Match Analysis: Michael Reyes vs Adrian Garcia – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-22
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: LFA 215, Ventura, California

Game Overview

Michael Reyes meets Adrian Garcia at LFA 215 in a bantamweight MMA bout, with Garcia favored on the moneyline but Reyes offering value given his recent improvements and physical attributes.

Key Factors to Consider

• Adrian Garcia enters favored at -250 based on solid recent form and finishing ability. Michael Reyes has shown resilience and tactical evolution, with improved striking defense in his last three outings.
• No recorded previous encounter between Reyes and Garcia, making this a fresh tactical matchup.
• Neither fighter reports recent injuries or significant layoffs, both competing in peak condition.
• Fight takes place in Ventura, California, neutral venue favoring no fighter by location. No reported external disruptions.
• Both fighters aim to climb the ranks with a high-profile win; Garcia may have added pressure as the favorite while Reyes possesses underdog motivation to prove himself.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Adrian Garcia: -250, Michael Reyes: 210	Adrian Garcia	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Adrian Garcia -1.5: -130, Michael Reyes +1.5: 110	Adrian Garcia -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -200, Under 2.5: 160	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Adrian Garcia -6%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 61%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 61% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Adrian Garcia to win via moneyline

Predicted Score: Adrian Garcia wins by decision or finish before round 3