Match Analysis: Marc-Philippe Ngatchou vs Yusuf Nazokatov – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-21
- Time: 6:55 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester, England
Game Overview
The match between Marc-Philippe Ngatchou and Yusuf Nazokatov is scheduled as a lightweight bout (155 lbs) for Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged. It is set for three rounds under standard CWFC rules. Ngatchou enters with a professional record of 1-1-0, showing a striking-heavy style, while Nazokatov holds a 2-2-0 record, known for a balanced approach with grappling and striking skills.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ngatchou has demonstrated strong striking power though without recorded KOs/TKOs yet; his sole loss came by decision. Nazokatov has been less consistent with a 2-2 record, including a KO/TKO loss, but brings technical grappling which could neutralize Ngatchou's stand-up advantage.
- This fight marks their first professional meeting with no previous direct encounters.
- No reported injuries or cancellations affecting either fighter ahead of this match.
- The fight takes place in a neutral venue, BEC Arena in Manchester, potentially benefiting neither fighter. Both appear motivated based on social media and fight preparations.
- Ngatchou aims to assert himself with striking dominance, while Nazokatov looks to leverage grappling to control the fight dynamics. Both fighters seem eager to improve their standings in the lightweight division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marc-Philippe Ngatchou: -300, Yusuf Nazokatov: 200 | Marc-Philippe Ngatchou | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Ngatchou: -1.5, Nazokatov: +1.5 | Ngatchou to win by more than 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Marc-Philippe Ngatchou -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Marc-Philippe Ngatchou at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Marc-Philippe Ngatchou is favored to win by decision or possibly a late finish due to his striking edge, but Yusuf Nazokatov’s grappling could extend the fight and limit Ngatchou’s power shots, making a close decision likely.
Predicted Score: Ngatchou wins by decision 29-28