider

• Dumas has a recent win but tends to be cautious after a knockout loss, relying heavily on control and wrestling. Oleksiejczuk is known for aggressive, early-round finishes and has faced high-level opponents.
• There is no head-to-head data between the two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Oleksiejczuk's partnership with The Fighting Nerds might provide a psychological boost.
• High stakes for both fighters, with Oleksiejczuk particularly motivated given his recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Michal Oleksiejczuk: -185, Sedriques Dumas: +160	Michal Oleksiejczuk to win	★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under	Over 1.5: -150, Under 1.5: 120	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	N/A
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Michal Oleksiejczuk is favored to win, likely by KO/TKO.

Predicted Score: Decision or KO/TKO in favor of Michal Oleksiejczuk.