Match Analysis: Stephen Costello vs Manuel Del Valle – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle meet at Cage Warriors 194 in a welterweight bout. Costello is a 5-3 fighter known for striking and speed, while Del Valle, with a 4-1 record, prefers a strong ground game. The fight is scheduled for 3×5 minute rounds as a prelim bout.

Key Factors to Consider

• Costello has shown better striking stats and speed advantage in recent fights, while Del Valle shows strong grappling and takedown defense. Costello's more exposed recent form includes setbacks but has recovered well; Del Valle is on an upward trajectory with fewer fights overall.
• No prior H2H matchups reported between Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle, making this their first direct confrontation.
• No publicly known injuries reported for either fighter leading into the matchup.
• Fight takes place in Dublin, which favors Costello being European though not from Ireland; limited information on camp changes or travel issues for either fighter.
• Both fighters are motivated to break into higher rankings in Cage Warriors; Costello seeks redemption after recent losses, while Del Valle aims to maintain unbeaten momentum in his last 5 fights.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Stephen Costello +140, Manuel Del Valle -180	Manuel Del Valle	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Manuel Del Valle -1.5 (-150), Stephen Costello +1.5 (+130)	Manuel Del Valle -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds -110, Under 2.5 rounds -110	Over 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle to win by decision

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: BEC Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190 on June 27, 2025, is an intriguing matchup between two rising talents. Del Valle, a 28-year-old Spaniard known for his grappling and mat dominance, holds a 4-1 record with a mix of KO/TKO and submission wins. Berggren, aged 25, is a Swedish fighter with a 6-3 record, boasting more finishing power through both strikes and submissions. The fight promises a clash of styles with Del Valle's ground control facing Berggren's aggressive finishing approach.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has mostly demonstrated dominance through submissions and ground control, with 2 KO/TKOs and 1 submission out of 4 wins, whereas Berggren has a higher volume of finishes, 3 KO/TKOs and 3 submissions out of 6 wins. Both fighters have suffered losses but remain competitive at this level.
• This is the first professional meeting between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren, with no prior head-to-head records available.
• No current injury reports or concerns have been indicated for either fighter leading into this bout.
• The fight takes place in Manchester's BEC Arena, giving neither fighter a hometown advantage, though the neutral venue may favor the more adaptable competitor. Berggren has expressed motivation to prove himself internationally, while Del Valle brings experience in Cage Warriors.
• Berggren is motivated to establish his place on the international stage and looks to use a new training regimen to make a statement. Del Valle aims to continue his strong run and impose his grappling skills to control the fight.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130	Manuel Del Valle	★★★★☆ 75%
Spread	Manuel Del Valle -1.5: -110, Theodor Berggren +1.5: -110	Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Del Valle's grappling and mat control versus Berggren's striking and submission capabilities, the fight is expected to be competitive. However, Del Valle's ability to control and potentially neutralize Berggren's offense gives him a slight edge. The predicted outcome is a decision victory for Manuel Del Valle with a high confidence in his ability to dictate the pace.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle win by decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Marco Doda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rome

Game Overview

Manuel Del Valle is heavily favored to win against Marco Doda in this Cage Warriors event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has been performing well in recent matches, which contributes to his strong odds. Marco Doda faces a tough challenge against a favored opponent.
• There is no available head-to-head data for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event is in Rome, which might give Marco Doda some home crowd support, but it's unlikely to significantly impact the outcome.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Manuel Del Valle's confidence and form might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1000 for Manuel Del Valle, 550 for Marco Doda	Manuel Del Valle	★★★★★ 90%

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is likely to win.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA