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North Queensland Cowboys vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: North Queensland Cowboys vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Queensland Country Bank Stadium, Townsville, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between North Queensland Cowboys and Melbourne Storm is set to take place at Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the home ground of the Cowboys. Historically, Melbourne Storm has dominated their encounters with the Cowboys, holding a strong lead in head-to-head records since 1998. This match is critical for both sides as they look to establish dominance in the mid-season period of the 2025 NRL campaign.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm leads the overall head-to-head series with 33 wins out of 46 matches versus 13 for the Cowboys. At Queensland Country Bank Stadium, the Cowboys have had recent success winning 3 of the last 4 matches against Storm. Melbourne scores more consistently overall, but Cowboys' home form and recent wins make this a competitive fixture.
  • Melbourne Storm have a commanding overall record with 33 wins vs. 13 for the Cowboys since 1998. At the Cowboys’ home ground, the record is more balanced with 16 Storm wins and 9 Cowboys wins in 25 matches. Recent clashes favor the Cowboys with 3 wins at home in the last 4 encounters against Melbourne.
  • No specific injury updates are provided in the current data. Both teams are expected to field strong lineups, with no notable absences reported before the match.
  • Queensland Country Bank Stadium is known to give the Cowboys a strong home advantage, including fan support and familiarity. The match being played in Townsville could potentially neutralize some of Melbourne’s away strengths. Weather and travel factors are not specified but typically are stable for July.
  • Melbourne Storm aims to reinforce their dominance and continue their winning streak. The Cowboys, motivated by recent home victories and chasing redemption in the rivalry, will be keen to upset the Storm at home and boost their season momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -335, North Queensland Cowboys: 265, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Melbourne Storm -10.5: -115, North Queensland Cowboys +10.5: -115 Melbourne Storm to cover -10.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 49.5: -115, Under 49.5: -115 Under 49.5 points total ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 49.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 49.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is predicted to win the match but by a narrower margin than usual due to the Cowboys' strong home form and recent victories at Queensland Country Bank Stadium. The match is expected to be competitive with a moderate points spread.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – North Queensland Cowboys 14


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South Sydney Rabbitohs vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-21
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL match between South Sydney Rabbitohs and Melbourne Storm is a highly anticipated clash, with Melbourne Storm historically dominant in the head-to-head record. Despite recent struggles against Storm, South Sydney will seek to leverage their home advantage to improve their record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been in strong form, winning the majority of their recent matches including a dominant 54-20 victory over South Sydney earlier in 2024. South Sydney have had a mixed season with some strong performances but struggle against Storm's tactical discipline.
  • Across 42 games, Melbourne Storm have won 35 times, while South Sydney have won 7 times. Recent encounters favor Melbourne, including a 24-16 win in April 2025 and a 28-16 win in August 2024, underscoring Storm's superiority.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but typical mid-season fatigue and minor injuries may affect player availability for both teams. Monitoring last-minute updates is recommended.
  • The match is played in Sydney, giving South Sydney the home ground advantage. Weather conditions and pitch quality are expected to be standard with no major disruptions forecasted.
  • South Sydney will be highly motivated to break their losing streak against Melbourne, especially at home. Melbourne Storm will aim to continue asserting dominance and consolidate their position in the league standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -400, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 315, Draw: 2500 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -12.5 -110, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +12.5 -120 Melbourne Storm to cover -12.5 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110 Over 46.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 46.5 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 46.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to win given their consistent dominance in recent head-to-head matches and overall season form. However, South Sydney’s home advantage and motivation to improve their record suggest a competitive match with a margin around two converted tries.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – 16 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Melbourne Storm vs. North Queensland Cowboys Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs North Queensland Cowboys – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-06
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm hosts the North Queensland Cowboys in Round 14 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership. Both teams have experienced varying degrees of success this season, with Melbourne Storm generally favored due to their strong home performance and team depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has been consistent, while North Queensland Cowboys have shown some inconsistency but are capable of strong performances.
  • Melbourne Storm often holds an advantage historically, but recent matches have shown competitive outcomes.
  • Injuries could impact team dynamics, but specific injury reports are not detailed in the data.
  • AAMI Park's home advantage for Melbourne Storm could significantly influence the game.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Melbourne Storm's need to maintain a strong home record may be a driving factor.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -500, North Queensland Cowboys +355, Draw +2500 Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Melbourne Storm -14.5 -115, North Queensland Cowboys 14.5 -115 Melbourne Storm to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 48.5 -145, Under 48.5 110 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is likely to win, given their strong home record and favored odds.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24, North Queensland Cowboys 18


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-31
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast, Australia

Game Overview

This Round 13 NRL Premiership fixture features a clash between the Gold Coast Titans (home) and Melbourne Storm (away). The Titans, typically inconsistent, face a Melbourne Storm team with a strong league reputation and impressive recent performances. The game will be played in Gold Coast, which may offer slight home advantage, but historical matchups and current form suggest a challenging contest for the Titans.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have shown superior form and consistency compared to the Titans. The Storm boast a stronger squad depth and tactical acumen, while the Titans struggle with defensive lapses and consistency throughout the season.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm hold a dominant head-to-head record over the Gold Coast Titans, often winning by comfortable margins, especially in recent seasons[2].
  • No major injury news reported for either side that would drastically shift the balance of power. Full squad availability is expected for both teams[1].
  • No extreme weather conditions forecast; the game is set to be played under standard rugby league conditions at stadium capacity[3].
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, but Melbourne Storm are perennial contenders and will be keen to stay at the top of the ladder. The Titans may look to upset at home, but their motivation is tempered by inconsistent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Gold Coast Titans: 285, Melbourne Storm: -360, Draw: 2500 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Gold Coast Titans: 10.5 (-110), Melbourne Storm: -10.5 (-120) Melbourne Storm win with handicap (-10.5) ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over: 48.5 (-145), Under: 48.5 (110) Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melbourne Storm at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite home advantage for the Titans, Melbourne Storm are expected to secure a comprehensive victory, covering the spread, with the total points likely to exceed 48.5.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 30 – Gold Coast Titans 14


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Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Cronulla Sutherland Sharks vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-17
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Sharks Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The 2025 NRL Round 11 match between Cronulla Sutherland Sharks and Melbourne Storm is set for May 17 at Sharks Stadium. The Storm enter as favorites with a strong form record, but the Sharks have shown resilience and home advantage could be a factor. Both teams bring competitive edge with key players potentially impacting the game flow.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm are statistically stronger across most key metrics this season, showing more consistent wins and effective defense. Cronulla have struggled with injuries but maintain a competitive edge at home. Recent form slightly favors Melbourne, but the Sharks have upset teams at Sharks Stadium previously.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm have had the upper hand in this matchup, winning a majority of recent encounters. However, Cronulla's ability to upset at home adds complexity to the predictions.
  • Cronulla may see limited bench rotations due to injury concerns. Key players like Atko's participation depends on other injuries. Melbourne Storm appear relatively fit with no major injury concerns noted.
  • The match is played at Sharks Stadium giving Cronulla home-ground advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be typical for May in Sydney, unlikely to affect play conditions significantly.
  • Both teams have strong motivation to gain crucial points mid-season. Melbourne Storm aim to consolidate their position near the top of the ladder, while Cronulla seek to capitalize on home advantage to break a possible losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 151, Melbourne Storm: -179, Draw: 2000 Melbourne Storm win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 4.5 -120, Melbourne Storm: -4.5 -110 Melbourne Storm to win by less than 4.5 or Sharks to cover +4.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 46.5 -106, Under: 46.5 -118 Under 46.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm to win a closely contested match, but the Sharks could cover the spread given home advantage and motivated performance.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 24 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Melbourne Storm vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm face the Wests Tigers at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium. Melbourne Storm have historically dominated this matchup with superior recent form and a strong home advantage. Wests Tigers, struggling with performance inconsistencies, will need to overcome significant odds to challenge the Storm on their turf.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have maintained strong form in the current NRL season, consistently outperforming opponents with robust defense and effective attacking strategies. Wests Tigers have struggled for consistent wins and often falter against top-tier teams like Melbourne.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm lead the head-to-head record decisively, with 26 wins to Wests Tigers' 12 out of 38 encounters. Melbourne's dominance is particularly marked at home venues, where they have secured numerous comfortable victories including recent wins with significant point margins.
  • No specific injury updates are currently available, but Melbourne traditionally fields a well-conditioned squad with fewer injury concerns. Wests Tigers' injury situation remains uncertain, potentially impacting squad depth and match fitness.
  • The match is played in Melbourne, providing home ground advantage to the Storm, including crowd support and familiarity with conditions. Weather forecasts and other environmental factors are not currently impacting the game conditions significantly.
  • Melbourne Storm are motivated to assert dominance at home and improve their standing in the league, while Wests Tigers will be motivated to upset the odds and secure an unexpected away win, though the challenge is considerable.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -575, Wests Tigers: 395, Draw: 2800 Melbourne Storm win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -16.5 (100), Wests Tigers: +16.5 (-130) Melbourne Storm to cover -16.5 points ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -115 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are highly favored to win due to superior form, historical dominance, and home advantage. The expected outcome is a strong victory margin for Melbourne, with Wests Tigers likely to struggle to keep pace.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 32 – 14 Wests Tigers


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Melbourne Storm vs. Canberra Raiders Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Canberra Raiders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 8:25 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm and Canberra Raiders face off in a critical NRL match as Magic Round concludes. Both teams have been impressive, with the Storm sitting second and the Raiders third in the league standings. The Storm have a strong historical performance at Suncorp Stadium, while the Raiders have defied expectations with their attacking prowess.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams boast strong forward packs and skilled backs. The Storm's halves, led by Jahrome Hughes, and the Raiders', led by Jamal Fogarty, are crucial. The Storm won their last game against the Rabbitohs 24-16, while the Raiders staged a significant comeback to beat the Dolphins.
  • The Storm have a historical upper hand, including a previous 30-10 win against the Raiders at Suncorp Stadium in the 2020 season's preliminary final.
  • The Storm's Tui Kamikamica is set to return, and Nelson Asofa-Solomona is in the extended squad. The Raiders have no changes to their lineup.
  • The neutral venue might reduce home-field advantages, but the Storm's past success at Suncorp Stadium could be a factor.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they are closely matched in the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -197, Canberra Raiders 171 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Melbourne Storm -5.5 (-125), Canberra Raiders +5.5 (-105) Melbourne Storm ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5 (-115), Under 47.5 (-115) Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Given the Storm's historical success and current form, they are favored to win, though the Raiders' recent performance suggests a close match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 25, Canberra Raiders 20


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Melbourne Storm vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-25
  • Time: 10:10 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park

Game Overview

The Round 8 NRL clash between Melbourne Storm and South Sydney Rabbitohs is set at AAMI Park on Anzac Day. Melbourne Storm are coming off strong recent performances with key players returning from injury, while South Sydney face some injuries but remain competitive. The Storm are slight favorites due to home advantage and squad depth.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been performing solidly, highlighted by Nick Meaney's return and Kane Bradley's recent try-scoring form. South Sydney Rabbitohs have shown resilience but are weakened by multiple injuries affecting key positions.
  • Historically, Melbourne Storm have had the upper hand in recent encounters, with the predictive model granting Storm an 84% winning probability over Rabbitohs at this venue. Their home form and consistency contribute significantly to this dominance.
  • Melbourne Storm will miss Jack Howarth (dislocated shoulder) and Tui Kamikamica (ankle sprain). Nick Meaney returns from facial fracture. Harry Grant is out with hamstring strain, expected back in mid-May. Rabbitohs face absences including Bayleigh Bentley-Hape, Declan Casey, Jayden Sullivan, Salesi Ataata, and Thomas Fletcher, with Lachlan Hubner returning.
  • The match is played at Melbourne's home ground AAMI Park, providing a familiar environment and crowd support. The match day being Anzac Day may add emotional intensity. Weather and pitch conditions are normal and no unusual disruptions are expected.
  • Melbourne Storm aim to continue their strong season momentum and capitalize on home advantage. South Sydney Rabbitohs seek to upset the odds despite injury setbacks, motivated by rivalry and the prestige of an Anzac Day fixture.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -480, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 340 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Storm -14.5: 1.91, Rabbitohs +14.5: 1.91 Storm to cover -14.5 point spread ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 47.5: -118, Under 47.5: -106 Over 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win comfortably based on their current form, home advantage, and superior squad fitness.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28 – South Sydney Rabbitohs 14


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Dolphins vs. Melbourne Storm Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Dolphins vs Melbourne Storm – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Friday, 18th April, 2025
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Suncorp Stadium

Game Overview

The Dolphins are set to face off against the Melbourne Storm in a Round 7 matchup of the NRL season. The Storm, currently in second place, has been performing strongly, while the Dolphins are positioned lower in the standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has shown consistent form, with key players like Cameron Munster and Jahrome Hughes contributing significantly. The Dolphins will face a tough challenge to match Storm's strength and cohesion.
  • Historically, head-to-head matches between these teams have favored the Storm, given their consistent performance and depth in talent.
  • Moses Leo's injury for the Storm is notable, but Jahrome Hughes's recovery boosts their lineup. The Dolphins need to capitalize on any Storm weaknesses.
  • The match is on Good Friday, which might affect crowd dynamics and team morale. Additionally, transport and public holiday schedules could impact fan attendance.
  • The Storm's motivation to maintain their high position in the standings is strong, while the Dolphins seek to improve their ranking and gain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: 355 / Storm: -480 / Draw: 2500 Melbourne Storm to win ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread Dolphins: +13.5 -115 / Storm: -13.5 -115 Melbourne Storm will cover the spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under Over: 48.5 -125 / Under: 48.5 -105 Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the performance and position of both teams, Melbourne Storm is favored to win the match.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 32 – 18 Dolphins


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Melbourne Storm vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Sunday, 13 April 2025
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm face off against the New Zealand Warriors in a highly anticipated match, with the Storm seeking to extend their dominance. The Storm have won their last 16 encounters against the Warriors and have been impressive at AAMI Park, winning 22 of their last 24 games there.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been strong, with key players like Ryan Papenhuyzen, Cameron Munster, and Jahrome Hughes contributing significantly. The Warriors have shown promise with playmaker Luke Metcalf but face a tough challenge against a cohesive Storm team.
  • The Storm have a significant head-to-head advantage over the Warriors, winning the last 16 matches.
  • Will Warbrick and Nelson Asofa-Solomona remain sidelined for the Storm due to concussions, while the Warriors welcome back Rocco Berry from injury.
  • A large crowd at AAMI Park may boost the Storm's home advantage.
  • Both teams will be highly motivated, but the Warriors need a win to challenge the Storm's dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Storm -625, Warriors 460, Draw 3000 Storm Win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Storm -16.5 -110, Warriors 16.5 -120 Storm Cover Spread ★★★★☆ 70%
Over_under Over 52.5 -105, Under 52.5 -125 Over 52.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 2442%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 52.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Melbourne Storm at 2442% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 81.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are favored to win this match based on historical performance and current team strength.

Predicted Score: Storm 35 – 18 Warriors


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