Match Analysis: Marek Bartl vs Omar Amasha – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-28
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Barclays Arena, Hamburg, Germany
Game Overview
The fight between Marek Bartl and Omar Amasha is scheduled for June 28, 2025, as part of the OKTAGON 73 event at Barclays Arena in Hamburg. It is a Catchweight bout contested over 3 rounds. Marek Bartl, a Czech professional fighter with extensive experience across various combat sports including boxing, Muay Thai, kickboxing, grappling, and jiu-jitsu, faces Omar Amasha. Bartl is known for his versatile striking and grappling skills and comes into the fight as the betting favorite.
Key Factors to Consider
- Marek Bartl has a well-rounded martial arts background with over 120 fights across multiple disciplines, which suggests significant experience and adaptability in the cage. Omar Amasha, while less detailed in records here, is the underdog with positive odds but fewer highlighted career achievements.
- No prior head-to-head bouts between Marek Bartl and Omar Amasha have been documented, making this their first encounter.
- There are no reported injuries for either fighter leading up to this match, indicating both are expected to compete at full capacity.
- The fight takes place at a major venue in Germany with a supportive crowd for the European fighter Marek Bartl. Given Bartl's home region proximity and experience in European circuits, this may provide a slight advantage in terms of comfort and motivation.
- Bartl's extensive career and status as a betting favorite suggest high motivation to maintain his winning trajectory. Amasha, as the underdog, may be motivated to prove himself against a more experienced opponent, potentially taking more risks.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marek Bartl: -400, Omar Amasha: 300 | Marek Bartl | ★★★★☆ 85% |
| Spread | Bartl -1.5 rounds: -150, Amasha +1.5 rounds: +130 | Bartl -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marek Bartl 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marek Bartl at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on the data and odds, Marek Bartl is favored to win by decision or late stoppage due to his superior experience and diverse skill set. Omar Amasha's chances rely on capitalizing on Bartl's potential lapses but face a significant challenge overcoming Bartl's grappling and striking proficiency.
Predicted Score: Bartl wins by late submission or decision in round 3