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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the New Zealand Warriors in an NRL Round 27 clash at Lottoland. The Sea Eagles enter favored based on recent form and statistical models with expectations of a competitive match but a home victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have a strong recent form with a 62% predicted win chance per an independent machine learning model, whereas the Warriors have had some heavy losses including a 36-16 defeat to Manly earlier this season.
  • The Sea Eagles defeated the Warriors 36-16 in their last meeting in March 2025; historical data indicates Manly generally have the edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports impacting key starters for either team have been noted, suggesting both teams will be near full strength.
  • Playing at home in Sydney benefits Manly with crowd support and familiar conditions, while the Warriors must travel internationally.
  • With the season nearing the playoffs, the Sea Eagles aim to consolidate their position while the Warriors fight to stay competitive; Manly have slightly higher motivation given their stronger standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -190, Warriors +164, Draw +1900 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Manly -5.5 -115, Warriors +5.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles moneyline win

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – New Zealand Warriors 18


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Jubilee Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A tightly contested NRL matchup between the St George Illawarra Dragons and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, both teams evenly matched with minor edges for Manly on defense and recent form. The game is expected to be decided by narrow margins with a balanced moderate scoring style.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have shown inconsistency but Manly's recent form and defensive solidity slightly outmatch the Dragons. Both averages in attack are similar, suggesting a close game.
  • Historically a dead-even matchup with marginal advantages; recent head-to-heads are split with no clear dominance.
  • No major standout injuries reported affecting key positions for either side.
  • Game played at Jubilee Stadium favors the Dragons due to home-ground advantage, but crowd influence may be countered by Manly's resilience.
  • Both teams are fighting for momentum late in the season, adding competitiveness and intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -109, St George -109, Draw +2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly -1.5 +105, St George +1.5 -130 Manly Sea Eagles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win moneyline

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 24 – 20 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, slight favorites at home against the Dolphins in NRL Round 25, face a competitive matchup with close odds. Both teams have shown resilience, but Manly's home advantage and recent form make this a tight contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly holds a moderate edge with recent form showing a 55% chance of victory, supported by consistent offense and defensive solidity, while Dolphins have shown competitive spirit but are underdog on the road.
  • Historically, Manly has held a slight advantage over Dolphins, particularly at home, as indicated by recent simulations showing the Sea Eagles favored by a small margin.
  • No significant injuries reported for either side impacting key players; both teams expected near full strength.
  • The match at Lottoland gives Manly a home crowd advantage; weather conditions expected to be neutral, not affecting game flow significantly.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure points late in the season, with Manly slightly more driven to maintain playoff positioning.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -113, Dolphins -106, Draw 1800 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Manly -1.5 -105, Dolphins +1.5 -125 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 46.5 -145, Under 46.5 110 Under 46.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread; the total score expected to stay under 46.5 points.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Dolphins 20


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Wests Tigers vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

A closely matched clash between Wests Tigers and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles with both teams showing strong defensive efforts but inconsistent attack. The Sea Eagles come in as favourites but recent form and motivation suggest a tight, low-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles hold steadier form but have lost their last three matches including to tough teams. Wests Tigers are improving and coming off a strong win, showing resilience and fight.
  • Historically close contests; recent meetings have been tight with minor margins. Defensive battles dominate with scoring opportunities limited.
  • No major injuries reported that significantly impact starting lineups; teams expected to be near full strength.
  • Playing at Allianz Stadium in Sydney benefits Wests Tigers who typically perform better at home. Weather and conditions expected to be neutral to slightly favor defensive play.
  • Sea Eagles' recent losing streak and playoff uncertainty may reduce intensity, while Tigers are motivated by pride and a chance to upset a favoured opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly -148, Wests Tigers 128, Draw 2000 Wests Tigers ★★★☆☆ 58%
Spread Manly -2.5 -120, Wests Tigers +2.5 -110 Wests Tigers +2.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 48.5 -115, Under 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 19%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 27%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 31.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Wests Tigers to cover the +2.5 spread and keep the game close, with a possible upset win based on value and motivation disparities.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 22 – Wests Tigers 20


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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in this NRL Round 23 matchup, with the Raiders currently top of the standings and in strong form, while the Sea Eagles sit mid-table with inconsistent recent results.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders hold a strong 11-3 win-loss record (79% win rate), showing excellent form recently with 4 wins in their last 5 games. Manly Sea Eagles are 6-8 (43%) and have struggled with a 1-3 win-loss in their last 4 matches.
  • Historically, Canberra leads with 11 wins to Manly's 6 from 17 encounters. Recent predictive analytics give the Raiders a 67% chance to win this fixture at home.
  • No critical injury updates specified, indicating key players are likely available for Canberra, which supports their strong expected performance.
  • Home advantage at GIO Stadium Canberra and stable conditions favor the Raiders. There are no major external disruptions impacting this game.
  • Canberra Raiders appear motivated to consolidate their top table position and secure finals advantages, whereas Manly's motivation is dampened by recent inconsistent results and lower ladder standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -230, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +188, Draw +2200 Canberra Raiders ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Canberra Raiders -8.5 -105, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles +8.5 -125 Canberra Raiders -8.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 45.5 -115, Under 45.5 -115 Over 45.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 45.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 45.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canberra Raiders to win outright and cover the line, with total points likely to exceed 45.5.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 28 – 16 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland, Manly

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the Sydney Roosters in a critical NRL Round 22 clash, with both teams pushing for finals positioning late in the season. Manly enters with home advantage and favorable recent form against the Roosters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown consistent and strong form this season, with a 59% win probability in simulations against the Roosters and a slight edge in scoring ability. The Roosters have been competitive but less consistent lately.
  • Recent head-to-head data and simulations indicate Manly edges the Roosters with a 59% win probability. The Sea Eagles have also demonstrated the ability to cover a -2.5 spread, reflecting close but controlled victories.
  • No significant injury news indicating absence of key players on either side, maintaining full-strength squads.
  • Playing at Lottoland offers Manly home ground advantage. The weather and pitch conditions are expected to be typical for the season, not favoring either team significantly.
  • Manly is highly motivated to consolidate their finals spot, while Roosters are fighting hard to remain relevant, but slightly less consistent form suggests lower motivation effectiveness.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100 Home ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread home: -110, away: -120, spread_points: 2.5 Home -2.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under over: 110, under: -145, total_points: 48.5 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1220%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 1220% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 58.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win, cover the -2.5 spread, and the total points to stay under 48.5.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Sydney Roosters 18


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadium Australia

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in a pivotal NRL Round 21 clash. The Bulldogs are slight favorites given their recent form and head-to-head dominance.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have demonstrated stronger recent form and are projected with a 66% win probability by advanced simulations. Manly has struggled against them historically this season.
  • Canterbury leads the season series with 3 wins to Manly's 1. The Bulldogs won close encounters recently, showing competitive edge at home.
  • No significant injury reports currently affecting key players for either side, suggesting both teams at near full strength.
  • Playing at Stadium Australia favors Canterbury due to familiar conditions and crowd support; no notable weather issues expected.
  • Canterbury needs a win to consolidate playoff positioning, boosting motivation; Manly is fighting for points but has less favorable outlook given recent results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs: -162, Manly Sea Eagles: 143, Draw: 2200 Canterbury Bulldogs ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5: -105, Manly Sea Eagles +4.5: -125 Canterbury Bulldogs -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 43.5: -115, Under 43.5: -115 Under 43.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 43.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 43.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Canterbury Bulldogs to win outright

Predicted Score: Canterbury Bulldogs 24 – 18 Manly Sea Eagles


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Melbourne Storm vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The Melbourne Storm, one of the top-tier teams in the NRL, face off against the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles, who have been struggling with consistency. Recent form and head-to-head matchups suggest a strong advantage for Melbourne.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has shown superior performance in recent games, while Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have struggled with inconsistent results.
  • Melbourne Storm has historically dominated Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in recent encounters.
  • No significant injury updates are available for either team.
  • Recent weather conditions and travel fatigue might not significantly impact the match since both teams are accustomed to Australian conditions.
  • Both teams are motivated to win, but Melbourne Storm's recent performances suggest a stronger desire to secure crucial points towards the top of the NRL standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Melbourne Storm: -315, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 255, Draw: 2300 Melbourne Storm ★★★★☆ 84%
Spread Melbourne Storm: -10.5 -115, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 10.5 -115 Melbourne Storm -10.5 ★★★★☆ 81%
Over/under Over: 47.5 -115, Under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 69%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is expected to dominate the match across various markets.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 28, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 18


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale Oval, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the South Sydney Rabbitohs in Round 18 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at 4 Pines Park. Both teams are traditional rivals with a competitive recent history. The Rabbitohs have won 4 of the last 5 encounters and have a decent record at this venue, which is traditionally a stronghold for Manly. The match promises high intensity with valuable competition points at stake.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly is coming off a Round 17 game against Wests Tigers, preparing to face Melbourne next round. South Sydney recently played the Dolphins in Round 17 and will meet Penrith next. The Rabbitohs have struggled for consistent wins recently but have shown quality performances in patches, indicating potential to break their losing streak. Manly has home-ground advantage and a solid squad selection for this fixture.
  • South Sydney Rabbitohs have the upper hand historically with four wins in the last five encounters against Manly. Additionally, they have taken three wins from five matches at Brookvale Oval in recent times, softening the traditional home advantage for Manly.
  • No explicit injury updates available from the provided data. Both teams appear to have named full squads for this match, with Manly announcing a 22-man squad, hinting at minimal injury concerns impacting team selection.
  • The match is played at Brookvale Oval, which typically favors Manly, but recent Rabbitohs success here suggests a more balanced external environment. Weather or other conditions were not detailed but can be assumed standard for Sydney in July.
  • Both teams have a strong motivation to secure valuable competition points late in the season. South Sydney seeks to snap a recent losing run and maintain momentum against a traditional rival, while Manly aims to leverage home advantage and capitalize on their more stable recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -290, South Sydney Rabbitohs: 230, Draw: 2300 South Sydney Rabbitohs to win ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -9.5 at -115, South Sydney Rabbitohs: +9.5 at -115 South Sydney Rabbitohs +9.5 (cover the spread) ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Under 47.5 points ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 139%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 139% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 60.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Rabbitohs' recent dominance in head-to-head meetings and competitive form patches despite inconsistent results, combined with Manly's traditional home strength, the match is expected to be close. The Rabbitohs have a slight edge due to form and psychological advantage. Predicted outcome is a Rabbitohs win by a small margin.

Predicted Score: South Sydney Rabbitohs 24 – 20 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

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Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the Wests Tigers in Round 17 of the 2025 NRL season at 4 Pines Park. The Sea Eagles are positioned 10th on the ladder while the Tigers sit 14th. Manly have made some key lineup changes with Lehi Hopoate returning at fullback, causing shifts in the backline, and some injury-enforced replacements in the forwards. The Tigers are coming off a narrow 16-12 loss to the Raiders and will be motivated to improve their standing. The match is expected to be competitive but the Sea Eagles enter as favorites given their stronger recent form and squad strength.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have shown better recent form and squad depth, especially with key players like Tom Trbojevic shifting to the centres and Reuben Garrick on the wing. Wests Tigers have struggled this season and recently lost narrowly to the Raiders, though they remain competitive.
  • Historically, the Sea Eagles have the upper hand over the Tigers, with recent head-to-head simulations giving Manly a 75% chance to win this match out of 10,000 simulations.
  • Lehi Hopoate returns for Manly from HIA protocol, while Lachlan Croker is out for Wests Tigers due to HIA protocol. Other minor injury replacements include Corey Waddell for Manly and Jake Simpkin comes off the bench for Wests Tigers.
  • The game is played at Manly's home ground 4 Pines Park, which provides a home advantage. Weather or other external factors were not highlighted in source data, so presumably neutral.
  • Wests Tigers are motivated to improve after a close loss last round, whereas Manly seeks to consolidate their top 10 position and build momentum in the second half of the season.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -213, Wests Tigers: 183, Draw: 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -7.5: -115, Wests Tigers +7.5: -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -7.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 47.5: -115, Under 47.5: -115 Over 47.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win by a comfortable margin, leveraging their home advantage, stronger squad, and better recent form. Expect a moderately high scoring game with Manly covering the -7.5 spread and total points going over 47.5.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – Wests Tigers 18


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