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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. New Zealand Warriors Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs New Zealand Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-05
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles host the New Zealand Warriors in Round 27 of the 2025 NRL season at 4 Pines Park, Sydney. This late-season clash has significant finals implications for both teams with the Sea Eagles ranked 10th, needing a large win margin to keep faint finals hopes alive, while the Warriors sit 6th, aiming to solidify their position and push for a top-four finish.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown strong recent offense, scoring 98 points in their last two games, indicating high momentum going into this match. The Warriors have had a mixed run, losing four of their past six games and struggling historically at 4 Pines Park with only one win in their last six visits.
  • Recent meetings favor the Warriors with a strong away win (36-16) in March 2025 at Mount Smart Stadium. However, Manly's winger Jason Saab has been prolific against the Warriors, tallying 10 tries in six games, highlighting a key attacking threat for the home side.
  • No major injury updates were specifically noted for this matchup in the latest reports. The Sea Eagles will feature Daly Cherry-Evans in his likely final game for the club, adding emotional motivation.
  • Weather and pitch conditions appear standard with no reported issues. The match is crucial as it might determine final playoff positions and momentum going into finals.
  • Manly has high motivation to win by a large margin to keep slim finals hopes alive in Cherry-Evans' farewell game. The Warriors are motivated to regain form to securely enter the top four, increasing the stakes for both teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -190, New Zealand Warriors: 167, Draw: 1900 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -5.5: -115, New Zealand Warriors +5.5: -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -5.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 48.5: -115, Under 48.5: -115 Over 48.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Manly's recent offensive output and home advantage, combined with the Warriors' struggles on the road, the predicted outcome is a narrow home victory for Manly Warringah Sea Eagles.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – New Zealand Warriors 22


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St George Illawarra Dragons vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: St George Illawarra Dragons vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Netstrata Jubilee Stadium, Sydney, Australia

Game Overview

The Round 26 NRL Telstra Premiership match features the St George Illawarra Dragons hosting the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at Jubilee Stadium. Both teams are seeking valuable wins to improve their standings late in the season. The Dragons are placed 13th while the Sea Eagles hold 10th in the ladder, making this a crucial matchup for both sides as they look to build momentum for the final rounds.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Manly Sea Eagles come into the match after a victory over the Dolphins, maintaining the same squad with no changes, indicating stability and form. The Dragons' previous game was against South Sydney, but detailed recent performance data is limited here. Manly’s position is higher (10th) than the Dragons (13th), potentially reflecting better recent outcomes.
  • Historical data from the 2025 season and previous encounters have been competitive, with no significant dominance by either team indicated in the available sources. The even moneyline odds suggest the matchup is expected to be closely contested.
  • No reported changes or notable injuries were cited for the Manly Sea Eagles, as their squad remains unchanged after their last win. There is no explicit injury information for the Dragons in the available data.
  • The match takes place at Jubilee Stadium with expected large crowds and potential logistical challenges including heavy traffic and limited parking. Conditions at the venue are standard with cashless transactions and restrictions on certain items, but those factors should not adversely affect the teams directly.
  • Both teams are motivated by their current ladder positions with Manly aiming to solidify a higher ranking and the Dragons fighting to climb the table. Manly's recent win provides momentum, while the Dragons need a strong performance at home to regain confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline manly: -109, dragons: -109, draw: 2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 56%
Spread manly: -1.5 105, dragons: 1.5 -130 Manly Sea Eagles to cover -1.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 54%
Over/under over: 48.5 -115, under: 48.5 -115 Over 48.5 total points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 -3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Manly’s recent stable squad and modest superiority in ladder position, combined with balanced odds, the prediction leans slightly towards Manly Warringah Sea Eagles winning a close game at Jubilee Stadium.

Predicted Score: Manly Sea Eagles 26 – 22 St George Illawarra Dragons


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Dolphins Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Dolphins – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 5:00 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Brookvale, NSW

Game Overview

The match between Manly Warringah Sea Eagles and the Dolphins in Round 25 of the 2025 NRL season is set to be a close contest at 4 Pines Park. Both teams sit mid-table with Dolphins just ahead, making this clash important for finals positioning. The Sea Eagles have home advantage but face a Dolphins side capable of an upset. The game is expected to be high intensity and tightly fought.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Warringah Sea Eagles currently stand 10th, showing inconsistent form with some recent struggles in scoring. The Dolphins, ranked 9th, have been slightly more consistent and are pushing for a higher ladder finish. Both teams have similar recent results but Dolphins show a slight edge in offensive output.
  • Historically, the Sea Eagles and Dolphins have had competitive fixtures with close scorelines. Home advantage has typically favored Manly due to the atmosphere at 4 Pines Park. Recent meetings suggest tight games with neither side dominating consistently.
  • As of current updates, no major injury news has been highlighted impacting key players for either side, suggesting both teams will field near full-strength lineups.
  • The match is early morning UTC but evening local time in NSW, with typical weather conditions expected. No major external disruptions are forecasted. The venue is Manly's home ground which usually boosts their confidence and crowd support.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure wins to improve their finals prospects, with Dolphins slightly ahead on ladder positioning. Home advantage and the need to break form slumps add to Manly's determination.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Dolphins: -106, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -113, Draw: 1800 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Spread Dolphins +1.5: -125, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -1.5: -105 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -1.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 46.5: -145, Under 46.5: 110 Under 46.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 26%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the closely matched teams, the home advantage and slight defensive weaknesses noted for the Dolphins, the prediction leans towards a narrow Manly Warringah Sea Eagles victory. The match is expected to be competitive with a tight scoreline.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – 20 Dolphins


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Wests Tigers vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Wests Tigers vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-17
  • Time: 4:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

Wests Tigers (12th) host Manly Warringah Sea Eagles (10th) in Round 24 of the NRL at Allianz Stadium, Sydney. Tigers are returning fresh from a bye aiming for back-to-back wins, while Sea Eagles face pressure after three straight losses, needing a win to keep finals hopes alive. The match marks the closing game of the inaugural Gadhu Gathering Indigenous Round celebration.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Wests Tigers have shown improvement with a dominant Round 22 win over the Bulldogs and are motivated to keep their slim finals hopes alive. They have six of their eight wins in 2025 on Sunday afternoons. Manly Sea Eagles have lost three consecutive matches, dropping them to 10th position, two points behind the eighth-placed Dolphins. Tigers’ key players like Adam Doueihi and Starford To’a have returned, while the Sea Eagles are missing Jake Trbojevic due to concussion but have Ben Trbojevic back in second row.
  • Manly have won seven of the last eight encounters against Wests Tigers, including a recent 18-point victory (28-10) in Round 17. Tigers’ last win over the Sea Eagles was in Round 25, 2024 at Leichhardt Oval. Significant individual stats include Tigers’ hooker Api Koroisau scoring three tries in his last four games against Manly, and Sea Eagles’ centre Tolu Koula scoring seven tries in his last nine games.
  • West Tigers have suspension issues with Alex Seyfarth unavailable, causing positional shifts. Manly’s Jake Trbojevic is out with concussion, replaced by Jazz Tevaga; Lehi Hopoate returns from injury on the wing.
  • The match is played as part of the Indigenous Round, a special event that may inspire Wests Tigers, who will wear Indigenous jerseys celebrating local Indigenous artists. Match played at Allianz Stadium, a venue where Tigers have been successful on Sunday afternoons.
  • Manly must win all four remaining matches to qualify for finals, making this match critical. Tigers are fighting to keep finals hopes alive and motivated after a strong recent performance and bye week rest. Psychological edge to Manly due to home-away dynamics and better overall head-to-head recent success.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -148, Wests Tigers: 128, Draw: 2000 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: -2.5 -120, Wests Tigers: +2.5 -110 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -2.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -115 Under 48.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A tightly contested match with Manly Warringah Sea Eagles favored to win by a small margin due to recent dominance in head-to-head and slightly better ladder position. However, Wests Tigers’ home advantage, recent form improvement, and Indigenous Round motivation could keep the match close.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Wests Tigers 20


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Canberra Raiders vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Canberra Raiders vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 10:00 AM UTC
  • Location: GIO Stadium Canberra

Game Overview

The Canberra Raiders will host the Manly Warringah Sea Eagles in Round 23 of the 2025 NRL Telstra Premiership at GIO Stadium Canberra. Both teams have shown competitive form throughout the season, setting up an engaging contest. The Raiders look to leverage their home ground advantage while Manly aims to capitalize on their recent momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Canberra Raiders have maintained a steady performance pattern with a strong home record and consistent scoring ability. Manly Sea Eagles have displayed resilience with notable defensive improvements and impact players returning.
  • Historically, the match-up is closely contested, with recent clashes showing balanced results. Canberra has a slight edge on home ground in previous encounters but Manly has threatened with dominant away performances.
  • No changes reported for the Raiders squad, with Ricky back at fullback contributing to stability. Manly currently has no major injury concerns publicly reported influencing their lineup for this fixture.
  • Game conditions at GIO Stadium are expected to be favorable with no adverse weather predicted. Crowd support will heavily favor the Raiders given the stadium location.
  • The Raiders are motivated to consolidate their ladder position during a critical phase of the season. Manly aims to secure points to boost their finals aspirations, intensifying team focus and performance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline canberra_raiders: -230, manly_sea_eagles: 188, draw: 2200 Canberra Raiders to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread canberra_raiders: -8.5 -105, manly_sea_eagles: 8.5 -125 Canberra Raiders to cover -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over_45.5: -115, under_45.5: -115 Under 45.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canberra Raiders 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 45.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 45.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering home advantage, solid squad health, and balanced historical results, Canberra Raiders are favored to win, but the game could stay competitive with Manly posing a significant challenge. Expect a tightly contested match with Canberra edging out.

Predicted Score: Canberra Raiders 24 – 18 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Sydney Roosters Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Sydney Roosters – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

This Round 22 NRL match features two bottom-half finalists fighting for survival: the 9th-placed Manly Warringah Sea Eagles hosting 10th-placed Sydney Roosters at 4 Pines Park. Both teams have shown flashes of quality in 2025 but suffer from inconsistency. The Roosters recently lost 3 of 4 games while the Sea Eagles ended a 3-game winning streak with a heavy defeat. Key injuries affect Manly, including season-ending loss of star Haumole Olakau'atu. Historically, Manly have won six of nine home games in 2025 and lead their all-time head-to-head narrowly over 43 encounters. The Roosters have won 5 of their past 7 meetings against Manly, making this a very tight contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly has been solid at home, winning 6 of 9 at 4 Pines Park this season, though recent form dipped with a heavy loss. The Roosters have fought hard, notably pushing Melbourne Storm closely but falling short in 3 of their last 4, revealing some defensive shortcomings.
  • Across 43 matches, Manly leads with 22 wins to Sydney's 21, showing a historically even rivalry. Recently, the Roosters won 5 of the last 7 clashes, indicating a slight upper hand in recent encounters.
  • Manly faces a significant blow with Haumole Olakau'atu ruled out for the season. Other key players like Waddell expected to start, with Smith and Savala fit, offering some relief. No major injuries reported for the Roosters.
  • The match is played at Manly’s home ground, potentially favoring the Sea Eagles with strong local support. Weather and other external conditions are not specified but should be typical for Sydney in early August.
  • Both teams are motivated by a fight for finals qualification, locked in a battle for spots in the bottom half of the top eight. The packed Brookvale crowd and the significance of the match add intensity to this rivalry.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -134, away: 115, draw: 2100 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread home: -2.5 -110, away: 2.5 -120 Manly to cover -2.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Over/under over: 48.5 110, under: 48.5 -145 Under 48.5 points total β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the home ground advantage, recent home form, and motivation to secure a finals spot, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have a slight edge, but the Roosters' recent dominance in head-to-head and resilience keep this prediction tight. Expect a closely contested game with a lean towards Manly pulling a narrow win.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 24 – Sydney Roosters 20


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Canterbury Bulldogs vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Canterbury Bulldogs vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Stadium, Sydney

Game Overview

The Canterbury Bulldogs and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles face off in a crucial NRL match at Allianz Stadium. The Bulldogs, currently in second place, have been driven by their strong defense, while the seventh-placed Sea Eagles are riding a three-game winning streak. This encounter is expected to be intense, given the teams' recent performances and head-to-head history.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Bulldogs have secured 13 wins this season, relying heavily on their defensive prowess. Manly, meanwhile, has shown impressive resilience, particularly in their recent victories, including a win over Melbourne Storm.
  • Manly has dominated recent matchups, winning 11 of the last 12 games against the Bulldogs. However, the Bulldogs' captain Stephen Crichton has had success against Manly in the past.
  • The Bulldogs welcome back Bronson Xerri and Sam Hughes, while the Sea Eagles see the return of Haumole Olakau'atu. Sitili Tupouniua is out with a hamstring injury for the Bulldogs.
  • The neutral venue at Allianz Stadium eliminates home advantage, making the match a genuine 50-50 contest.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with the Bulldogs seeking to consolidate their position and the Sea Eagles aiming to extend their winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs -162, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 143, Draw 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 52%
Spread Bulldogs -4.5 -105, Sea Eagles 4.5 -125 Sea Eagles +4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 43.5 -115, Under 43.5 -115 Over 43.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Canterbury Bulldogs 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 43.5 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Canterbury Bulldogs at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite the Bulldogs being favored, the Sea Eagles' momentum and head-to-head success make them a competitive underdog. The match is expected to be closely contested, with the outcome hanging in the balance.

Predicted Score: Bulldogs 21, Sea Eagles 22


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Melbourne Storm vs. Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Melbourne Storm vs Manly Warringah Sea Eagles – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-19
  • Time: 9:35 AM UTC
  • Location: AAMI Park, Melbourne

Game Overview

The Round 20 NRL clash between Melbourne Storm and Manly Warringah Sea Eagles is set at AAMI Park. Melbourne Storm, currently 2nd in the standings, will host the Sea Eagles, who are 7th, in a high-stakes match where both teams aim to build momentum. Melbourne is on a quest for their third consecutive win, with key players like Nick Meaney (150th NRL game) and Eli Katoa in strong form. Manly, coming off steady performances, will look to overcome their previous defeat to Storm in Round 5 where they lost 48-24. Both teams have few injury concerns going into this game, indicating a potentially strong contest.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Melbourne Storm has demonstrated strong home form with multiple wins recently and have consistency in their squad selections. Manly, despite their lower ranking, has had some key player returns and has shown resilience but lacks the same depth of attacking power shown by Storm earlier in the season.
  • In the Round 5 meeting of the season, Melbourne Storm decisively defeated Manly Sea Eagles 48-24 at Manly's home ground, evidencing Melbourne's dominance. Historically, Melbourne has the edge in head to head, particularly in home fixtures, leveraging tactical and physical advantages.
  • Melbourne Storm will miss Ryan Papenhuyzen due to a minor calf strain but are boosted by the return of Xavier Coates from State of Origin duties. The Sea Eagles have incorporated players like Aaron Schoupp and Caleb Navale, though there are no major injury setbacks reported. Both teams are largely at near full strength.
  • The match is part of the annual Starlight Round which often uplifts team motivation and crowd engagement. The venue of AAMI Park gives Melbourne a home crowd advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are presumed favorable given Melbourne's mid-winter scheduling and indoor venue protection.
  • Melbourne Storm seeks to cement their position near the top of the ladder and maintain winning momentum after recent successes. Manly Sea Eagles, positioned in the top 10 but outside the top 4, aims to notch a significant upset on the road and disrupt Melbourne's form to improve their finals chances.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 2.55, Melbourne Storm: -3.15, Draw: 23 Melbourne Storm to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Manly Warringah Sea Eagles: 8.5 @ 1.00, Melbourne Storm: -8.5 @ 1.30 Melbourne Storm to cover -8.5 points spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Over/under Over 47.5: -1.15, Under 47.5: -1.15 Over 47.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Melbourne Storm -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Melbourne Storm is favored to win owing to their superior form, home advantage, and psychological edge from prior convincing victory over Manly. The expected outcome is a strong Storm win by about 9-12 points, with the game likely to be high scoring given both teams' attacking capabilities.

Predicted Score: Melbourne Storm 30 – Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 18


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. South Sydney Rabbitohs Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs South Sydney Rabbitohs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-06
  • Time: 6:05 AM UTC
  • Location: 4 Pines Park, Sydney

Game Overview

The upcoming NRL Round 18 match features Manly Warringah Sea Eagles hosting the South Sydney Rabbitohs at 4 Pines Park. Both teams come into the game after their Round 17 clashes; Manly faced Wests Tigers while South Sydney played against the Dolphins. The match is expected to be competitive given their recent encounter in the same round ended in a draw.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Manly Sea Eagles have shown solid home form and competitive spirit, demonstrated by a recent draw with South Sydney in Round 18 earlier in the season. South Sydney Rabbitohs maintain strong form led by experienced coach Wayne Bennett and key players like Alex Johnston and Jack Wighton, indicating a balanced and motivated squad.
  • Recent head-to-head includes a 2025 Round 18 match that finished in a draw at 4 Pines Park, highlighting the close contest between these two teams. In reserve grade matches, South Sydney Reserve narrowly defeated Manly Reserve 24-22, underscoring tight competition.
  • No significant injuries have been reported for either side from the latest squad announcements, with South Sydney naming a full-strength 21-player squad including key players like Alex Johnston and Jack Wighton. Manly's injury report is stable with no major absences noted.
  • The match is played at Manly's home ground, which could provide them a home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not indicated to impact the match significantly. Coaching strategies by Anthony Seibold (Manly) and Wayne Bennett (South Sydney) will be pivotal.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a win to improve their standings, with South Sydney aiming to build momentum before Round 20 against Penrith, and Manly preparing for a tough Round 20 clash against Melbourne. The previous draw between them adds impetus to claim outright victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline manly: -290, south_sydney: 230, draw: 2300 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread manly: -9.5 -115, south_sydney: +9.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under over: 47.5 -115, under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles -0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

South Sydney Rabbitohs are marginal favorites due to their stable squad, coaching experience, and recent form, but the match will be close given Manly's strong home performance and recent draw between these teams.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – 22 South Sydney Rabbitohs


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Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs. Wests Tigers Prediction NRL in Rugby League

Match Analysis: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles vs Wests Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 8:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Lottoland Stadium

Game Overview

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are set to face the Wests Tigers in Round 17 of the 2025 NRL season. The Sea Eagles have shown strong form this season and are favored to win based on recent performances and statistical models. The match will be played at Lottoland Stadium, with kickoff scheduled for 6:00pm AEST (08:00 UTC).

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Sea Eagles have been dominant this season and maintain consistent winning momentum, while the Wests Tigers have struggled to find form and are underdogs. Statistical simulations give the Sea Eagles a 75% chance to win the match, highlighting their superior team form and execution on field.
  • Historically, Manly Warringah Sea Eagles have held the edge over Wests Tigers, with more wins in recent encounters. Betting odds reflect this dynamic, favoring the Sea Eagles significantly in moneyline and spread markets.
  • There are no significant injury concerns reported for the Sea Eagles. The Tigers have some key players under pressure, including decisions around future-origin star Api Koroisau, which could affect their lineup and performance.
  • The match is held at Lottoland Stadium, where the Sea Eagles have home ground advantage. Additionally, there are no adverse weather or external conditions reported that might influence play significantly.
  • With the Sea Eagles pushing for a higher ladder position and the Tigers seeking to improve form, motivation levels are high. The Tigers face pressure to perform amidst discussions on player futures, while the Sea Eagles look to capitalize on momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -213, away: 183, draw: 2200 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread home: -7.5 -115, away: +7.5 -115 Manly Warringah Sea Eagles to cover -7.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 47.5 -115, under: 47.5 -115 Over 47.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 47.5 12%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 47.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

The Manly Warringah Sea Eagles are predicted to win the match comfortably based on current form, statistics, and betting markets.

Predicted Score: Manly Warringah Sea Eagles 28 – Wests Tigers 16


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