Match Analysis: Marina Monteiro vs Nawira Ferreira – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-07-11
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: LFA 212 Event Venue
Game Overview
This Strawweight 3-round MMA bout features Marina Monteiro vs Nawira Ferreira at LFA 212. Monteiro holds a 4-2 record with balanced finishing ability and recent strong form, while Ferreira is undefeated 4-0, all wins by KO/TKO, indicating strong striking power.
Key Factors to Consider
- Monteiro has a 4-2 record with a mix of KOs, submissions, and decisions, showing versatility. Ferreira is 4-0 with 100% KO/TKO wins, demonstrating high finishing ability but less experience.
- No previous head-to-head matchups recorded between Monteiro and Ferreira.
- No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout.
- Fight is held in Brazil where both fighters are from, eliminating travel disadvantages. The event is part of a major LFA card, providing high motivation.
- Ferreira looks to maintain undefeated status and build on knockout streak; Monteiro seeks to rebound from prior losses and prove versatility and durability.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marina Monteiro: -450, Nawira Ferreira: 350 | Marina Monteiro | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Marina Monteiro -1.5 rounds: -200, Nawira Ferreira +1.5 rounds: 180 | Marina Monteiro -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -165, Under 2.5 rounds: 135 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marina Monteiro -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 41% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline prediction favors Marina Monteiro due to experience and recent form overcoming Ferreira's undefeated KO streak. Spread prediction favors Monteiro to win by a margin (decision or finish) grounded in her versatility. Over/Under set at 2.5 rounds likely leans Under as Monteiro's defensive skill may prolong the fight.
Predicted Score: Monteiro wins by decision or late stoppage within 3 rounds