Match Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cody Haddon – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) faces Cody Haddon (8-1) at UFC 322 in a bantamweight bout at 135 lbs. Wellmaker is a longer switch stance fighter with strong grappling skills and high strike accuracy, while Haddon is a shorter orthodox striker with higher volume but lower accuracy. Both fighters have solid defense but contrasting fighting styles set the tone for a tactical matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Wellmaker boasts an undefeated record (10-0) with a recent first-round KO win, showing efficient striking and grappling. Haddon has an 8-1 record with higher striking volume but lower connect rate, favoring stand-up exchanges.
• No prior head-to-head meetings. Styles contrast with Wellmaker favoring grappling control and powerful precision strikes, while Haddon relies on volume and speed.
• No known recent injuries reported for either fighter, both appear healthy and prepared.
• Fight hosted at Madison Square Garden, a neutral venue favoring neither fighter. No notable external distractions or motivation impacts.
• Wellmaker motivated to maintain undefeated streak and ascend rankings, Haddon eager to prove himself against an undefeated opponent. Slight edge to Wellmaker for title contention aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Malcolm Wellmaker -155, Cody Haddon +130	Malcolm Wellmaker	★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread	Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5 -120, Cody Haddon +3.5 -110	Malcolm Wellmaker -3.5	★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under	Over 2.5 +120, Under 2.5 -154	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Malcolm Wellmaker -1%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker to win by decision

Predicted Score: Wellmaker wins by unanimous decision after 3 rounds

Match Analysis: Ethyn Ewing vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-16
• Time: 1:15 AM UTC
• Location: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

Game Overview

Malcolm Wellmaker (10-0) enters as an undefeated and experienced UFC competitor whereas Ethyn Ewing (8-2) is making his UFC debut as a late replacement. Wellmaker is a significant favorite reflecting his superior experience and undefeated record.

Key Factors to Consider

• Wellmaker has a perfect 10-0 record with recent continuous wins, showing consistency and experience at higher competition levels. Ewing is 8-2 overall but has not fought in the UFC before, making this a step up in competition.
• No previous matchups between Wellmaker and Ewing exist, so no direct historical comparison is available.
• No injuries reported for either fighter ahead of this matchup, though Ewing’s late scratch replacement status may indicate some preparation disadvantage.
• Fight takes place at Madison Square Garden in UFC 322, offering a large stage but no known external conditions affecting performance such as altitude or travel advantage.
• Wellmaker looks to preserve his undefeated UFC status, while Ewing is highly motivated to make a strong impression in his UFC debut stepping in late.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Ethyn Ewing: +400, Malcolm Wellmaker: -550	Malcolm Wellmaker	★★★★☆ 78%
Spread	Malcolm Wellmaker -1.5 rounds: -150, Ethyn Ewing +1.5 rounds: +130	Malcolm Wellmaker -1.5 rounds	★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under	Over 1.5 rounds: +140, Under 1.5 rounds: -160	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Malcolm Wellmaker -8%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 6%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker to win by moneyline given his undefeated record and UFC experience, with a strong likelihood the fight goes under 1.5 rounds due to Wellmaker's finishing ability and Ewing’s debut pressure.

Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker wins by TKO/Submission in Round 1

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game	Pick	Odds (American)	Confidence
Ethyn Ewing vs. Malcolm Wellmaker Prediction	Malcolm Wellmaker Win	-550	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Gerald Meerschaert vs. Kyle Daukaus Prediction	Kyle Daukaus Win	-425	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Maciej Kazieczko vs. Adam Masaev Prediction	Adam Masaev Win	-410	★★★★☆ 78% (78%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: -123

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $36.32

Match Analysis: Malcolm Wellmaker vs Kris Moutinho – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: June 14, 2025
• Time: 12:50 AM UTC
• Location: State Farm Arena in Atlanta, Georgia

Game Overview

This highly anticipated matchup features Malcolm Wellmaker, an undefeated fighter, against Kris Moutinho, a competitor returning to the UFC. Moutinho has gained momentum with a five-fight win streak on the regional scene, while Wellmaker's undefeated record presents a formidable challenge.

Key Factors to Consider

• Malcolm Wellmaker is undefeated, showcasing strong skills in the octagon. Kris Moutinho, on the other hand, has built momentum with a five-fight win streak outside the UFC.
• There is no previous head-to-head matchup between these fighters.
• No injury reports are available for either fighter.
• The crowd and Moutinho's recent mental health journey may influence performance.
• Kris Moutinho is highly motivated after overcoming personal challenges and achieving a winning streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Kris Moutinho: 1100, Malcolm Wellmaker: -2100	Malcolm Wellmaker	★★★★☆ 80%
Spread	Kris Moutinho: +3.5 500, Malcolm Wellmaker: -3.5 -1000	Malcolm Wellmaker	★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under	Over: 1.5 130, Under: 1.5 -166	Under 1.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Malcolm Wellmaker -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 1.5 -99%

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Malcolm Wellmaker is expected to win, leveraging his undefeated status and presumably strong skills. However, Kris Moutinho's recent momentum and mental preparation could make him a more formidable opponent than his odds suggest.

Predicted Score: Malcolm Wellmaker by knockout in the first round

Match Analysis: Cameron Saaiman vs Malcolm Wellmaker – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 11:20 PM UTC
• Location: Not Provided

Game Overview

This upcoming UFC Bantamweight Prelims fight between Cameron Saaiman and Malcolm Wellmaker promises to be an exciting matchup. Saaiman, with a record of 9-2, faces off against Wellmaker, who is undefeated at 8-0. Both fighters have different strengths and weaknesses, with Saaiman known for his aggression and Wellmaker for his knockout power.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cameron Saaiman is an aggressive fighter with a penchant for pushing the pace, which could force Wellmaker into his first real test at the UFC level. Wellmaker is a slow-paced but powerful fighter who relies on timing his knockout blows.
• No previous head-to-head matches between these fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• Mental preparation and crowd support may play a role, but both fighters are accustomed to high-pressure situations.
• Wellmaker seeks his first UFC win, while Saaiman aims to regain momentum after recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Saaiman: -104, Wellmaker: -116	Saaiman via decision	Not available
Over/under	over: -165, under: 135	Under 2.5 rounds	Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Cameron Saaiman 2%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 41%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 41% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Saaiman's aggressive style and Wellmaker's power, the fight leans towards a decision victory for Saaiman.

Predicted Score: Predicting the fight goes the full three rounds, resulting in a decision victory.