Match Analysis: Torino vs Venezia – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-02
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Allianz Stadium
Game Overview
Torino hosts Venezia in a Serie A clash where Torino holds a home advantage but struggles with inconsistency. Venezia remains winless away this season, diminishing their threat on the road.
Key Factors to Consider
- Torino has won 6 home games (6-6-4 record) compared to Venezia's 0 away wins (0-8-9). Torino's mixed Serie A form (10-13-10) slightly edges Venezia's weaker campaign (4-13-16)
- Historical parity: 3 games show 1 win each and 1 draw[1]. Conflicting reports: Torino claims 2-1-2 in recent H2H (since 2004)[5], while another source shows 3-5-5 in 13 meetings[4]
- No injury data available in provided sources
- No weather/stadium anomalies reported
- Mid-table Torino aims to solidify position; Venezia fights relegation, though their away form suggests limited threat
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Torino 120 | Venezia 265 | Draw 210 | Torino Win | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Spread | Torino -0.25 (-115) | Venezia +25 (-105) | Torino -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2 (-128) | Under 2 (+108) | Under 2 Goals | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Torino 6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Torino 1-0 victory via home advantage and defensive stability against Venezia's league-worst away attack
Predicted Score: 1-0 Torino