Match Analysis: Utah State Aggies vs McNeese State Cowboys – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-21
- Time: 12:07 AM UTC
- Location: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan
Game Overview
Utah State Aggies host McNeese State Cowboys in a significant mismatch with Utah State heavily favored after a stronger season start and superior recent performance.
Key Factors to Consider
- Utah State is 2-1 this season, demonstrating consistent strength and covering the spread in 3 of their last 5 games. McNeese State struggles at 1-2, including a heavy recent loss, highlighting offensive limitations.
- No recent direct head-to-head matchups available against this opponent, but Utah State has dominated their recent games overall at home and against similar tier teams.
- No major injuries reported for either team, suggesting full-strength lineups.
- Game at Utah State's home stadium provides a strong home field advantage; weather is expected to be mild and favorable with low wind and no rain.
- Utah State is motivated to maintain undefeated home form and build momentum for the season, while McNeese State faces uphill motivation challenges after early season setbacks.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah State: -4000, McNeese State: +1400 | Utah State | ★★★★★ 94% |
| Spread | Utah State -26.5 -110, McNeese State +26.5 -110 | Utah State -26.5 | ★★★★☆ 84% |
| Over/under | Over 61.5 -110, Under 61.5 -110 | Over 61.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Utah State Aggies -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 61.5 34% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 61.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Utah State Aggies to win outright, cover the large spread, and for the game to go over the total points line.
Predicted Score: Utah State 42 – McNeese State 14