Match Analysis: Josh Hokit vs Max Gimenis – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-08
- Time: 10:25 PM UTC
- Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, NV
Game Overview
Josh Hokit faces Max Gimenis in a heavyweight MMA bout at UFC Vegas 111. Hokit is making his promotional debut with an undefeated 6-0 record, showcasing dominant finishes mostly in the first round, blending strong wrestling and evolving striking. Gimenis comes in as underdog with less momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
- Hokit is undefeated (6-0) with 6 finishes, mostly early stoppages, coming off a TKO win in his last fight. Gimenis has a less impressive recent form and is generally seen as the underdog.
- No recorded head-to-head matchups between Hokit and Gimenis.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout.
- Hokit is debuting in UFC after a strong DWCS performance, carrying high momentum and support. The bout takes place at UFC Apex, a neutral venue with no home advantage.
- Hokit is highly motivated to establish himself with a strong UFC debut. Gimenis is motivated but disadvantaged by market perception and momentum.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | home: -425, away: +330 | Josh Hokit | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | home: -310, away: +215 | Josh Hokit -3.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | over: +120, under: -154 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Josh Hokit -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 32% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 1.5 at 32% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Josh Hokit to win on the moneyline and cover the -3.5 round spread; fight to go over 1.5 rounds.
Predicted Score: Josh Hokit wins via TKO in Round 2