The Miami Marlins (65-74) face the struggling Washington Nationals (55-83) in a late-season MLB matchup. Marlins come in as favorites with better recent form and starting pitching advantage. Nationals have been underperforming with weaker pitching and offense this season.
Key Factors to Consider
Marlins have won 3 of their last 5 games, with offense averaging 4.34 runs and pitching ERA around 4.96. Nationals have lost 8 of their last 10, posting a 5.31 ERA and subpar .243 batting average. Marlinsβ pitcher Eury Perez has a 4.04 ERA but recent struggles. Nationalsβ Mitchell Parker has a high 5.94 ERA and a poor 7-15 record.
Nationals won the first two games in this series with scores 2-0 and 5-2, but overall recent form favors Marlins who hit better and have more consistent pitching.
No significant injuries reported impacting probable starters or key offensive players for either team.
Game played outdoors at Nationals Park with neutral weather conditions expected. Home field advantage slightly favors Nationals but their poor form limits this.
Neither team is playoff bound, but Marlins show slightly higher motivation to avoid a losing streak and improve standings.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Marlins -138 / Nationals +118
Miami Marlins
β β β β β 72%
Spread
Marlins -1.5 +114 / Nationals +1.5 -137
Miami Marlins -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
Over 9 -108 / Under 9 -112
Over 9 runs
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Miami Marlins -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 16%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Miami Marlins to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.5 run spread, with the game going over 9 total runs.
Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 6, Washington Nationals 3
The New York Mets host the Miami Marlins in the final game of their weekend series. The Mets, with a strong home record and superior season performance, face a struggling Marlins lineup, who took the previous game but remain underdogs.
Key Factors to Consider
The Mets hold a 73-63 record, ranking 5th in offensive production with a 3.85 ERA pitching staff, while the Marlins are 64-72 with a 5.87 ERA and lower offensive output (ranked 19th). Mets have won 59.3% of games as favorites and have won 6 of their last 9 games.
Mets and Marlins have split earlier series games; the Marlins won the last game but the Mets maintain an overall advantage at home and have been consistent winners as favorites this season.
No significant injuries reported for either team affecting starting pitchers or key offensive players; Mets have stable lineup with leaders Alonso and Soto contributing heavily.
Game played at Metsβ Citi Field giving them home advantage; pitching matchup favors Mets with Kodai Senga (2.73 ERA) against Marlinsβ Sandy Alcantara (5.87 ERA), indicating Mets likely to control the game tempo.
Mets motivated to consolidate their position near the top of NL East standings and maintain momentum; Marlins looking to salvage series but less likely to overcome form and home field disadvantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -174, away: +146
New York Mets
β β β β β 75%
Spread
home: 116, away: -140
New York Mets -1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
over: -114, under: -106
Over 8
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
New York Mets -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8 9%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
New York Mets to win moneyline, cover the -1.5 runline, and expect the game to go over 8 total runs.
The Miami Marlins (62-70) host the Atlanta Braves (60-72) in the final game of their three-game series at loanDepot park. Both teams have notable pitching weaknesses with Marlins starter Ryan Gusto (7-6, 5.05 ERA) and Braves starter Joey Wentz (4-4, 5.25 ERA). The Braves are slight favorites but the home venue and recent team performance create a competitive matchup.
Key Factors to Consider
Marlins have struggled recently, losing three of their last five, despite decent hitting led by Kyle Stowers and Agustin Ramirez. Braves have matched the Marlins in overall record but boast stronger batting depth and better recent offensive output, as evidenced by a blowout win in game 2 of this series.
Joey Wentz is 3-1 with a 1.23 ERA against the Marlins historically, giving Atlanta a pitching edge. The Braves have won the series 1-1 going into this game, with the last match showing an offensive flourish for Atlanta.
No significant injury reports impacting starters for either team have been noted.
Playing at loanDepot park, a neutral to hitter-friendly environment, supports moderate run production. Weather and conditions appear stable with no adverse impacts expected.
Both teams are out of postseason contention but motivated to finish the season strong; the Marlins seek to hold home advantage while the Braves aim to consolidate series win momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-126
Atlanta Braves
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
Atlanta Braves -1.5 122
Atlanta Braves -1.5
β β β ββ 58%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -105
Over 8.5
β β β ββ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Atlanta Braves -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 3%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Toronto Blue Jays visit Miami Marlins for a pivotal late-season MLB matchup. Blue Jays are slight favorites on the road, with a strong motivation to sweep the series. Miami looks to avoid sweep backed by strong starting pitching at home.
Key Factors to Consider
The Blue Jays hold a 76-54 record overall and have been solid favorites with a 27-11 record when favored by -134 or more. Marlins are struggling at 60-69 overall with weaker home performance (29-35). Toronto is stronger on the road (34-33) but Miami's starting pitcher Perez has been hit or miss recently.
Toronto has dominated early in this three-game series and aims for a sweep. H2H form favors Blue Jays, but Miami has home advantage and a strong arm starting to disrupt the sweep.
Key injuries on both sides: Miami missing Santana, Francis, Burr, Guerrero; Toronto lacks Norby, Conine, Pauley, Tinoco, Stowers, Meyer, Weathers, Lopez. Injuries impact bench depth more than starters.
Playing at loanDepot Park, a medium scoring venue. Weather conditions typical for Miami in August, no reported heavy weather disruptions expected.
Blue Jays highly motivated to finish sweep and consolidate AL East lead. Marlins motivated to stop skid and protect home turf before playoffs are out of reach.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
114
Miami Marlins
β β β ββ 65%
Spread
-156
Miami Marlins +1.5
β β β ββ 68%
Over/under
-120
Under 7.5
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Miami Marlins 18%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 19%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marlins Moneyline
Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 4, Toronto Blue Jays 3
The Miami Marlins will host the St. Louis Cardinals at loanDepot park. Both teams are mid-standings with similar season records, but recent form and pitching matchup provide nuanced edges. The game is projected to be competitive with moderate run scoring around the 8.5 total line.
Key Factors to Consider
The Marlins have struggled recently with just 2 wins in their last 10 games and inconsistent bullpen performance. The Cardinals have a slightly better record (63-64) and have performed well on the road recently. Miami pitches Sandy Alcantara (6-11, 6.31 ERA) against Cardinals' Andre Pallante (6-10, 5.04 ERA), both underperforming this season.
The Cardinals have historically dominated with a 47-27 record versus Miami, including 24 wins on the road. However, Miami's last win in the H2H was a 10-3 blowout, while the most recent game was a 7-6 Cardinals victory. Average runs per game are close: Miami 4.27 at home, Cardinals 4.71 on road.
No major injury reports impacting starting pitchers or key players for either side have been noted, indicating near full-strength rosters.
Home field at loanDepot Park slightly favors Marlins, but weather and other external conditions are neutral with no impact on play.
Both teams seek to improve standings and break any losing streaks; marginally more urgency for Marlins due to weaker recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Miami Marlins: -118, St. Louis Cardinals: 100
Miami Marlins
β β β ββ 60%
Spread
Miami Marlins -1.5: -205, St. Louis Cardinals +1.5: 172
St. Louis Cardinals +1.5
β β β ββ 67%
Over/under
Over 8.5: -104, Under 8.5: -118
Under 8.5
β β β ββ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Miami Marlins -0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 2%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)
The Boston Red Sox host the Miami Marlins in the final game of a three-game MLB series. Boston is favored, backed by strong home form and ace pitching, while Miami tries to avoid a sweep on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston (68-56) has been strong at home and successful as favorites, winning close to 60% of such games and winning 10 of their last 12 starts with Garrett Crochet. Miami (58-65) struggles on the road and recently swept by Boston, with Janson Junk having a challenging August performance.
Boston has dominated the current series and historically holds an advantage, especially with Crochet pitching effectively against the Marlins' lineup.
No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key hitters for both teams, Red Sox ace Garrett Crochet healthy and pitching well.
Playing at Fenway Park favors the Red Sox, who have significant clutch hitting and home pitching stats. Weather and field conditions expected to be typical with no adverse impact.
Boston seeks to complete a series sweep, boosting playoff momentum, while Miami plays with diminished motivation after recent losses and a tough schedule ahead.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -255, Miami Marlins +210
Boston Red Sox
β β β β β 75%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5 -126, Miami Marlins +1.5 105
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β β β 70%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115
Under 8.5
β β β ββ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox moneyline winner, cover the -1.5 spread, and the game to go under 8.5 total runs.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 5, Miami Marlins 2