Marcelo Marques vs. Felipe Oliveira Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

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Match Analysis: Marcelo Marques vs Felipe Oliveira – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-06
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Cuiabá, Mato Grosso, Brazil

Game Overview

The matchup between Marcelo Marques and Felipe Oliveira at LFA 216 features two undefeated featherweights with contrasting styles: Marques is a crafty grappler with a perfect 11-0 record, while Oliveira is an explosive striker with a 11-4 record. Both fighters made weight successfully and are poised for a competitive bout.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Marcelo Marques is undefeated at 11-0 with a balanced finishing ability (4 submissions, 4 decisions), showing strong ground game and control. Felipe Oliveira has an 11-4 record with more KO power (3 KOs) but has lost 4 times, indicating some vulnerability, particularly against grapplers.
  • No previous direct matchups between these fighters, making this a fresh and technical contest.
  • No reported injuries or weight issues for either fighter as both made weight successfully at the official weigh-in.
  • Fight is in Cuiabá, Brazil, a neutral venue for both, with no notable crowd advantage or disadvantage. The event is sold out, adding atmosphere pressures but no clear external edge.
  • Both fighters are undefeated or close to it and looking to climb the featherweight ranks, increasing motivation to secure a decisive win. Oliveira needs to prove himself against a grappler like Marques to regain momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -150 for Marcelo Marques, +130 for Felipe Oliveira Marcelo Marques ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread -1.5 rounds +175 for Marques, +1.5 rounds -225 for Oliveira Marcelo Marques -1.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110 Under 2.5 rounds ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Marcelo Marques to win by submission

Predicted Score: Marcelo Marques wins via submission in Round 2


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