Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-27
- Time: 7:30 PM UTC
- Location: BEC Arena, Manchester
Game Overview
The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190 on June 27, 2025, is an intriguing matchup between two rising talents. Del Valle, a 28-year-old Spaniard known for his grappling and mat dominance, holds a 4-1 record with a mix of KO/TKO and submission wins. Berggren, aged 25, is a Swedish fighter with a 6-3 record, boasting more finishing power through both strikes and submissions. The fight promises a clash of styles with Del Valle's ground control facing Berggren's aggressive finishing approach.
Key Factors to Consider
- Manuel Del Valle has mostly demonstrated dominance through submissions and ground control, with 2 KO/TKOs and 1 submission out of 4 wins, whereas Berggren has a higher volume of finishes, 3 KO/TKOs and 3 submissions out of 6 wins. Both fighters have suffered losses but remain competitive at this level.
- This is the first professional meeting between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren, with no prior head-to-head records available.
- No current injury reports or concerns have been indicated for either fighter leading into this bout.
- The fight takes place in Manchester's BEC Arena, giving neither fighter a hometown advantage, though the neutral venue may favor the more adaptable competitor. Berggren has expressed motivation to prove himself internationally, while Del Valle brings experience in Cage Warriors.
- Berggren is motivated to establish his place on the international stage and looks to use a new training regimen to make a statement. Del Valle aims to continue his strong run and impose his grappling skills to control the fight.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130 | Manuel Del Valle | ★★★★☆ 75% |
| Spread | Manuel Del Valle -1.5: -110, Theodor Berggren +1.5: -110 | Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds | ★★★★☆ 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5 rounds: -120, Under 2.5 rounds: 100 | Under 2.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manuel Del Valle 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | N/A |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Del Valle's grappling and mat control versus Berggren's striking and submission capabilities, the fight is expected to be competitive. However, Del Valle's ability to control and potentially neutralize Berggren's offense gives him a slight edge. The predicted outcome is a decision victory for Manuel Del Valle with a high confidence in his ability to dictate the pace.
Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle win by decision after 3 rounds