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Newcastle United vs. Chelsea Prediction EPL in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Chelsea – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, ENG

Game Overview

Newcastle United will host Chelsea at St James' Park in a crucial English Premier League fixture. Newcastle currently holds 4th place in the EPL with a strong offensive record, scoring 66 goals and conceding 43, while Chelsea sits 5th with a slightly lower goal tally and defensive record. Newcastle aims to avoid a season series sweep by Chelsea, making this a highly competitive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has been solid at home with 12 clean sheets this season and a strong goal-scoring form led by forward Alexander Isak with 23 goals and 6 assists. Chelsea, although strong, has struggled away from home with fewer clean sheets and has not dominated Newcastle in recent encounters.
  • Chelsea and Newcastle have a balanced rivalry this season, with Chelsea having an edge in away matches but Newcastle showing resilience at home. The season series so far indicates Chelsea winning earlier, so Newcastle is motivated to respond.
  • No major injuries reported for either team ahead of this match, allowing both sides to field close to their strongest lineups.
  • Weather and pitch conditions at St James' Park are expected to be typical for May in England, favoring the home side accustomed to the venue. The match will be televised live which adds pressure but also motivation to both teams.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their top-four position and avoid being swept by Chelsea in the season series. Chelsea aims to consolidate their position in the league and gain points on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea: 210, Newcastle United: 110, Draw: 270 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chelsea: -0.5 at -142, Newcastle United: +50 at 107 Newcastle United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 133, Under 3.5: -178 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is favored to win this match narrowly due to home advantage, superior recent form, and motivation levels. A closely contested game with moderate scoring is expected.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Udinese vs. Monza Prediction Serie A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Udinese vs Monza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 10:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Bluenergy Stadium, Udine, Italy

Game Overview

This Serie A fixture features Udinese hosting Monza. Udinese is positioned 12th in the league with 40 points, showing a mid-table stability, while Monza is struggling at the bottom of the table in 20th place with only 15 points. Udinese has demonstrated a relatively solid performance this season, whereas Monza has faced challenges throughout, including a series of losses and low scoring output. The match holds importance for Udinese to consolidate their mid-table safety and for Monza to fight against relegation.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Udinese holds a better league position (12th, 40 points) compared to Monza (20th, 15 points). Udinese's recent form and home advantage offer them an edge. Monza has struggled significantly, with a poor away record and a negative goal difference indicating defensive vulnerabilities and scoring difficulties. Key players for Udinese include forwards like Lucca (10 goals), and midfielders/defenders contributing assists. Monza's top scorers like Thauvin and Mota have not been able to consistently produce results in recent matches.
  • The two teams have met once this season, with Udinese securing better overall form. Historical head-to-head statistics favor Udinese given their higher league standing and more balanced seasonal performance.
  • No detailed injury reports are currently available from the provided data, but monitoring Udinese and Monza lineups shortly before kickoff is advisable for any last-minute changes.
  • The match is played at Udinese’s Bluenergy Stadium, offering them home support. Weather or pitch conditions are not stated but could influence play. Motivation is also a factor with Udinese seeking safety and Monza battling relegation.
  • Udinese aims to secure mid-table safety and possibly improve their standing, while Monza is highly motivated to gain crucial points to avoid relegation, adding intensity to their pursuit despite recent poor form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Udinese: -200, Monza: 525, Draw: 340 Udinese win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Udinese: -122, Monza: 102 Udinese -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -118, Under 2.5: -102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Udinese -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Udinese is the favored team to win this match, leveraging home advantage, better form, and stronger squad depth. Monza’s struggles and poor away results make an upset less likely, but their motivation to fight for survival could lead to a closely contested game with limited scoring.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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FC Zwolle vs. Go Ahead Eagles Prediction Dutch Eredivisie in Soccer

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Match Analysis: FC Zwolle vs Go Ahead Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 10:15 AM UTC
  • Location: Mac3Park Stadion, Zwolle, Netherlands

Game Overview

The Eredivisie clash between FC Zwolle and Go Ahead Eagles is set to be a tightly contested IJsselderby at Mac3Park Stadion. FC Zwolle currently hold 14th place in the league, while Go Ahead Eagles sit comfortably in 7th. Both teams have shown competitive recent form, with PEC Zwolle unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches and Go Ahead Eagles frequently drawing their recent games. Historical encounters underline a close matchup with a predominance of draws in recent head-to-head meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PEC Zwolle have won only 2 of their last 11 Eredivisie matches but have avoided defeat in 5 of their last 6, indicating resilience despite a lower league position. Go Ahead Eagles have drawn 67% of their last 6 games, reflecting a cautious but consistent approach. Zwolle have 34 points compared to Go Ahead Eagles’ 47, showcasing a gap but also that Zwolle can hold ground.
  • In the last 6 matches between these teams, PEC Zwolle have 0 wins, Go Ahead Eagles have 2, and 3 ended in draws. Recent history points to a closely fought rivalry with a tendency toward stalemates.
  • No specific injury information is available from the current data, suggesting squads are likely close to full strength for both sides.
  • Playing at home in Zwolle provides FC Zwolle some advantage, but the motivation levels and form of Go Ahead Eagles could offset this.
  • Both teams have motivation to secure points late in the season—Zwolle to climb away from the relegation zone, and Go Ahead Eagles to push for higher table positioning or European spots.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline FC Zwolle: 1.65, Go Ahead Eagles: 1.4, Draw: 2.65 Draw ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread FC Zwolle: 1.02, Go Ahead Eagles: 1.22 Go Ahead Eagles 0 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3: 1.05, Under 3: 1.15 Under 3 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Go Ahead Eagles 57%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 22%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Go Ahead Eagles at 57% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the strong defensive records, the trend of draws in head-to-heads, and current form, the match is expected to be closely contested with a high probability of a draw or a narrow win for either side. A conservative match with limited goals is likely.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Cronulla Sutherland Sharks Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Cronulla Sutherland Sharks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale / Cammeraygal

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles will host the Cronulla Sutherland Sharks in a crucial NRL Round 10 match at 4 Pines Park in Brookvale. This top 8 contest features two closely matched teams with the Sea Eagles holding a slight edge in recent form and simulations. The Sea Eagles have shown resilience despite recent injuries, particularly integrating their replacement fullback Lehi Hopoate effectively, while the Sharks look to improve execution after some lapses in their spine, led by Nicho Hynes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly has demonstrated a strong edge-running game, with key players like Tolutau Koula and Reuben Garrick making significant metres. Their back rowers maintain high work rates. Despite the loss of fullback Tom Trbojevic to injury, the team’s depth has been showcased by good performances of replacements. The Sharks have notable players like Briton Nikora and Addin Fonua-Blake who bring physicality and experience, yet have struggled with execution in key moments, as noted in recent matches.
  • The last meeting in Round 27 2024 was a convincing 40-20 win for the Sharks. However, simulations for this match give the Sea Eagles a 58% chance to win, indicating a competitive balance and possible home advantage for Manly.
  • Manly is still managing the absence of star fullback Tom Trbojevic, though replacement Lehi Hopoate has performed well. No major injury concerns have been reported for the Sharks’ spine, but their recent performance suggests they are working on improving coordination.
  • The match is part of the Women in League Round, adding emotional significance. The venue, 4 Pines Park in Brookvale, is the Sea Eagles’ home ground, granting them a key home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are not reported to be a concern.
  • Both teams are highly motivated; the Sharks aim to correct recent execution errors and bounce back from a narrow loss, while the Sea Eagles seek to capitalize on home advantage and maintain upper hand in the top 8 race.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -139, Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: 125, Draw: 2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -2.5 (-115), Cronulla Sutherland Sharks: +2.5 (-115) Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -2.5 points ★★★☆☆ 54%
Over/under Over: 48.5 (-115), Under: 48.5 (-115) Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win, leveraging home ground advantage, deeper squad resilience, and more consistent recent form against the Sharks’ execution challenges. The simulation model supports a Sea Eagles victory with moderate confidence.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 26 – 20 Cronulla Sutherland Sharks


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Fernando Daniel Martinez vs. Kazuto Ioka Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Fernando Daniel Martinez vs Kazuto Ioka – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 6:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Ota City General Gymnasium, Tokyo, Japan

Game Overview

The highly anticipated rematch between Fernando Daniel Martinez and Kazuto Ioka for the WBA Super Flyweight title. Martinez is favored as the home fighter, with odds reflecting his dominance in their previous encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Martinez has shown strong form recently, while Ioka seeks redemption after their previous bout.
  • The head-to-head record between them is significant, with Martinez aiming to maintain his winning streak against Ioka.
  • There is no reported injury affecting either fighter's performance.
  • The match is in Tokyo, which could provide a home advantage for Ioka despite Martinez being the favored fighter.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, with Martinez seeking to solidify his title and Ioka looking for a comeback victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -400 (Martinez), 300 (Ioka) Martinez to win ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 10.5: -550, Under 10.5: 375 Over 10.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fernando Daniel Martinez -97%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 10.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Martinez is predicted to win due to his recent performance and past success against Ioka.

Predicted Score: Martinez wins via unanimous decision or late-round KO.


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Belal Muhammad vs. Jack Della Maddalena Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Belal Muhammad vs Jack Della Maddalena – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montréal, Québec, Canada

Game Overview

The UFC 315 main event features welterweight champion Belal Muhammad defending his title against rising contender Jack Della Maddalena. Muhammad is known for his relentless pace, exceptional wrestling, and superior cardio, having remained unbeaten in his last eleven fights and winning the belt with a dominant display over Leon Edwards. Della Maddalena brings a striking-heavy style with accuracy and finishing ability, having won seven straight fights with five finishes, including a notable comeback knockout against Gilbert Burns. This fight pits a pressure wrestler and seasoned five-round fighter against a precise and powerful striker.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Belal Muhammad's recent performances highlight his dominant wrestling and control over opponents coupled with elite cardio that wears down challengers over five rounds. Jack Della Maddalena's streak of finishes showcases his striking accuracy and ability to capitalize on opportunities, though he has less experience in championship-distance bouts.
  • This is the first meeting between Muhammad and Della Maddalena, so there is no direct head-to-head history to analyze.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to UFC 315.
  • The fight takes place in Montréal, which could offer a neutral environment for both fighters, though Muhammad is more accustomed to high-pressure UFC headlining events. Both fighters have had ample time to prepare without noticeable external distractions.
  • Muhammad is motivated to defend his welterweight title and extend his unbeaten run, solidifying his status as champion. Della Maddalena is highly motivated to capture the belt and prove his striking can overcome a dominant wrestler, with the stakes at career-high levels.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Belal Muhammad: -192, Jack Della Maddalena: 160 Belal Muhammad to win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Belal Muhammad -5.5: 120, Jack Della Maddalena +5.5: -165 Belal Muhammad to cover -5.5 points ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 4.5 rounds: -200, Under 4.5 rounds: 154 Under 4.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Belal Muhammad -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 52%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 52% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 34% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Belal Muhammad is predicted to retain his welterweight title via unanimous decision, leveraging his wrestling dominance, durability, and experience in five-round championship fights to neutralize Della Maddalena's striking threats.

Predicted Score: Belal Muhammad wins by unanimous decision after 5 rounds


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Melbourne Storm vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, Melbourne, Australia

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm are set to host the Wests Tigers in Round 10 of the 2025 NRL season. The Storm enter as heavy favorites, both according to recent form and predictive models, which give them an 83% chance of winning. The Tigers, while capable of upsets, have struggled against Melbourne historically and in recent fixtures.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm have been dominant in recent seasons and are currently performing well above league average, particularly at home. The Wests Tigers have been inconsistent, with notable roster and performance issues.
  • Melbourne Storm have a strong recent head-to-head record against the Wests Tigers, winning most of their recent encounters. Last five meetings show Storm favored in both home and away fixtures.
  • No major injuries reported for either side as of now, but always check team lineups on game day for last-minute changes.
  • The match is played at Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, where the Storm have a formidable home record. Weather is not expected to be a factor.
  • Melbourne are motivated to maintain their top-four push, while the Tigers are seeking to upset the odds and gain some momentum in their campaign.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline {Melbourne Storm: -575, Wests Tigers: 395, Draw: 2800} Melbourne Storm High (83%)
Spread {Melbourne Storm: -14.5 -115, Wests Tigers: +14.5 -115} Melbourne Storm covers -14.5 Moderate-High (70%)
Over/under {Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -115} Under 50.5 Moderate (55%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm are predicted to win by a comfortable margin, likely covering the -14.5 spread. The total is expected to be close to the set line, with a slight lean towards the under due to Melbourne’s strong defense.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 26 – Wests Tigers 10


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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Valentina Shevchenko defends her UFC Women's Flyweight title against undefeated challenger Manon Fiorot in the co-main event of UFC 315. Shevchenko, a seasoned champion, returns after avenging her loss to Alexa Grasso, while Fiorot comes off a dominant win over Erin Blanchfield. The fight is highly anticipated, with both fighters bringing contrasting styles and strong resumes into the octagon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shevchenko: 13-3-1 in UFC, recent avenging win over Grasso; Fiorot: 7-0 in UFC, dominant recent form.
  • First meeting between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fiorot returns from a year-long hiatus; Shevchenko slightly older, more experienced; fight held in Montreal, potentially neutral crowd.
  • Shevchenko feels disrespected and is fighting as the betting underdog. Fiorot is highly motivated to remain undefeated and claim the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manon Fiorot: -135, Valentina Shevchenko: 114 Manon Fiorot (slight favorite) ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manon Fiorot: -5.5 (165), Valentina Shevchenko: 5.5 (-225) Valentina Shevchenko covers (due to close nature of fight and spread value) ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 4.5 (-315), Under: 4.5 (230) Under 4.5 (value play, but fight could go the distance) ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manon Fiorot 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 72%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shevchenko's experience and championship pedigree give her a slight edge in a five-round war, but Fiorot’s youth, size, and undefeated run make her a formidable opponent. AI models and expert analysis suggest Shevchenko could win via KO/TKO, while Fiorot may have a path to victory by decision if she controls the pace. Given the odds and both fighters' recent form, this is a closely contested, high-level championship bout.

Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Split Decision (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)


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José Aldo vs. Aiemann Zahabi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: José Aldo vs Aiemann Zahabi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 3:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC 315, Venue TBD

Game Overview

The upcoming bantamweight MMA bout features veteran José Aldo with a record of 32-9 facing the younger contender Aiemann Zahabi who holds a record of 12-2. The fight is scheduled for UFC 315 on May 11, 2025. Aldo, with extensive experience and a notable knockout power, seeks to reclaim momentum after recent mixed results, whereas Zahabi arrives with a strong winning streak and high confidence from recent victories.

Key Factors to Consider

  • José Aldo has displayed resilience with 3 wins in his last 5 fights, but recent performances show some decline including a split decision loss at UFC 307. Aldo’s fights tend to last over 3 rounds on average, indicating endurance but possibly less finishing power recently. Zahabi has been more consistent lately with only 2 losses overall, and his fights generally end quicker, averaging 2.5 rounds, highlighting his aggressiveness and finishing ability.
  • This will be their first professional meeting, so direct head-to-head data is unavailable. Aldo’s extensive experience (41 matches) versus Zahabi’s fewer but highly successful bouts (14 matches) will be a crucial storyline.
  • No explicit injuries reported for either fighter close to the fight date, suggesting both are near full fitness.
  • The bout’s setting at UFC 315 provides a high-profile platform. Aldo’s veteran status and fan following could provide motivational advantage, while Zahabi’s rising profile and youth may add pressure to prove himself at this level.
  • Aldo, at 38 years old, is motivated to demonstrate he remains relevant in the bantamweight division. Zahabi, at 37, though close in age, is newer and likely highly motivated to solidify his standing in the UFC ranks by defeating a former champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline José Aldo: -192, Aiemann Zahabi: 160 José Aldo win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread José Aldo -3.5: 125, Aiemann Zahabi +3.5: -175 José Aldo covers -3.5 rounds spread ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds: -410, Under 2.5 rounds: 290 Over 2.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline José Aldo -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: José Aldo at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

José Aldo is favored due to his extensive experience, slightly better recent performance metrics, and odds reflecting him as the favorite. However, Zahabi’s youth, finishing potential, and momentum represent a credible threat. Expect a competitive bout with a probable decision or late-round finish favoring Aldo.

Predicted Score: José Aldo wins by unanimous decision or late-round TKO around 3 to 4 rounds


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Emanuel Navarrete vs. Charley Suarez Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Emanuel Navarrete vs Charley Suarez – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Pechanga Arena, San Diego, California

Game Overview

Emanuel Navarrete, the Mexican three-division world champion and reigning WBO junior lightweight world champion, defends his title against the undefeated Filipino challenger Charley Suarez. Navarrete seeks to continue his winning momentum after a victory over Óscar Valdez, while Suarez aims to disrupt Navarrete's reign and establish himself among boxing elites. The bout is highlighted as the main event on a Top Rank Boxing card broadcast live on ESPN and ESPN+ on May 10.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Navarrete has a decorated career with multiple world championships across three divisions and is coming off a significant win against Valdez. Suarez remains unbeaten and has demonstrated skill and resilience, as seen in his unanimous decision victory over Luis Coria, positioning him as a formidable opponent.
  • This is the first meeting between Emanuel Navarrete and Charley Suarez, so there is no direct head-to-head history. Both fighters bring contrasting styles and unbeaten streaks into this bout.
  • No reported injuries have been noted for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are in optimal condition to compete.
  • The fight takes place in Navarrete's favored North American environment at Pechanga Arena, which may provide him with crowd support. The fight being on ESPN and ESPN+ ensures optimal global viewership, adding pressure and motivation for both.
  • Navarrete is motivated to solidify his legacy and defend his WBO title successfully, especially after returning to winning form. Suarez is driven to claim his first major world title and make his mark by defeating an established champion.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Emanuel Navarrete: -500, Charley Suarez: 360 Emanuel Navarrete wins ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Navarrete -1.5: -120, Suarez +1.5: +100 Navarrete by more than 1.5 rounds ★★★★☆ 78%
Over/under Over 8.5 rounds: -110, Under 8.5 rounds: -110 Over 8.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Emanuel Navarrete -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Emanuel Navarrete at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Emanuel Navarrete is favored to win due to his championship experience, recent form, and home-continent advantage. While Suarez's undefeated record and recent performances suggest he can challenge strongly, Navarrete's pressure fighting style and power edge are likely to secure him the victory either by decision or late stoppage.

Predicted Score: Navarrete wins by unanimous decision or late-round TKO, with the fight lasting approximately 9 to 11 rounds.


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