Match Analysis: Michael Chiesa vs Court McGee – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: June 14, 2025
- Time: 1:15 AM UTC
- Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta
Game Overview
Michael Chiesa faces Court McGee in a welterweight bout at UFC Atlanta. Chiesa, known for his wrestling background, holds a record of 18-7-0, while McGee, a Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu practitioner, has a record of 23-13-0. Chiesa is favored in the bout, with odds reflecting his likely advantage in grappling and defensive striking.
Key Factors to Consider
- Michael Chiesa has a strong wrestling background, which could give him control in the fight. Court McGee has more experience but is less active in recent years.
- No prior head-to-head fights between the two.
- No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
- The venue and crowd may favor neither fighter specifically, but the underdog status might motivate McGee.
- Both fighters are motivated to win, but McGee might be more driven as the underdog.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michael Chiesa: -345, Court McGee: 275 | Michael Chiesa | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Spread | Michael Chiesa: -3.5 -150, Court McGee: 3.5 110 | Michael Chiesa to win by decision or early submission | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -175, Under 2.5: 135 | Over 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Michael Chiesa -99% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -99% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Michael Chiesa is likely to win due to his wrestling skills and defensive capabilities.
Predicted Score: Michael Chiesa wins by decision or early submission in the third round.