Match Analysis: Mazlum Akdeniz vs Anthony Soto – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 1:00 AM UTC
- Location: Theatre St-Denis, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
Mazlum Akdeniz, an undefeated southpaw with a 21-0 record and two regional titles at 140 and 147 lbs, faces Anthony Soto, who is also unbeaten at 13-0-1 but fighting outside the US for the first time. The 10-round welterweight bout presents Akdeniz as the established hometown favorite versus Soto's rising knockout power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Akdeniz has consistently faced higher-level opposition, recently achieving six consecutive unanimous decision wins at the contender level. Soto has a strong KO streak, finishing his last four opponents by KO, but mostly against lesser opposition.
- No previous head-to-head meetings. Both remain undefeated, making this their first direct encounter at a high competitive level.
- No reported injuries or physical concerns on either side leading into the bout.
- Akdeniz fights at home in Montreal, a boxing city with strong local support. Soto makes his international debut, which may affect acclimatization and performance.
- Akdeniz aims to leverage this victory for a title shot, highly motivated to maintain his unbeaten record at home. Soto seeks breakthrough recognition fighting abroad and has momentum from recent knockout wins.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -1800, away: +850 | Mazlum Akdeniz | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -1.5 -1800, away: +1.5 +850 | Mazlum Akdeniz -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 72% |
| Over/under | over_7.5: -120, under_7.5: +100 | Under 7.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazlum Akdeniz -10% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mazlum Akdeniz at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mazlum Akdeniz to win by decision
Predicted Score: Akdeniz wins by unanimous decision after 10 rounds