Match Analysis: Brendan Allen vs Marvin Vettori – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-20
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans

Game Overview

Middleweight clash between Brendan Allen and Marvin Vettori at UFC 318 featuring two top contenders with contrasting fighting styles and recent mixed form.

Key Factors to Consider

• Brendan Allen holds a slightly better recent form at 24-7, with high striking accuracy (53%) and solid defense (45%). Marvin Vettori (19-8-1) exhibits a higher volume in striking (4.54 per minute) but is less efficient both offensively and defensively.
• No direct head-to-head matchup history available, making recent form and stylistic matchup the primary focus.
• No recent injuries reported for either fighter that would impact performance significantly.
• Fight takes place at a neutral venue with no notable external factors affecting either fighter.
• Both fighters motivated to solidify rankings; Vettori looking to prove durability and striking after recent loss, Allen aiming to extend momentum with grappling dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Brendan Allen: -192, Marvin Vettori: 160	Brendan Allen	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Brendan Allen -3.5: 125, Marvin Vettori +3.5: -170	Marvin Vettori +3.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5: -345, Under 2.5: 250	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Brendan Allen -9%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 -14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Brendan Allen at -9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Brendan Allen to win via decision, given grappling control and efficient striking.

Predicted Score: Brendan Allen wins by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Marvin Vettori vs Roman Dolidze – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: March 15, 2025
• Time: 1:00 AM UTC
• Location: UFC APEX, Las Vegas, NV

Game Overview

Marvin Vettori and Roman Dolidze face off in a highly anticipated rematch at UFC Fight Night. Both fighters are looking to assert their dominance in the middleweight division.

Key Factors to Consider

• Marvin Vettori has a strong record with 19 wins, while Roman Dolidze has 14 wins. Vettori's experience and skillset could give him an edge.
• This is a rematch, but there is no prior head-to-head data provided. The outcome will depend on current form and strategy.
• Marvin Vettori has recently returned from an injury, which might affect his performance. Roman Dolidze does not have reported injuries.
• The fight is at the UFC APEX, which could favor Vettori due to his familiarity with the venue. However, Dolidze's orthodox stance might challenge Vettori's southpaw style.
• Both fighters are highly motivated, with Vettori seeking redemption after his injury and Dolidze looking to upset the favorite.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-148 for Marvin Vettori, +124 for Roman Dolidze	Marvin Vettori	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	-5.5 for Marvin Vettori at 165, +5.5 for Roman Dolidze at -225	Roman Dolidze +5.5	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 4.5 at -238, Under 4.5 at 180	Under 4.5	★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Marvin Vettori is likely to win due to his experience and skillset.

Predicted Score: Marvin Vettori wins via decision.