Match Analysis: Nantes vs Montpellier – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 17, 2025
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes, France
Game Overview
Nantes hosts Montpellier in a key Ligue 1 match, with Nantes seeking to avoid relegation and Montpellier aiming to prevent a series sweep. Nantes is currently 15th in the league, while Montpellier is 18th. The match is crucial for both teams to secure better positions in the standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nantes is on a five-game winless streak, while Montpellier is looking to avoid a series sweep. Nantes has struggled with consistency, managing only a few clean sheets throughout the season.
- Nantes has faced Montpellier once this season, but specific head-to-head statistics are not detailed in available data.
- No specific injury reports are mentioned for this match.
- The match's outcome could be influenced by the teams' motivation to avoid relegation and improve their positions in the league.
- Both teams are motivated to win for different reasonsβNantes to solidify its position above the relegation zone and Montpellier to avoid a series sweep and improve its standing.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nantes: -190, Montpellier: 475, Draw: 350 | Nantes to win | β β β ββ 60% |
| Spread | Nantes: -1 -115, Montpellier: 1 -105 | Nantes to cover the spread | β β β ββ 55% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75 -108, Under: 2.75 -112 | Under 2.75 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nantes -16% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Nantes' home advantage and Montpellier's need to avoid a series sweep, the match is likely to be competitive. However, Nantes' recent form suggests a draw is possible, but Nantes might have a slight edge due to home field advantage.
Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Nantes