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Manon Fiorot vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Manon Fiorot vs Jasmine Jasudavicius – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 12:15 AM UTC
  • Location: UFC event (venue not specified in search results)

Game Overview

Main card UFC women's flyweight matchup between rising contender Jasmine Jasudavicius and established contender Manon Fiorot. Fiorot is a clear betting favorite with a dominant striking and technical grappling pedigree, while Jasudavicius is a durable, high-motor fighter looking to upset the odds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fiorot has consistently faced higher-ranked opponents and demonstrated elite striking accuracy, while Jasudavicius has shown resilience and toughness in her UFC run.
  • No prior head-to-head meetings between the fighters.
  • No notable injuries reported for either fighter.
  • Standard octagon conditions; no significant external distractions or unusual factors reported.
  • Fiorot likely eyeing a title shot with a win; Jasudavicius motivated to break into the top 10 with a major upset.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fiorot -230, Jasudavicius +190 Manon Fiorot β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread Jasudavicius +3.5 (-170), Fiorot -3.5 (+125) Fiorot -3.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 2.5 -425, Under 2.5 +300 Over 2.5 rounds β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manon Fiorot 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 21.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorot to win a decision with superior technical striking and grappling, leveraging her experience against higher competition.

Predicted Score: Manon Fiorot wins by unanimous decision (30–27, 30–26, 30–26)


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Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction MIXED_MARTIAL_ARTS in MMA/Boxing

Match Analysis: Valentina Shevchenko vs Manon Fiorot – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-10
  • Time: 3:45 AM UTC
  • Location: Bell Centre, Montreal, Quebec, Canada

Game Overview

Valentina Shevchenko defends her UFC Women's Flyweight title against undefeated challenger Manon Fiorot in the co-main event of UFC 315. Shevchenko, a seasoned champion, returns after avenging her loss to Alexa Grasso, while Fiorot comes off a dominant win over Erin Blanchfield. The fight is highly anticipated, with both fighters bringing contrasting styles and strong resumes into the octagon.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Shevchenko: 13-3-1 in UFC, recent avenging win over Grasso; Fiorot: 7-0 in UFC, dominant recent form.
  • First meeting between these fighters.
  • No significant injuries reported for either fighter ahead of the bout.
  • Fiorot returns from a year-long hiatus; Shevchenko slightly older, more experienced; fight held in Montreal, potentially neutral crowd.
  • Shevchenko feels disrespected and is fighting as the betting underdog. Fiorot is highly motivated to remain undefeated and claim the title.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manon Fiorot: -135, Valentina Shevchenko: 114 Manon Fiorot (slight favorite) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Manon Fiorot: -5.5 (165), Valentina Shevchenko: 5.5 (-225) Valentina Shevchenko covers (due to close nature of fight and spread value) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 4.5 (-315), Under: 4.5 (230) Under 4.5 (value play, but fight could go the distance) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manon Fiorot 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 4.5 72%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 4.5 at 72% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Shevchenko's experience and championship pedigree give her a slight edge in a five-round war, but Fiorot’s youth, size, and undefeated run make her a formidable opponent. AI models and expert analysis suggest Shevchenko could win via KO/TKO, while Fiorot may have a path to victory by decision if she controls the pace. Given the odds and both fighters' recent form, this is a closely contested, high-level championship bout.

Predicted Score: Valentina Shevchenko def. Manon Fiorot via Split Decision (48-47, 48-47, 47-48)


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Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for MMA/Boxing – May 10, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Paul Hughes vs. Bruno Miranda Prediction Paul Hughes -1300 516%
Valentina Shevchenko vs. Manon Fiorot Prediction Over 4.5 -315 58%
Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Bruno Silva Prediction Marc-Andre Barriault -155 43%

Combined Odds: +133 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $46.68

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