Match Analysis: Arkansas St Red Wolves vs Georgia Southern Eagles – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-20
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Tomlinson Stadium-Slayton Family Field, Jonesboro, Arkansas
Game Overview
The NCAA regular season baseball matchup between the Arkansas State Red Wolves and the Georgia Southern Eagles features two teams with mixed recent performances. Arkansas State has struggled early in the season with more losses than wins, including multiple narrow defeats and a few decisive losses. Georgia Southern has also had a moderate season but demonstrated some resilience and more consistent play in recent games, including previous encounters with Arkansas State this season.
Key Factors to Consider
- Arkansas State has posted several close losses and a few solid wins but generally shows inconsistency, particularly struggling against stronger opponents. Georgia Southern has demonstrated a slightly better overall record and better recent form, with more competitive outings and the advantage of momentum from previous matchups.
- Arkansas State and Georgia Southern have met multiple times this season, with recent games held in both home and away settings. The teams appear well matched, but Georgia Southern holds a slight edge in recent head-to-head results, having secured wins on Arkansas State's home field earlier in the season.
- No specific injury reports are available for either team ahead of this match, suggesting both squads are likely at or near full strength for this game.
- The game will take place at Arkansas State's home venue, potentially providing a home-field advantage. Weather or other environmental factors are not reported as significantly impacting the game.
- Both teams are motivated to improve their standing late in the season, with Arkansas State aiming to leverage home advantage while Georgia Southern looks to continue their recent successes against the Red Wolves.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Arkansas St Red Wolves: -110, Georgia Southern Eagles: -120 | Georgia Southern Eagles | β β β ββ 58% |
| Spread | Arkansas St Red Wolves: +1.5 at -110, Georgia Southern Eagles: -1.5 at -110 | Georgia Southern Eagles -1.5 | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 7.5: -110, Under 7.5: -110 | Under 7.5 runs | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Georgia Southern Eagles -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Georgia Southern Eagles at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Georgia Southern Eagles are predicted to win a close contest due to their slightly better recent form and head-to-head advantages, though the match could be tightly contested given Arkansas State's home advantage.
Predicted Score: Georgia Southern Eagles 5 – 3 Arkansas State Red Wolves