Match Analysis: Manuel Flores vs Jorge Chavez – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-07-25
• Time: 2:00 AM UTC
• Location: Fantasy Springs Casino, Indio

Game Overview

Manuel Flores, a more experienced southpaw with a record of 20-1, faces undefeated orthodox Jorge Chavez (14-0) in a 10-round Super Bantamweight fight. Flores holds a knockout power advantage and slight height advantage, while Chavez has a one-inch reach edge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Flores has 20 wins (16 KOs), demonstrating 80% KO power; Chavez has 14 wins (8 KOs) with 57% KO rate. Flores' experience and longer career (debut in 2017 vs 2021) favor him.
• No previous encounters between Flores and Chavez.
• No reported injuries on either fighter leading up to the match.
• Fight held at a home-advantage venue for Flores in California; potential crowd support could boost motivation.
• Flores looks to maintain dominance and avenge his single loss; Chavez is motivated to preserve undefeated record and claim a high-profile win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Flores -215, Jorge Chavez +164	Manuel Flores	★★★★☆ 74%
Spread	Manuel Flores -1.5 rounds or equivalent	Manuel Flores to cover the spread	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Over 8.5 rounds -110 / Under 8.5 rounds -110	Under 8.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Flores 7%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Flores at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Flores to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: Manuel Flores wins by late-round TKO or unanimous decision before round 9