Match Analysis: Marek Bujło vs Denzel Freeman – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 3:05 PM UTC
- Location: Ali Bin Hamad al-Attiyah Arena, Al Rayyan, Qatar
Game Overview
Marek Bujło faces Denzel Freeman in a heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night 265 in Doha, Qatar. Both fighters are making their UFC debuts, with Bujło entering with a perfect 6-0 record, all finishes, and Freeman at 6-1, coming off a loss in his last fight. The match is expected to be a clash of styles, with Bujło known for his striking and knockout power, while Freeman is a former LFA heavyweight champion with strong wrestling and grappling credentials.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marek Bujło has finished all six of his professional fights, showcasing explosive striking and a high knockout rate. His opponents have been regional-level, but his finishing ability is notable. Denzel Freeman, while also finishing most of his wins, suffered a loss in his last bout, indicating vulnerability. Freeman's wrestling and grappling are considered superior, but his striking defense is less proven.
- No previous encounters between the two fighters. This is a fresh matchup with no direct history.
- No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the event.
- The fight takes place in Doha, Qatar, marking the UFC's debut in the country. The environment may be unfamiliar for both fighters, but neither has a clear advantage in terms of travel or acclimatization.
- Both fighters are highly motivated for their UFC debuts. Bujło aims to make a statement as an undefeated prospect, while Freeman seeks to rebound from his recent loss and establish himself in the UFC.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Denzel Freeman: -205, Marek Bujło: 170 | Marek Bujło | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Spread | Denzel Freeman: -5.5 -160, Marek Bujło: 5.5 120 | Marek Bujło +5.5 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 1.5 120, Under: 1.5 -154 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marek Bujło -98% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 -98% |
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Marek Bujło is favored to win by knockout or decision due to his finishing ability and undefeated record. Denzel Freeman's wrestling could pose a challenge, but Bujło's striking and power are expected to prevail. The fight is likely to go the distance or end in a finish for Bujło.
Predicted Score: Marek Bujło wins by knockout or decision in the second or third round.