Match Analysis: Melissa Mullins vs Darya Zheleznyakova – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-21
- Time: 5:30 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Fight Night (Venue unspecified)
Game Overview
The MMA match between Melissa Mullins and Darya Zheleznyakova is scheduled for June 21, 2025, at UFC Fight Night. Melissa Mullins enters as the favorite with a record of 7-1-0, known for her striking and ground and pound tactics. Darya Zheleznyakova also has a 7-1 record, emphasizing aggressive ground and pound and submission skills. This matchup features two evenly matched fighters with similar records but contrasting styles.
Key Factors to Consider
- Melissa Mullins has demonstrated consistent success with a strong striking background and has ended 4 of her wins by KO. Darya Zheleznyakova is slightly less experienced on bigger stages but has a strong ground game and submission potential.
- There is no recorded direct encounter between Melissa Mullins and Darya Zheleznyakova prior to this match, making head-to-head data unavailable and increasing unpredictability.
- No publicly known injuries reported for either fighter leading into this match, suggesting both athletes are competing at full fitness.
- The fight is hosted at UFC Fight Night, which could favor Melissa Mullins given potential home crowd support and familiarity with event setups, but no explicit external conditions strongly favor either competitor.
- Both fighters are eager to solidify their standing in the MMA scene with similar records and upcoming UFC exposure, implying high motivation to win decisively.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Melissa Mullins: -235, Darya Zheleznyakova: 200 | Melissa Mullins | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Melissa Mullins: -1.5 at -115, Darya Zheleznyakova: +1.5 at -105 | Melissa Mullins -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | over_2.5: -105, under_2.5: -125 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Melissa Mullins -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 8% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Melissa Mullins is predicted to win by decision or late stoppage due to her proven striking power and experience in high-profile fights, with strong confidence in her overall game plan and adaptability.
Predicted Score: Melissa Mullins wins by decision or KO in round 3