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Claudio Pacella vs. Gavin Hughes Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Claudio Pacella vs Gavin Hughes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Claudio Pacella is set to face Gavin Hughes in a lightweight matchup at PFL Europe. Pacella, with a record of 5-2, is favored over Hughes, who boasts an 11-4 record. The fight is part of the PFL Europe Lightweight Tournament.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Claudio Pacella has a good balance in his skills, but his record is significantly shorter than Gavin Hughes'. Hughes' experience could be crucial in the fight.
  • There is no known head-to-head data between these fighters.
  • No recent injuries reported for either fighter.
  • The fight at the SSE Arena in Belfast could favor a more aggressive, crowd-pleasing style.
  • Both fighters are motivated by advancing in the PFL Europe tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Claudio Pacella: -350, Gavin Hughes: 225 Claudio Pacella Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Claudio Pacella 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Claudio Pacella at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Claudio Pacella is favored due to his listed odds, but Gavin Hughes' experience could lead to a competitive bout.

Predicted Score: Claudio Pacella win via decision


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Troy Jones vs. Ezra Taylor Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Troy Jones vs Ezra Taylor – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Motorpoint Arena, Nottingham

Game Overview

The upcoming boxing match between Troy Jones and Ezra Taylor is scheduled for May 10, 2025, at the Motorpoint Arena in Nottingham. The fight is for the WBA Continental Gold Light Heavyweight Championship. Ezra Taylor is the strong favorite, with odds indicating a significant advantage over Troy Jones.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ezra Taylor has been performing well, leading to a strong favorite status. Troy Jones, while less favored, still poses a challenge.
  • Limited historical data available for head-to-head matchups between the two fighters.
  • No reported injuries affecting either fighter's performance.
  • The fight's location and crowd could influence the fighters, but no specific external factors are noted.
  • Both fighters are motivated, with Ezra Taylor seeking to maintain his strong form and Troy Jones looking for an upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -370 for Ezra Taylor, 270 for Troy Jones Ezra Taylor High
Over/under Over 7.5: -139, Under 7.5: 109 Over 7.5 Moderate

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ezra Taylor -99%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 7.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Ezra Taylor is likely to win, given his current form and favorable odds.

Predicted Score: N/A


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Lewis McGrillen vs. Alan Philpott Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Lewis McGrillen vs Alan Philpott – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Lewis McGrillen, the reigning PFL Europe bantamweight champion, faces veteran Alan Philpott in the PFL Europe 1 co-main event. McGrillen comes in riding a wave of momentum after capturing the title, while Philpott brings a wealth of experience but has struggled with consistency in recent years. This bout represents McGrillen’s return to PFL Europe after forgoing a move to the global roster to continue his ascent in Europe.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McGrillen: 11-1-0 pro record, #119 bantamweight, 8-1-0 in last 3 years. Recently stopped two opponents in the PFL Europe tournament, demonstrating KO power and championship mentality. Philpott: 21-16-0 pro record, experienced but with a lower win percentage and inconsistent results in bigger fights.
  • No previous head-to-head history between these fighters.
  • No major injuries publicly reported for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • Event takes place in Belfast, offering a regional advantage to Philpott, who has fought extensively in the UK/Ireland, but McGrillen shows strong composure in hostile environments.
  • McGrillen is motivated to solidify his PFL Europe legacy before moving to the global stage. Philpott is looking to upset the champion and reassert himself as a contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline McGrillen -1000, Philpott 550 Lewis McGrillen High (90%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lewis McGrillen -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lewis McGrillen at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lewis McGrillen will impose his athleticism, power, and momentum to dictate the fight, likely stopping Philpott in the later rounds or taking a decisive decision. The betting odds and recent form strongly favor McGrillen.

Predicted Score: McGrillen by late TKO (Round 3 or 4)


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Souheil Kaouchen vs. Oskar Stachura Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Souheil Kaouchen vs Oskar Stachura – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: LDLC Arena, Lyon, France

Game Overview

Souheil Kaouchen vs Oskar Stachura is a featherweight bout on the KSW 106 card. Both fighters are climbing the ranks, with Kaouchen on a winning streak in French regional promotions and Stachura favored by oddsmakers. The matchup is significant for regional and European featherweight standings, with both athletes seeking momentum and recognition in the KSW organization.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Souheil Kaouchen is on a six-fight winning streak, with recent victories by TKO and decision in regional French promotions. Stachura, while less publicized in recent local results, is favored in the odds, suggesting market recognition of his skills, possibly based on his broader European experience or fight style.
  • No previous head-to-head encounters between Kaouchen and Stachura in professional MMA.
  • No official reports of significant injuries for either fighter leading up to this match.
  • The fight takes place in Lyon, France, likely favoring Kaouchen with home support. The event is high-profile for KSW, which could add pressure but also motivation for both athletes.
  • Kaouchen is riding a hot streak and is likely highly motivated to prove himself against a favored opponent. Stachura has the bookmakers' confidence and is likely motivated to validate that status in the KSW featherweight division.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Oskar Stachura: -150, Souheil Kaouchen: 110 Oskar Stachura ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oskar Stachura -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Oskar Stachura at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oskar Stachura is favored by oddsmakers, but Souheil Kaouchen's regional momentum and home advantage could make this a competitive bout. Expect a close fight, possibly decided by Stachura's experience and ability to control pace, but do not discount Kaouchen's finishing skills and recent form.

Predicted Score: Oskar Stachura by Decision


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Decky McAleenan vs. Gino van Steenis Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Decky McAleenan vs Gino van Steenis – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: SSE Arena, Belfast

Game Overview

This match is part of the PFL Europe 2025 Lightweight Tournament, featuring Decky McAleenan (9-5-1) from Ireland versus Gino van Steenis (5-1) from Spain. Both fighters aim to progress in the tournament, with McAleenan seeking his first European belt for Ireland and van Steenis looking to follow in his brother's footsteps.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Decky McAleenan has more professional fights but faces a younger, aggressive opponent in Gino van Steenis, who is driven by his brother’s success.
  • There is no recorded head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
  • No reported injuries at this time.
  • Home advantage could favor McAleenan, but van Steenis's ambition might counterbalance that.
  • Both fighters are highly motivated, but McAleenan’s local support could be an additional motivator.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Decky McAleenan: -125, Gino van Steenis: -115 Decky McAleenan ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Decky McAleenan -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Decky McAleenan at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the experience and home advantage, Decky McAleenan might have a slight edge, but Gino van Steenis’s potential for aggression could make this a closely contested match.

Predicted Score: This is a decision-based sport, so predicting a score isn't applicable. However, a closely contested five-round decision is likely.


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Corey McLaughlin vs. Nahom Wedi Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Corey McLaughlin vs Nahom Wedi – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Corey McLaughlin (0-1-0, Northern Ireland) is set to face Nahom 'Blessed' Wedi (professional debut, Eritrea) in a featherweight bout under the PFL Europe banner. Wedi is a decorated amateur fighter making his pro debut, while McLaughlin seeks his first win after a loss in his pro debut.

Key Factors to Consider

  • McLaughlin: 0-1-0 professional record; Wedi: Pro debut, but highly decorated amateur background.
  • First official professional meeting.
  • No public injury reports for either fighter.
  • Bout is scheduled for Belfast, McLaughlin's home region, which may provide a minor crowd advantage.
  • McLaughlin is motivated to get his first pro win. Wedi is eager to make a strong debut impression.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Corey McLaughlin: +175, Nahom Wedi: -260 Nahom Wedi ★★★★☆ 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Nahom Wedi -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Nahom Wedi at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Nahom Wedi enters with significant amateur success and is expected to control the fight, especially given the betting odds and his opponent's limited pro experience. However, McLaughlin's home advantage and determination could provide a wildcard factor.

Predicted Score: Nahom Wedi by Submission or Decision, round 2 or 3


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Mark Ewen vs. Aleksandr Chizov Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Mark Ewen vs Aleksandr Chizov – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 10, 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The SSE Arena, Belfast, Northern Ireland

Game Overview

Mark Ewen, representing Scotland with a 100% finish rate in his wins, faces Latvia's Aleksandr Chizov in the PFL Europe 1: 2025 Regular Season main card. Ewen debuts in the tournament format, while Chizov brings a 10-3 professional record. The match promises high stakes and aggressive styles.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mark Ewen enters with a 6-0 record and 100% finish rate, indicating a strong, aggressive style. Aleksandr Chizov, with a 10-3 record, brings experience and versatility, having faced a higher level of competition.
  • No prior head-to-head encounters between the fighters have been documented.
  • No injury reports have been found for either fighter ahead of this match.
  • This is Ewen's debut in the PFL tournament format, which could add pressure, while Chizov may use his experience in international competition as an advantage.
  • Ewen is motivated to make an impact in his PFL debut, while Chizov aims to leverage his experience to advance further in the tournament.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mark Ewen (-350), Aleksandr Chizov (+225) Mark Ewen High (75%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mark Ewen -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mark Ewen at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mark Ewen is the favorite according to odds and his undefeated, high-finish record. However, Chizov's experience and well-rounded skills could pose a significant challenge, making this a closer fight than the odds suggest. Ewen is predicted to win by stoppage, but Chizov's resilience may push the fight to later rounds.

Predicted Score: Mark Ewen by TKO/KO in Round 2


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Aymard Guih vs. Mateusz Makarowski Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Aymard Guih vs Mateusz Makarowski – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Lyon, France

Game Overview

Aymard Guih (19-13) faces Mateusz Makarowski (12-7-1) in a lightweight bout at KSW 106. Both fighters are experienced, with Guih holding a slight edge in overall fight volume. The bout is set to take place at 155 lbs.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aymard Guih has faced a higher caliber of opponents and is more active in top European promotions. Mateusz Makarowski has a respectable record but has experienced inconsistency in recent bouts.
  • No prior head-to-head bouts between these fighters have been recorded.
  • No official injury reports found for either fighter as of the fight announcement.
  • Guih will have a home advantage in France, which could influence crowd support and judging.
  • Both fighters are seeking to climb the lightweight ranks in KSW. Guih may be more motivated by the home crowd, while Makarowski will be eager to rebound from previous losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aymard Guih: -300 | Mateusz Makarowski: 200 Aymard Guih High

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aymard Guih -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aymard Guih at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aymard Guih is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his experience, higher activity, and home advantage. Makarowski's best path is an early finish, as he may struggle with Guih's pace in later rounds.

Predicted Score: Aymard Guih by Unanimous Decision or Late TKO


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Owen Cooper vs. Chris Kongo Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Owen Cooper vs Chris Kongo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Motorpoint Arena, Nottingham

Game Overview

Owen Cooper (24, 10-1-0, 4 KOs) and Chris Kongo (17-2-0, 7 KOs) will meet in a 10-round welterweight bout (147 lbs / 66.7 kg) as part of the undercard for Anthony Cacace vs. Leigh Wood. Cooper is the less experienced, younger boxer, with a 40% KO rate. Kongo brings more professional rounds, a higher KO rate (41%), and a significant height advantage (4 inches). There is no prior head-to-head history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Kongo has more experience (19 pro fights vs. 11), higher KO rate (41% vs. 40%), more rounds completed (105 vs. 63), and a height/reach advantage. Cooper is younger and has fought strong competition recently, including a loss to Ekow Essuman.
  • No previous head-to-head matchups between the two.
  • No injury reports available as of the latest pre-fight research.
  • The event is at Motorpoint Arena, Nottingham, part of a major card. Large crowd and high stakes expected. No major weather or venue issues reported.
  • Both fighters are motivated: Cooper looking to bounce back from a recent loss and establish himself as a rising force; Kongo aiming to maintain momentum after a recent win and move closer to world rankings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chris Kongo: -189, Owen Cooper: 159 Chris Kongo outright win High (75%)
Spread Not widely offered for boxing matches, but Kongo is effectively a -2.5 favorite. Kongo by decision (win by 3+ rounds margin) Medium (65%)
Over/under Over 8.5: -330, Under 8.5: 240 Over 8.5 (fight goes at least 9 rounds) Very High (85%)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Chris Kongo -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 8.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Chris Kongo is favored due to his experience, power, and physical advantages. However, Cooper's youth and resilience may push Kongo in the early rounds. The fight is expected to go the distance given the high over/under line (8.5), but Kongo's class and adaptability should edge a close decision.

Predicted Score: Kongo by Decision (UD or SD), after 10 rounds


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Joe Tyers vs. Mario Valenzuela Prediction Boxing

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Match Analysis: Joe Tyers vs Mario Valenzuela – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: The Hideout, Farnworth

Game Overview

Joe Tyers is heavily favored against Mario Valenzuela Portillo. The match will be over four rounds in the lightweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Joe Tyers is likely to perform well due to his strong odds, suggesting superior skill or experience.
  • No available head-to-head statistics, making current odds and recent performance key factors.
  • No reported injuries for either fighter.
  • Venue and crowd impact may be minimal but could lean towards Tyers if it's closer to his home.
  • Both fighters will be highly motivated, but Tyers' stronger odds might indicate higher expectations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Joe Tyers: -2000, Mario Valenzuela: 850 Joe Tyers ★★★★★ 95%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Joe Tyers -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Joe Tyers at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Joe Tyers to win

Predicted Score: N/A for boxing; predicted winner is Joe Tyers.


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