Match Analysis: Mason Payne vs Octavian Gratii – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Undisclosed (Junior Middleweights 6 Rounds)

Game Overview

Mason Payne faces Octavian Gratii in a scheduled 6-round junior middleweight bout. Payne enters as a heavy favorite with exceptional odds, reflecting a strong recent performance record and dominance at this level, while Gratii is the underdog with limited high-level exposure.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mason Payne has demonstrated consistent dominance in recent fights, showing superior skill, endurance, and ring IQ. Octavian Gratii has shown potential but lacks the recent results and experience against top competition.
• No recorded head-to-head bouts between Mason Payne and Octavian Gratii, making direct matchup data unavailable.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the bout, suggesting both are at full strength.
• Fight is taking place as scheduled without any external disruptions. No travel or altitude issues noted.
• Mason Payne is highly motivated to maintain his winning streak and establish dominance in the junior middleweight division, while Octavian Gratii looks to prove himself against a top-tier opponent, potentially pushing him to take risks.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Mason Payne: -20000, Octavian Gratii: 2200	Mason Payne	★★★★★ 92%
Spread	Mason Payne -3.5 rounds: -150, Octavian Gratii +3.5 rounds: 130	Mason Payne -3.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 85%
Over/under	Over 4.5 rounds: 110, Under 4.5 rounds: -130	Under 4.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Mason Payne -7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mason Payne at -7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mason Payne to win by dominant decision or stoppage

Predicted Score: Mason Payne wins by TKO in round 4