Match Analysis: L'udovit Klein vs Mateusz Rebecki – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-25
• Time: 4:55 PM UTC
• Location: Etihad Arena, Abu Dhabi, UAE

Game Overview

Lightweight UFC prelim bout featuring L'udovit Klein and Mateusz Rebecki, both skilled strikers with solid MMA records and recent fights in top promotions.

Key Factors to Consider

• L'udovit Klein holds a 23-5-1 record, showing consistent recent form with a diverse finishing ability, while Mateusz Rebecki at 20-3-0 has strong grappling and durability but lost his last fight via unanimous decision.
• No previous fights between Klein and Rebecki to inform matchup dynamics.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading into the bout, indicating both are at full readiness.
• Fight scheduled on UFC 321 in Abu Dhabi; travel and acclimatization are likely equal for both as experienced competitors.
• Klein appears motivated to rebound after some recent decision losses, aiming to establish dominance, while Rebecki seeks to recover from his last unanimous decision loss to Chris Duncan.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	L'udovit Klein: -130, Mateusz Rebecki: 110	L'udovit Klein	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	L'udovit Klein -3.5: 120, Mateusz Rebecki +3.5: -165	Mateusz Rebecki +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -145, Under 2.5 rounds: 114	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	L'udovit Klein 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

L'udovit Klein to win by decision

Predicted Score: Klein wins via unanimous decision in 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Mateusz Rebecki vs Chris Duncan – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-02
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas

Game Overview

A highly competitive lightweight UFC bout between Mateusz Rebecki (20-2) and Chris Duncan (13-2), both 32 years old with contrasting fighting styles (southpaw vs orthodox) and physical attributes (Rebecki shorter with 66" reach vs Duncan taller with 71" wingspan). Rebecki is the favorite based on deeper significant striking output and accuracy, but Duncan presents a challenge with size and striking defense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Rebecki shows superior striking volume and accuracy (4.7 significant strikes per min at 48% accuracy) compared to Duncan (4.2 strikes per min at 45%). Rebecki absorbs more strikes but also boasts better defense, preventing 54% of opponent strikes versus Duncan's 47%.
• No direct previous matchups recorded between Rebecki and Duncan, making tactical matchups and style analysis crucial.
• No current reported injuries for either fighter, both appear in full health and primed for this contest.
• Fight takes place at UFC Apex with no significant travel or altitude concerns. The 155 lbs weight class is natural for both fighters.
• Both fighters are experienced veterans seeking to improve their UFC standings; Rebecki slightly favored to maintain momentum while Duncan motivated to upset a top contender.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Rebecki -205, Duncan +170	Mateusz Rebecki	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Rebecki -3.5 (-135), Duncan +3.5 (100)	Mateusz Rebecki -3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5 (-175), Under 1.5 (135)	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mateusz Rebecki 1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mateusz Rebecki to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Mateusz Rebecki wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds