Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Pedro Henrique – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-21
• Time: 8:10 PM UTC
• Location: Manchester, England, Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged

Game Overview

The fight is a Welterweight (170 lbs) bout scheduled for 3 rounds at Cage Warriors 197: Unplugged, with Manuel Del Valle facing Pedro Henrique Dias. Del Valle enters the fight with a record of 5 wins and 1 loss, while Henrique Dias has 3 wins and 2 losses. The bout pits two aggressive fighters with a propensity for KO/TKO finishes, especially Del Valle, who has a higher KO rate and fewer losses.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has a stronger overall record (5-1) compared to Pedro Henrique Dias (3-2). Del Valle's wins include 3 KOs and 1 submission, showing versatility in finishing fights. Henrique Dias has fewer wins and more losses, with a notable number of KO losses. Del Valle's recent form and finishing ability give him an edge.
• No documented prior encounters between Manuel Del Valle and Pedro Henrique Dias; this is a first-time matchup, adding an element of uncertainty.
• No reported injuries for either fighter ahead of the bout, suggesting both are in expected optimal condition for the fight.
• The fight is held in Manchester, England, relatively neutral territory for both fighters, minimizing home advantage impact. Both fighters are competing on the preliminary card streamed on UFC Fight Pass, indicating medium-profile event pressure.
• Both fighters aim to enhance their standing within Cage Warriors with victories. Del Valle, as the favorite with a superior record and finishing power, likely has strong motivation to maintain momentum. Henrique Dias is motivated to upset the odds and improve a less dominant record.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle: -450, Pedro Henrique: 275	Manuel Del Valle	★★★★☆ 85%
Spread	Manuel Del Valle -1.5: -120, Pedro Henrique +1.5: 100	Manuel Del Valle covers the spread (-1.5 rounds)	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: 110, Under 2.5 rounds: -130	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle -0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is strongly favored to win via KO/TKO or decision due to his superior record, higher finishing rate, and status as betting favorite. Pedro Henrique Dias, while dangerous, is less likely to overcome Del Valle’s striking and fight control. Expect Del Valle to control the pace and secure a finish or safe decision win.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins by KO/TKO in round 2

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Match Analysis: Stephen Costello vs Manuel Del Valle – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Dublin, Ireland

Game Overview

Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle face off in a Cage Warriors 194 Welterweight prelims bout. Costello, known for striking and speed, contrasts with Del Valle's strong ground game and grappling skills. The match hinges on whether Costello can maintain control on the feet or if Del Valle can impose grappling dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

• Stephen Costello holds a 5-3 record, showing solid striking ability and quick pace, while Manuel Del Valle holds a 4-1 record with emphasis on grappling and ground control. Costello favors early aggression and striking, whereas Del Valle excels if the fight goes to the ground.
• No prior recorded bouts between Stephen Costello and Manuel Del Valle. This will be their first competitive encounter at Cage Warriors 194.
• No reported injuries or recent health problems for either fighter as of fight week; both appear fully prepared for the contest.
• Fight is in Dublin, Ireland, potentially giving a slight home crowd advantage to Costello. The bout is prelims on the Cage Warriors card, which might affect motivation levels slightly. Both fighters have a point to prove at this level. No weather or travel issues reported.
• Costello aims to bounce back from recent losses by leveraging striking advantage; Del Valle seeks to prove himself in a bigger promotion with dominant grappling to establish his position. Both have strong incentives for a decisive win.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Stephen Costello: +140, Manuel Del Valle: -180	Manuel Del Valle	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Stephen Costello +1.5 rounds: +105, Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds: -125	Manuel Del Valle -1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under	Over 2.5 rounds: -110, Under 2.5 rounds: -110	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Stephen Costello is predicted to win by decision or late-round stoppage, based on superior striking and pace control. However, a grappling finish by Manuel Del Valle remains plausible if he successfully brings the fight to the ground.

Predicted Score: Stephen Costello 2 rounds – Manuel Del Valle 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Theodor Berggren – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-06-27
• Time: 7:30 PM UTC
• Location: Bec Arena, Manchester

Game Overview

The welterweight bout between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren at Cage Warriors 190: Unplugged promises an intense grappling and striking battle. Del Valle, with a 4-1 record, is known for his grappling dominance and finishing ability via submissions and TKOs. Berggren, with a 6-3 record, brings a balanced threat with KO/TKO and submission victories and is motivated to prove his place on the international stage.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has 4 wins and 1 loss with a high finish rate, showing strong grappling and submission skills. Theodor Berggren holds a 6-3 record with more KO/TKO wins but has a slightly less consistent win ratio. Berggren's recent training changes could improve his performance.
• This is the first recorded professional matchup between Manuel Del Valle and Theodor Berggren with no previous head-to-head fights.
• No reported injuries for either fighter leading up to the match.
• The fight is in Manchester's Bec Arena, potentially favoring Del Valle as the home fighter. Berggren is motivated by fighting on foreign soil and competing internationally without long travel.
• Del Valle is the favorite with grappling superiority, while Berggren is highly motivated to make a statement and turn his recent losses into a career resurgence.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle: -170, Theodor Berggren: 130	Manuel Del Valle	★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under	Not explicitly provided; typical MMA over/under around 2.5 rounds	Under 2.5 rounds (fight finishes early)	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manuel Del Valle 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manuel Del Valle at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is favored to win by submission or TKO due to his grappling dominance and finishing ability with a 68% confidence, while Berggren's striking and improved training could lead to an upset with a 32% chance.

Predicted Score: Manuel Del Valle wins via submission or TKO in round 2

Match Analysis: Manuel Del Valle vs Marco Doda – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-08
• Time: 4:00 PM UTC
• Location: Rome

Game Overview

Manuel Del Valle is heavily favored to win against Marco Doda in this Cage Warriors event.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manuel Del Valle has been performing well in recent matches, which contributes to his strong odds. Marco Doda faces a tough challenge against a favored opponent.
• There is no available head-to-head data for these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The event is in Rome, which might give Marco Doda some home crowd support, but it's unlikely to significantly impact the outcome.
• Both fighters are motivated to win, but Manuel Del Valle's confidence and form might give him an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-1000 for Manuel Del Valle, 550 for Marco Doda	Manuel Del Valle	★★★★★ 90%

Predicted Outcome

Manuel Del Valle is likely to win.

Predicted Score: Not applicable for MMA