Match Analysis: Akron Zips vs Miami (OH) RedHawks – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-11
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: InfoCision Stadium-Summa Health Field
Game Overview
Miami (OH) RedHawks travel to face Akron Zips in a Mid-American Conference clash. Miami (OH) enters with momentum after bouncing back from early-season struggles, while Akron has been inconsistent, especially on offense. Both teams are battling for positioning in the MAC standings, making this a significant conference matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
- Miami (OH) is 2-3, showing signs of resilience. Akron is 2-4, with a 1-4 record in their last five and only two ATS wins in their last five. Akron’s offense is struggling, averaging just 16.4 points per game, while Miami (OH) is averaging 23.3 points per game[3]. Akron’s defense is also allowing 32.2 points per game, which is a major concern[3].
- Akron is 2-3 ATS in their last five games, and 1-2 on the road ATS[2]. Against Miami (OH), Akron’s trend of difficulty covering at home continues, especially with a low-scoring offense[1].
- No major injury reports available. Assume both teams have key starters healthy.
- Weather is mild (59°F), 0% chance of rain, minimal wind—neutral for both teams[2].
- Both teams are fighting for relevance in their division, but Miami (OH) appears to have more upside and motivation after their recent rally[1]. Akron has struggled at home (covering just once all season) and could be emotionally vulnerable after tough losses[1].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Akron +340, Miami (OH) -440 | Miami (OH) -440 (Win) | ★★★★☆ 81% |
Spread | Akron +11.5 -115, Miami (OH) -11.5 -105 | Miami (OH) -11.5 | ★★★★☆ 73% |
Over/under | Over 44.5 -118, Under 44.5 -102 | Under 44.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Miami (OH) RedHawks 265% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 44.5 9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Miami (OH) RedHawks at 265% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami (OH) RedHawks are favored for good reason—they are in better form, have a more reliable offense, and face an Akron defense that is porous. Akron’s home struggles and offensive woes make a blowout by the visitors a strong possibility.
Predicted Score: Miami (OH) 27, Akron 13