Match Analysis: Matt Adams vs Ben Wunder – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-10
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: LFA 219, Clarksville, Tennessee
Game Overview
The MMA bout between Matt Adams and Ben Wunder is taking place at LFA 219. Matt Adams comes with a current record of 4-1, demonstrating strong striking skills and notable experience in the cage. Ben Wunder, younger in MMA career, holds a perfect professional record of 2-0 and is part of the Bulldog Fight Team. Both fighters appear to be in good form, making for a competitive matchup expected to be close.
Key Factors to Consider
- Matt Adams has a proven track record with consistent performances, showing a solid balance of striking and grappling. Ben Wunder, despite fewer fights, has remained undefeated with solid wins likely emphasizing aggressive tactics and submission skills as indicated by his team pedigree.
- There is no prior head-to-head encounter between Matt Adams and Ben Wunder, making this their first meeting, which adds uncertainty and a vital tactical dimension to the fight's strategy.
- No confirmed recent injuries reported for either fighter leading up to this bout, suggesting both are entering in good physical condition.
- The fight takes place at LFA 219 in Clarksville, Tennessee, with no significant external distractions noted. Both fighters are competing under standard MMA settings and rules, broadcasted on UFC FIGHT PASS.
- Both fighters are motivated to maintain or bolster their records — Adams looking to reinforce his status with a fifth win, Wunder aiming to stay undefeated and build momentum early in his career.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ben Wunder: -135, Matt Adams: -105 | Ben Wunder to win | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Spread | Matt Adams +1.5 rounds / Ben Wunder -1.5 rounds (typical MMA round spread) | Ben Wunder -1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds -110 / Under 2.5 rounds -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Ben Wunder -11% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ben Wunder at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the close moneyline odds and the fighters' profiles, the prediction leans marginally toward Ben Wunder due to his undefeated status and slight odds favoring him, though Matt Adams' experience and skill level make this a tightly contested bout.
Predicted Score: Ben Wunder wins by decision or late stoppage in round 3