Match Analysis: FC St. Pauli vs VfB Stuttgart – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 3 May 2025
- Time: 1:30 PM UTC
- Location: Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg – St. Pauli, Germany
Game Overview
Mid-table clash between 14th-placed FC St. Pauli and 11th-placed VfB Stuttgart. Limited head-to-head data available for the 2024/2025 season, with only one prior meeting mentioned in search results (specific outcome unreported). Both teams demonstrated attacking intent in previous fixtures, with Stuttgart showing offensive flair via players like Führich and Stiller.
Key Factors to Consider
- Stuttgart displays better recent form based on implied match commentary (creating chances, aggressive attacks), while St. Pauli relies on Guilavogui's return to boost their attack[1][4].
- Insufficient head-to-head data for the current season. Historical Bundesliga encounters are not detailed in available sources[1][3][5].
- No specific injury reports available in provided data.
- Home advantage for St. Pauli at the Millerntor-Stadion, known for its passionate crowd[2][5].
- Both teams likely pushing for mid-table security, with potential for high-intensity play given close league positions[1][2].
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | FC St. Pauli: +170 | Draw: +255 | VfB Stuttgart: +150 | VfB Stuttgart (moneyline) | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | FC St. Pauli: 0 (+100) | VfB Stuttgart: 0 (-120) | VfB Stuttgart (spread) | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over 2.75 (+102) | Under 2.75 (-122) | Under 2.75 goals | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | VfB Stuttgart 0% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.75 6% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
VfB Stuttgart to edge a close match given marginally better squad depth and recent attacking form, but St. Pauli's home advantage introduces volatility.
Predicted Score: 1-2