Match Analysis: Cristian Pérez vs Manoel Sousa – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-27
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States

Game Overview

Cristian Pérez, an exceptional grappler relying on ground control and submissions, faces Manoel Sousa, a powerful striker known for his knockout ability. The matchup presents a classic grappler versus striker dynamic, making the fight outcome uncertain but strategically interesting for betting.

Key Factors to Consider

• Pérez holds a record of 13-1, demonstrating consistent grappling dominance and control. Sousa has an 11-1 record showcasing strong striking and finishing power. Both fighters have shown recent strong form in their respective specialties.
• No prior head-to-head fights exist between Pérez and Sousa, adding an element of unpredictability.
• No reported current injuries for either fighter leading into the matchup, indicating both should be at full strength.
• The bout takes place at Contender Series 2025 Week 3 in Las Vegas, a high-profile environment where both fighters are motivated to impress Dana White and advance their careers.
• Both fighters appear highly motivated; Pérez aims to demonstrate grappling supremacy to secure UFC opportunities, while Sousa seeks to capitalize on his striking power to claim a highlight finish. Motivation is balanced.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cristian Pérez: +240, Manoel Sousa: -300	Manoel Sousa	★★★★☆ 72%
Spread	Sousa -1.5: -150, Pérez +1.5: +130	Sousa -1.5	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 1.5: -215, Under 1.5: +175	Over 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Manoel Sousa -11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 1.5 -15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manoel Sousa at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manoel Sousa is favored to win via striking prowess, but Cristian Pérez's grappling threat makes the fight competitive. Given odds and styles, betting on Sousa moneyline offers the highest expected value. Spread favors Sousa to win by decision or finish narrowly. Over 1.5 rounds is favored given fight duration expectations.

Predicted Score: Manoel Sousa wins via decision or late finish in round 2 or 3

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Trent Miller vs. Ryan Gandra Prediction	Ryan Gandra Win	-370	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Darion Abbey vs. Donte Johnson Prediction	Donte Johnson Win	-350	★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Cristian Pérez vs. Manoel Sousa Prediction	Manoel Sousa Win	-300	★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +118

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $43.55

Match Analysis: Manoel Sousa vs Lucas Barros – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: Friday, March 28th, 2025
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: ASBAC Brasília, Brasília, Brazil

Game Overview

Manoel Sousa and Lucas Barros are set to compete in a lightweight bout at LFA 205. Manoel Sousa currently holds a record of 11-1, while Lucas Barros has a record of 8-2-1.

Key Factors to Consider

• Manoel Sousa has shown a strong performance with recent wins, including a KO victory over Tim Wilde, while Lucas Barros has been less active but holds a competitive record.
• There is no recorded head-to-head match between Manoel Sousa and Lucas Barros.
• No injury reports are available for either fighter at this time.
• The event takes place in Brazil, which might favor fighters familiar with the environment. However, both fighters are Brazilian, so this factor may not significantly influence the outcome.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated, as this is a significant event in their careers, especially with the bout being part of a large MMA promotion.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Predicted Outcome

Manoel Sousa is expected to win based on his recent performance and fighting style that has been successful against similar opponents.

Predicted Score: Manoel Sousa to win by decision or late-round stoppage.