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Cory Sandhagen vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cory Sandhagen vs Deiveson Figueiredo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 4:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Des Moines

Game Overview

Cory Sandhagen, known for his dynamic striking and high fight IQ, faces Deiveson Figueiredo, a formidable grappler and former flyweight champion, in a highly anticipated bantamweight bout. Sandhagen's advantages in height, reach, and striking output could play significant roles. However, Figueiredo's grappling skills and takedown attempts might challenge Sandhagen's defense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cory Sandhagen has a strong striking background with 5.02 strikes landed per minute, while Deiveson Figueiredo excels in grappling, with more takedown attempts and submission attempts than Sandhagen.
  • There is no prior head-to-head match between them.
  • No reported injuries at this time.
  • The fight is at bantamweight, where Sandhagen is more established, potentially giving him an edge over Figueiredo, who is moving up from flyweight.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Figueiredo looking to prove himself at bantamweight and Sandhagen seeking to solidify his position in the division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cory Sandhagen: -575, Deiveson Figueiredo: +425 Cory Sandhagen ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Cory Sandhagen: -5.5 (-190), Deiveson Figueiredo: +5.5 (140) Cory Sandhagen ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 4.5: -220, Under 4.5: +170 Over 4.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cory Sandhagen -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 4.5 -20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Cory Sandhagen at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cory Sandhagen is predicted to win due to his strong striking and significant advantages in height and reach.

Predicted Score: Cory Sandhagen wins by TKO or decision in the later rounds.


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Gold Coast Titans vs. Canterbury Bulldogs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Gold Coast Titans vs Canterbury Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 3:50 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Gold Coast Titans host the Canterbury Bulldogs in what promises to be an exciting NRL match. Both teams will aim to win, given the competitive nature of the league.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Canterbury Bulldogs have generally shown strong form against the Titans in recent years, while the Gold Coast team seeks to improve its home performance.
  • Historically, the Bulldogs have an edge over the Titans. However, recent matches have been competitive, suggesting an improving trend for the Titans.
  • No critical injury updates were found that would significantly impact the team's performance.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence team morale and performance.
  • Both teams are motivated, but the Bulldogs may have an edge based on past head-to-head results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -385, Gold Coast Titans: 290, Draw: 2300 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs: -10.5 -120, Gold Coast Titans: 10.5 -110 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Under ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 47.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given historical data and current odds, the Canterbury Bulldogs are favored to win, though the Titans might put up a strong fight.

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs: 28 – 18 Gold Coast Titans


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Santiago Ponzinibbio vs. Daniel Rodriguez Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Santiago Ponzinibbio vs Daniel Rodriguez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Game Overview

This welterweight bout at UFC Des Moines pits Santiago Ponzinibbio against Daniel Rodriguez. Both fighters have impressive records, with Ponzinibbio at 31-8-0 and Rodriguez at 18-5-0, making it a closely contested match.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ponzinibbio lands 4.80 significant strikes per minute with 41% accuracy, while Rodriguez lands 7.50 strikes per minute with 49% accuracy, giving Rodriguez an edge in striking. Ponzinibbio absorbs 4.61 strikes per minute, defending 61%, whereas Rodriguez takes 5.47 and defends 58%, indicating a slightly better defense for Ponzinibbio.
  • No previous head-to-head matches between these fighters have been reported, making this a first-time encounter.
  • No significant injury reports for either fighter leading up to this match.
  • The crowd might slightly favor Rodriguez due to his recent performances, but Ponzinibbio's experience could counterbalance this.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated to win, as this is a crucial match in their careers.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -110 for both fighters Rodriguez ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread -3.5 for Rodriguez and +3.5 for Ponzinibbio Take Ponzinibbio +3.5 due to the potential for a close fight ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -238, Under 2.5 rounds: 180 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Daniel Rodriguez 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Daniel Rodriguez at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

This fight is closely matched, but Rodriguez's higher strike rate might give him an edge in a decision victory.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Daniel Rodriguez


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Reinier de Ridder vs. Bo Nickal Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Reinier de Ridder vs Bo Nickal – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Des Moines

Game Overview

Middleweight co-main event between undefeated prospect Bo Nickal and two-division ONE Championship veteran Reinier de Ridder. De Ridder aims to leverage his elite submission skills (13 career submission wins) against Nickal's elite wrestling pedigree. Both fighters are undefeated in the UFC, with de Ridder coming off two first-round submissions of Gerald Meerschaert and Kevin Holland.

Key Factors to Consider

  • De Ridder: 19-0 record (13 subs), UFC wins via RNC and D'Arce choke. Nickal: 5-0 record (4 subs), UFC wins via D'Arce and kimura.
  • First meeting. Nickal's NCAA D1 wrestling pedigree vs de Ridder's BJJ black belt mastery.
  • No reported injuries. De Ridder mentioned weight management post-fight but not an active concern.
  • Significant fan anticipation around Nickal ('The Great American Hope') counterbalanced by de Ridder's championship experience in major organizations.
  • De Ridder seeks top-5 ranking and title shot path with win. Nickal aims to validate hyped prospect status.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Nickal -340 / de Ridder +270 Nickal moneyline ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Nickal -3.5 (-190) / de Ridder +3.5 (+140) Nickal covers -3.5 spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-105) / Under 2.5 (-125) Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bo Nickal 152%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bo Nickal at 152% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 56.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nickal by decision (55%) or de Ridder by submission (45%). High probability of grappling-heavy bout with Nickal's wrestling likely controlling early rounds, but de Ridder's submission threat persists throughout.

Predicted Score: No score prediction (MMA). Most likely outcome: Nickal by 3rd-round ground-and-pound TKO (30% probability) or de Ridder by 2nd-round submission (25% probability).


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Canelo Álvarez vs. William Scull Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Canelo Álvarez vs William Scull – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: ANB Arena, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Game Overview

Undisputed super middleweight champion Canelo Álvarez defends his titles against undefeated mandatory challenger William Scull. Canelo brings elite counterpunching and championship experience (60-2-2, 39 KOs), while Scull (22-0, 9 KOs) faces his first career-defining test with significant physical advantages in height and reach.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canelo dominates in championship experience (18+ years as pro) and KO power (39 KOs). Scull lacks elite-level competition but maintains perfect record.
  • First meeting between fighters
  • No reported injuries
  • Scull's mandatory challenger status pressures Canelo; Saudi Arabia's Riyadh Season event amplifies global spotlight
  • Canelo defends legacy ahead of potential Crawford clash; Scull seeks career-altering upset

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canelo -5000 | Scull +1200 Canelo Álvarez ★★★★★ 95%
Over/under Over 9.5 Rounds -125 | Under 9.5 Rounds -105 Over 9.5 Rounds ★★★★☆ 80%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canelo Álvarez -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9.5 30%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9.5 at 30% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canelo by decision (60-54 scorecard equivalent) – superior ring IQ and championship seasoning will overcome Scull's physical advantages

Predicted Score: Unanimous Decision for Canelo (117-111, 118-110, 116-112)


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Cameron Smotherman vs. Serhiy Sidey Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Cameron Smotherman vs Serhiy Sidey – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Cameron Smotherman faces Serhiy Sidey in a UFC Bantamweight match. Smotherman enters with a record of 12-4, while Sidey has a record of 11-2. This fight features contrasting styles, with Smotherman focusing on significant strikes and Sidey having a notable submission threat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Smotherman has a higher strike volume, averaging 6.25 significant strikes per minute, compared to Sidey's 4.87. However, Sidey excels in submission attempts, averaging 1.4 every 15 minutes.
  • This is their first match-up.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight's location at Wells Fargo Arena may have minimal impact as both fighters are accustomed to various environments.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, given the stakes in the UFC Bantamweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cameron Smotherman: +114, Serhiy Sidey: -135 Serhiy Sidey ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Cameron Smotherman: +3.5 -175, Serhiy Sidey: -3.5 125 Serhiy Sidey ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -188, Under: 2.5 145 Under ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Serhiy Sidey -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Serhiy Sidey is likely to win due to his strong submission game and slight edge in UFC performance so far.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for Serhiy Sidey


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Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Banc of California Stadium

Game Overview

Los Angeles FC is set to host Houston Dynamo in an MLS match. Given Los Angeles FC's strong home record and Houston Dynamo's struggles away from home, LAFC is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Los Angeles FC has been performing well overall, while Houston Dynamo has mixed results, with a notable lack of success away from home.
  • Los Angeles FC has won 6 out of their 17 matches against Houston Dynamo, who won 5, with 6 draws. The average goals scored in their matches is 3.18.
  • Information on current injuries for both teams is not available.
  • No external factors seem to be impacting the match currently.
  • Los Angeles FC might be more motivated, given their strong home support and need to stay competitive in the league.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -165 for Los Angeles FC, 440 for Houston Dynamo, 320 for Draw Los Angeles FC ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread -1 for Los Angeles FC at 102, 1 for Houston Dynamo at -122 Los Angeles FC to cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under 2.5 at -122 for over and 102 for under Over 2.5 ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles FC -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles FC to win.

Predicted Score: 2-1 for Los Angeles FC


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San Jose Earthquakes vs. Portland Timbers Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: San Jose Earthquakes vs Portland Timbers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-03
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: PayPal Park, San Jose, CA

Game Overview

San Jose Earthquakes are hosting Portland Timbers in an MLS match. The Earthquakes have struggled with consistency, currently holding a 3-1-6 record, while Portland is 5-3-2. The match promises to be competitive given the close standings and recent performances of both teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • San Jose Earthquakes have shown vulnerability in defense, allowing 1.90 goals per 90 minutes. In contrast, Portland Timbers have been more resilient. However, San Jose leads in expected goals and has a strong attacking presence.
  • Historical data between the two teams is not detailed here, but generally, both have had even match-ups in the past.
  • No specific injury reports are available, but it could impact team dynamics if any key players are missing.
  • Weather and home advantage might play roles, but specific conditions are not detailed.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure vital points for their standings in the MLS.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Jose: -210 (not up-to-date), Portland: +172 (not up-to-date), Draw: 235 is more recent San Jose Earthquakes ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Portland Timbers: 25 105, San Jose Earthquakes: -0.25 -125 San Jose Earthquakes ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 3.25 -110, Under: 3.25 -110 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Jose Earthquakes 13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: San Jose Earthquakes at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on recent form and odds, San Jose Earthquakes might have a slight edge due to home advantage and strong attacking statistics.

Predicted Score: San Jose Earthquakes 2-1 Portland Timbers


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Seattle Sounders FC vs. St. Louis City SC Prediction MLS in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Seattle Sounders FC vs St. Louis City SC – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 2:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Lumen Field, Seattle, USA

Game Overview

Seattle Sounders (9th) host St. Louis City SC (12th) in a mid-table MLS clash. St. Louis recently defeated Seattle 1-0 (March 2025) for their fourth consecutive shutout, while Seattle seeks redemption at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • St. Louis demonstrated exceptional defensive organization in their March victory, while Seattle's 9th-place position suggests consistency but potential offensive struggles.
  • St. Louis won their only 2025 meeting 1-0. Historical H2H data is limited given St. Louis' recent MLS entry.
  • No specific injury data available in provided sources. Monitor pre-match updates for late changes.
  • Home advantage for Seattle at Lumen Field with likely favorable crowd support. Weather conditions unknown based on current data.
  • Seattle seeks home redemption after recent loss, while St. Louis aims to prove their March win wasn't a fluke.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Seattle -180 / St. Louis +500 / Draw +320 Seattle Moneyline ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Seattle -1 (-108) / St. Louis +1 (-112) Seattle -1 (Cover) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5 (-118) / Under 2.5 (-102) Under 2.5 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Seattle Sounders FC 260%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Seattle Sounders FC at 260% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Seattle to win narrowly (1-0/2-1) with moderate confidence due to home advantage and talent differential.

Predicted Score: 2-1 Seattle


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Jeremy Stephens vs. Mason Jones Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Jeremy Stephens vs Mason Jones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 3, 2025
  • Time: 2:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Wells Fargo Arena, Des Moines, Iowa

Game Overview

Jeremy Stephens returns to the UFC to face Mason Jones in a lightweight bout at UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs Figueiredo. Stephens has a competitive track record in MMA and additional experience in boxing and bare-knuckle fighting, while Jones is favored due to his recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Jeremy Stephens has had varied success across MMA, boxing, and bare-knuckle fighting. Mason Jones is entering with strong momentum.
  • This is the first meeting between the two fighters.
  • No specific injury reports for either fighter are mentioned.
  • The event takes place in Des Moines, which might favor Stephens due to potential crowd support.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Stephens seeking a strong comeback in the UFC and Jones looking to maintain his winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Stephens: +425, Jones: -575 Mason Jones ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Stephens: 3.5 +180, Jones: -3.5 -250 Mason Jones to win by decision or finish ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 2.5: +105, Under 2.5: -135 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mason Jones -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Jones is predicted to win due to his strong current form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: Mason Jones by TKO/KO in the second round


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