The Parramatta Eels face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 12 of the 2025 NRL season. This clash features two intense rivals with Manly favored by bookmakers but Parramatta presenting some slight value in odds. The match occurs during State of Origin period, causing key player absences that impact team dynamics and depth.
Key Factors to Consider
Manly Sea Eagles hold a strong form leading into this match, reflected in the moneyline odds and their current season performance. Parramatta Eels have been competitive but impacted by Origin commitments which has forced changes in their lineup, such as Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax missing. Parramatta also has Kelma Tuilagi returning from suspension, which may bolster their forward pack.
Historically, matches between these clubs are closely contested with neither side dominating significantly. Earlier season encounter data shows balanced contests, and current betting markets suggest a competitive game with a slight edge to Manly.
Parramatta Eels have Mitch Moses and Zac Lomax unavailable due to Origin duty. Dean Hawkins steps in at halfback. Kelma Tuilagi returns from suspension. No critical injuries reported that significantly weaken either team's core strength at this time.
State of Origin period affects player availability, impacting squad depth and experience. Venue is home for Parramatta at CommBank Stadium, which offers some home-ground advantage. Weather or other environmental factors were not specified but could influence play style and scoring.
Parramatta is motivated to capitalize on home advantage and prove their resilience despite player absences. Manly aims to maintain their favored status and extend their winning momentum, also motivated by the rivalry and season standings.
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 45.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The prediction leans towards a Manly Sea Eagles win given their current form and betting market odds. However, Parramatta Eels present good value and have a meaningful chance to upset, especially due to home advantage and the return of key players like Kelma Tuilagi.
The NCAA baseball matchup between Cal Poly Mustangs and CSU Fullerton Titans features two competitive teams with closely matched recent performances. Cal Poly holds a slight edge as the home team and has demonstrated resilience with notable wins, while CSU Fullerton has struggled slightly but maintains an experienced roster. This late May game is pivotal for conference standings, fueling high motivation on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
Cal Poly Mustangs have a mixed record with recent wins against quality opponents such as Seton Hall and a victory over Fullerton in an earlier encounter. CSU Fullerton Titans have faced more losses recently, including a series of tight games and high-scoring losses, but their offense remains potent.
In their last meeting on March 7, 2025, Cal Poly edged CSU Fullerton 10-9 in an 11-inning thriller, indicating a highly competitive dynamic between these teams. Both teams are familiar with each other's strategies, suggesting another close contest.
No significant injury reports or player absences have been disclosed for either team ahead of this matchup, implying both squads are likely fielding near full strength.
The game is played at Cal Poly's Baggett Stadium, providing a home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be favorable with no known disruptions. The timing of the game early in the postseason adds pressure and urgency for both teams.
Cal Poly Mustangs are motivated to leverage home advantage to improve their standing, while CSU Fullerton Titans seek redemption after their narrow loss earlier in the season. The match's impact on postseason positioning adds strong motivation for both sides.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cal Poly Mustangs: -180, CSU Fullerton Titans: 140
Cal Poly Mustangs
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Cal Poly Mustangs -1.5: -115, CSU Fullerton Titans +1.5: -115
Cal Poly Mustangs -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 13.5: -115, Under 13.5: -115
Over 13.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Cal Poly Mustangs 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 13.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 13.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cal Poly Mustangs are favored to win a close and high-scoring game based on recent form, home advantage, and prior head-to-head results. The prediction leans toward Cal Poly covering a -1.5 run spread and the total runs scored likely exceeding 13.5.
Location: Mesa, AZ (neutral site; Mountain West Championship)
Game Overview
Fresno St Bulldogs and San José St Spartans meet in a competitive Mountain West Championship matchup. Fresno St has proven stronger both overall and in conference play, while San José St trails slightly in recent form and season performance. The neutral site adds unpredictability.
Key Factors to Consider
Fresno St Bulldogs: 28-27 (.509), 18-12 in conference (.600). San José St Spartans: 24-26 (.480), 11-15 in conference (.423). Fresno St has a better record, stronger conference play, and more momentum coming in[1][2][4].
In recent head-to-head meetings, Fresno St dominated San José St in an 13-3 win earlier in the season[3]. Their previous matchup does not reveal parity between the teams.
No major injury updates available for either team in latest official reports[1][2][3].
Game played at a neutral site (Mesa, AZ) for the Mountain West Championship, which could level the playing field but likely favors the hotter team. No notable weather concerns reported.
Both teams are motivated for the Mountain West Championship, but Fresno St enters with better recent results and a stronger conference record[1][2].
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Fresno St Bulldogs: -298, San José St Spartans: 220
Fresno St Bulldogs
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Fresno St Bulldogs: -2.5 (-130), San José St Spartans: +2.5 (100)
Fresno St Bulldogs -2.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 11.5 (-115), Under: 11.5 (-115)
Under 11.5
★★★☆☆ 54%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Fresno St Bulldogs -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 11.5 1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 11.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fresno St Bulldogs are the clear statistical favorites and are expected to win. However, San José St Spartans have shown resilience and could keep the game close early. Expect Fresno St to pull away if they start strong, but upsets are always possible in championship baseball.
Predicted Score: Fresno St Bulldogs 7, San José St Spartans 4
Location: Patterson Baseball Complex and Washington Trust Field
Game Overview
This match between Gonzaga Bulldogs and Saint Mary's Gaels is a crucial West Coast Conference contest. Both teams have been performing well in their respective series, with Gonzaga recently facing San Francisco and Saint Mary's having a strong schedule as well.
Key Factors to Consider
Gonzaga has shown strong performance in their recent games, while Saint Mary's has been consistent in their league play.
Historically, this series often sees competitive matches with both teams having their share of wins.
No significant injury reports are available for either team.
Weather conditions and home-field advantage could play a role, but specifics are not available.
Both teams are motivated to win, as they seek to position themselves for the postseason.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Gonzaga Bulldogs: 105, Saint Mary's Gaels: -135
Saint Mary's Gaels
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Gonzaga Bulldogs -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
🔥 Best Value Pick: Gonzaga Bulldogs at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the current odds and recent performances, Saint Mary's Gaels are slightly favored to win.
Predicted Score: Saint Mary's Gaels 5, Gonzaga Bulldogs 4